Second Meeting of The Network on Modeling Systemic Financial-Macro Risks

Organized by the Monetary and Capital Markets Department of the International Monetary Fund

December 12-13, 2017

Conference Agenda

December 12, 2017

Conference Room HQ1-01-713

8:15 - 8:45 am

Registration, breakfast

8:45 - 9:00 am

 

 

Welcome Remarks

James Morsink, Deputy Director, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, IMF

Network Theme #1: Behavioral Responses of Banks and Financial-Macro Feedbacks

9:00 - 10:15 am

 

Presentation and Discussion #1: Accounting for Banks' Behavioral Response under Stress and Multiple Constraints in Stress Testing Model

Ms. Virginie Traclet, Director, Model Development and Research Division, Financial Stability Department, Bank of Canada

Ms. Sofia Priazhkina, Senior Economist, Model Development and Research Division, Financial Stability Department, Bank of Canada

10:00 - 10:15 am

Coffee Break

10:45 - 12:00 pm

Presentation and Discussion #2: The ECB's Approach to Modelling Real Economy Effects in Stress Test

Mr. Christoffer Kok, Deputy Head, Macro-Financial Linkages Division, DG Macroprudential Policy and Financial Stability, European Central Bank

12:00 - 2:00 pm

Lunch (HQ1-01-313)

Luncheon Remarks by Mr. Morris Goldstein, Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Econmics

Based on his book Banking's Final Exam: Stress Testing and Bank-Capital Reform (by invitation only)

2:00 - 3:15 pm

Presentation and Discussion #3: A Model on Capital Gaps, Risk Premia Dynamics and the Macroeconomy  

Mr. Fabian Lipinsky, Economist, Financial Sector Assessments and Policies Division, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, International Monetary Fund


3:15 - 3:45 pm

Coffee Break

Network Theme #2:  Financial Contagion and the Macroeconomy

    3:45 - 5:00 pm

    Presentation and Discussion #1: Modelling Contagion Effects of Financial Risks: the Case of China

    Mr. Jun Ma, Special Advisor to the Governor, People's Bank of China

    5:00 - 6:00 pm

     

    Reception (Gallery, HQ1-R-700)

    December 13, 2017

    Conference Room HQ1-01-713

      8:30 - 9:00 am

      Breakfast

      9:00 am - 10:15 am

      Presentation and Discussion #2: Contagion Risk: A Real Sector Network Approach

      Mr. André Luiz Caccavo Miguel, Deputy Head of the Monitoring Department of Banco Central do Brasil 

      10:15 - 10:30 am

      Coffee Break

       10:30 - 11:45 am

      Presentation and Discussion #3: Extending the Network: Including Nonbanks and Nonfinancial Entities Using Payment Systems Data

      Mr. Fabrizio López Gallo, Director of Financial Stability, Banco of México

      11:45 am - 12:00 pm

      Coffee Break

      12:00 - 1:00 pm

      Special Session: A Conversation with Mr. Tobias Adrian, Financial Counselor, International Monetary Fund

      "Systemic Risk and Macroprudential Policies

      Moderated by Ms. Virginie Traclet, Director, Model Development and Research Division, Financial Stability Department, Bank of Canada

       1:00 - 2:00 pm

      Lunch and "Poster Board Presentations"

      • Growth at Risk, Mr. Romain Lafarguette, Global Financial Stability Analysis Division, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, International Monetary Fund
      • House Prices and the Effectiveness of Housing Market Policies in Hong Kong SAR, Mr. Pau Rabanal, Senior Economist, Macro-financial Division, Research Department, International Monetary Fund 
      • Interconnectedness of Global Systemically Important Banks and Insurers, Ms. TengTeng Xu, Economist, Financial Sector Assessments and Policies Division, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, International Monetary Fund

       Network Theme #3: Solvency-Liquidity Interactions and their Macroeconomic effects

       2:00-3:15 pm

      Presentation and Discussion #1: Modelling Risk Amplification Mechanisms for Stress-Testing Recent Progress and Practical Considerations

      Mr. Paul Nahai-Williamson, Economist, Financial Stability, Bank of England 

       3:15-3:30 pm
      Coffee Break

      3:30-4:45 pm

      Presentation and Discussion #2: Modelling the Nexus between Bank Solvency and Funding Liquidity Stress

      Mr. Mario Catalán, Senior Economist, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, International Monetary Fund

      Ms. Maral Shamloo, Economist, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, International Monetary Fund

      4:45- 5:00 pm

      Coffee Break

      5:00-5:30 pm

      Closing Session: Key Takeaways and Next Steps for the Network

      Open Discussion Moderated by Mr. Udaibir Das, Assistant Director and Division Chief, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, International Monetary Fund.