Do Economists’ and Financial Markets’ Perspectives on the New Members of the EU differ?

By Susan M Schadler, Pipat Luengnaruemitchai

March 1, 2007

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Format: Chicago

Susan M Schadler, and Pipat Luengnaruemitchai. Do Economists’ and Financial Markets’ Perspectives on the New Members of the EU differ?, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2007) accessed December 22, 2024

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

In the past several years, the ten new Central and Eastern European members of the European Union have enjoyed rapid growth but frequently alongside growing external imbalances. Economists have pointed to rising vulnerabilities, but markets compressed sovereign bond yields. This paper examines the evidence from the perspective of economists' vulnerability analysis and markets' pricing of sovereign bonds. It finds that spread are lower than can be explained by "fundamentals" and speculates on the causes and permanence of this yield compression.

Subject: Credit ratings, Currencies, Emerging and frontier financial markets, Futures, International liquidity

Keywords: Emerging market, Emerging market spectrum, Exchange market, Market, Market perception, The CECs, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

31
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Working Paper No. 2007/065
Stock No:

WPIEA2007065
ISBN:

9781451866292
ISSN:

1018-5941

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