IMF Working Papers

Inflation, Nominal Interest Rates, and the Variability of Output

By Bankim Chadha, Daniel Tsiddon

October 1, 1996

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Bankim Chadha, and Daniel Tsiddon. Inflation, Nominal Interest Rates, and the Variability of Output, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 1996) accessed November 21, 2024
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This paper examines the distribution of output around capacity when money demand is a nonlinear function of the nominal interest rate such that nominal interest rates cannot become negative. When fluctuations in output result primarily from disturbances to the money market, the variance of output is shown to be an increasing function of the trend inflation rate. When they result from disturbances to the goods market, the variance of output is a decreasing function of the trend inflation rate. When both disturbances are significant, there exists, in general, a critical non-zero trend inflation rate that minimizes the variance of output.

Subject: Capacity utilization, Demand for money, Financial services, Inflation, Monetary base, Money, Prices, Production, Real interest rates

Keywords: Capacity utilization, Demand for money, Inflation, Inflation rate rise, Long-run inflation rate influence, Monetary base, Money demand function, Nominal interest rate, Price level, Rate of inflation, Real interest rates, Shock term, Trend inflation rate, WP

Publication Details

  • Pages:

    36

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 1996/109

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA1091996

  • ISBN:

    9781451853162

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941