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Virtual - DSA and IMF Policies Workshop

Invitation

Session No.: CT 20.05

Location: Beijing, China

Date: July 13-17, 2020 (1 week)

Primary Language: English

Target Audience

Officials in Eximbank or CDB directly involved in lending decisions (loan officers, credit risk analysts); officials in the PBoC engaged in designing swap arrangements in EMs/LICs; officials from NDRC, China Export and Credit Insurance Corp, CIDCA, and other agencies engaged in lending/aid; and officials in the Ministries of Commerce, Foreign Affairs, and Finance overseeing lending/aid to EMs/LICs.

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Qualifications

Participants should have a degree in economics or finance, and should have reasonably fluency in English (translation will not be available). Experience with debt sustainability analysis, or credit risk analysis would be extremely useful.

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Course Description

The course would present an overview of the tools available to assist with debt sustainability analysis, with a special focus on how to use them to assess cases where debt is not sustainable and resolution is needed. It also covers the global architecture for debt resolution, when this is necessary. Among the topics covered are:
-Defining public debt, and assessing contingent risks that exist due to gaps in data
- Macro forecasting and realism (with close attention to investment-growth linkages)
- Determination of a country's debt carrying capacity (both external and total debt)
- Categorizing risks for external and total debt, and qualifying them
- Thinking about sustainability
- Different approaches to restoring sustainability
- The international architecture for debt resolution, and IMF's policies when dealing with countries in a debt resolution situations

This workshop will be conducted via WebEx platform and a reliable broadband is required. A device with either the WebEx desktop application or a Google Chrome web browser are essential. We recommend using a computer to fully benefit from the lectures and exercises of this course.

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Course Objectives

Understand the basic information needed for a debt sustainability analysis
- Interpret sustainability analyses published by the IMF and World Bank
- Evaluate sustainability and how to evaluate loss given default
- Options available to creditors to support debt resolution
- Understand what will happen if a country becomes over-burdened with debt, and what crisis lenders (like the IMF) will need from creditors to be able to help with resolution.

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