Valuation of Unlisted Direct Investment Equity
IMF Working Papers, November 1, 2009
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Thomas Elkjaer, Jannick Damgaard, Emmanuel O. Kumah
- Published: November 1, 2009
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451873894.001
Overview
- Title: Valuation of Unlisted Direct Investment Equity
- Authors: Thomas Elkjaer, Jannick Damgaard, Emmanuel O. Kumah
- Publication date: November 1, 2009
- Series: Working Paper No. 2009/242
- Issue: 242
- Pages: 72
Purpose and scope
- Analyzes the seven valuation methods for unlisted direct investment equity included in the IMF Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth Edition (BPM6).
- Empirical testing is based on publicly available Danish data.
- Tests three methods that are generally applicable across cases.
Key findings and results
- The choice of valuation method and estimation technique can have a highly significant impact on the international investment position.
- The price-to-book value method generates more robust market value estimates than the price-to-earnings method.
- The finding suggests that the valuation basis for the forthcoming Coordinated Direct Investment Survey — own funds at book value — will provide useful information for compiling the international investment position.
Methods examined
- Seven valuation methods are discussed in BPM6 (all seven identified in the Manual; three methods were empirically tested using Danish data).
- Empirical comparison focused on market-value estimation techniques, including:
- Price-to-book value method (found to be more robust),
- Price-to-earnings method (found to be less robust),
- A third generally applicable method (tested but detailed empirical ranking not summarized on the page).
Policy implications and recommendations
- Results point to the need for further harmonization of valuation methods and estimation techniques used to compile the international investment position.
- The use of own funds at book value in the Coordinated Direct Investment Survey is likely to provide valuable data for valuing unlisted direct investment equity.
Subjects and keywords
- Subject: Estimation techniques, Foreign direct investment, Stock markets, Stocks, Wages
- Keywords: accounting data, earnings before interest and taxes, risk premium, valuation model, WP
Publication and identifiers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451873894.001
- Stock No: WPIEA2009242
- ISBN: 9781451873894
- ISSN: 1018-5941
IMF Working Paper — Valuation of Unlisted Direct Investment Equity (Working Paper No. 2009/242)
Content in this bundle
- Annex 1: BPM6-Recommended Valuation Methods