Core Inflation Measures and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Them

April 1, 2006

Preview Citation

Format: Chicago

Mick Silver. Core Inflation Measures and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Them, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2006) accessed November 23, 2024

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This paper provides an overview of statistical measurement issues relating to alternative measures of core inflation, and the criteria for choosing among them. The approaches to measurement considered include exclusion-based methods, imputation methods, limited influence estimators, reweighting, and economic modeling. Criteria for judging which approach to use include credibility, control, deviations from a smoothed reference series, volatility, predictive ability, causality and cointegration tests, and correlation with money supply. Country practice can differ in how the approaches are implemented and how their appropriateness is assessed. There is little consistency in the results of country studies to readily suggest guidelines on accepted methods.

Subject: Consumer price indexes, Deflation, Inflation, Inflation targeting, Price indexes

Keywords: Consumer price index, Core CPI, Product group, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

58
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Working Paper No. 2006/097
Stock No:

WPIEA2006097
ISBN:

9781451863574
ISSN:

1018-5941

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