Evaluating Designs for a Fiscal Rule in Bulgaria

November 1, 2011

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Jochen R. Andritzky Evaluating Designs for a Fiscal Rule in Bulgaria, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2011) accessed November 23, 2024

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

The enhanced Stability and Growth Pact calls on euro area members and aspirants to set boundaries to fiscal deficits through high-level legislation. A limit on the deficit, such as the deficit ceiling in Bulgaria's organic budget law, serves to protect solvency. The recent crisis clearly indicated that the key challenges are not only to contain the deficit but also to avoid a procyclical stance during upswings and to build a buffer for rainy days. Ideally, fiscal policymaking is guided by a fiscal rule that adapts through the economic cycle. This paper lays out the objectives of fiscal rules and analyzes how these objectives can be met in Bulgaria through either a growth-adjusted balance rule or an expenditure rule complemented by a deficit ceiling.

Subject: Budget planning and preparation, Expenditure, Fiscal policy, Fiscal rules, Fiscal stance, Public financial management (PFM)

Keywords: Balance rule, Budget deficits, Budget planning and preparation, Bulgaria, Countercyclical expenditure policy, Debt ratio, Deficit ceiling, Eastern Europe, Expenditure rule, Fiscal policy, Fiscal rules, Fiscal stance, Global, Growth limit, Output gap, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

25
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Working Paper No. 2011/272
Stock No:

WPIEA2011272
ISBN:

9781463925277
ISSN:

1018-5941

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