Debt Stabilization Bias and the Taylor Principle: Optimal Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Government Debt and Inflation Persistence

August 1, 2007

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Format: Chicago

David A Vines, and Sven Jari Stehn. Debt Stabilization Bias and the Taylor Principle: Optimal Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Government Debt and Inflation Persistence, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2007) accessed December 26, 2024

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

We analyse optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New-Keynesian model with public debt and inflation persistence. Leith and Wren-Lewis (2007) have shown that optimal discretionary policy is subject to a 'debt stabilization bias' which requires debt to be returned to its pre-shock level. This finding has two important implications for optimal discretionary policy. Firstly, as Leith and Wren-Lewis have shown, optimal monetary policy in an economy with high steady-state debt cuts the interest rate in response to a cost-push shock - and therefore violates the Taylor principle. We show that this striking result is not true with high degrees of inflation persistence. Secondly, we show that optimal fiscal policy is more active under discretion than commitment at all degrees of inflation persistence and all levels of debt.

Subject: Consumption, Debt bias, Fiscal policy, Inflation, Inflation persistence, National accounts, Prices, Tax policy

Keywords: Consumption, Cost-push shock, Debt bias, Debt economy, Feedback coefficient, Fiscal Policy, Government Debt, Inflation, Inflation expectation, Inflation persistence, Lagrange multiplier, Monetary policy, Stabilisation bias, Stabilization Bias, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

52
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Working Paper No. 2007/206
Stock No:

WPIEA2007206
ISBN:

9781451867701
ISSN:

1018-5941

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