World Economic Outlook, September 2002

Changes to the database

About the WEO Database

About the Data Set

What Data are Available?

How To Use These Files

Questions?

World Economic Outlook Databases



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   WORLD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL SURVEYS

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) Database September 2002

Selected World Aggregates
    Annual data  CSV

Real Gross Domestic Product (annual percent change)
    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV
    Regional group aggregates  CSV

Real Gross Domestic Product, Constant Prices (billions of local currency units)
    All countries    CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV

Gross Domestic Product, Current Prices (billions of
local currency units)

    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV

Gross Domestic Product, Current Prices (billions of U.S. dollars)
    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV

Per Capita Gross Domestic Product, Constant Prices
(local currency per person)
    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV

Per Capita Gross Domestic Product, Current Prices
(local currency per person)
    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV

Per Capita Gross Domestic Product, Current Prices
(U.S. dollars per person)
    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV

Shares of Aggregate GDP Based on Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Valuation of Country GDP
    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV

Inflation (annual percent change)
    All countries  CSV
    Advanced economies  CSV
    Developing and transition countries  CSV
    Regional group aggregates  CSV

General Government Fiscal Balances (percent of GDP)
    Advanced economies  CSV

Output Gaps (percent of potential GDP)
    Advanced economies  CSV

General Government Structural Balances
(percent of potential GDP)
    Advanced economies  CSV

Net Capital Flows (billions of US dollars)
    Developing and transition country groups  CSV

External Debt and Debt Service
    Regional group aggregates   CSV
 

Changes to the database:

September 2002
Growth and inflation projections are included for all countries through 2003.

May 2002
Middle East, Malta, and Turkey is replaced by the title Middle East and Turkey. The country composition remains the same.

December 2001
No changes were introduced.

October 2001
No changes were introduced.

May 2001

  1. Greece is included in the euro area.
  2. Cyprus is included in Advanced Economies. It was previously included in Middle East and Europe under Developing Countries.
  3. Asia is replaced by the title Developing Asia. There is no difference in the composition of the group.
  4. Middle East and Europe is replaced by the title Middle East and Turkey. Cyprus is no longer included in the group.
  5. Two new subgroups comprise Countries in Transition. Commonwealth of Independent States and Mongolia replaces Trancaucasus and central Asia and the composition of Central and Eastern Europe has changed: the group no longer includes Moldova and Ukraine. Please refer to the introduction to the Statistical Appendix for details on WEO regional and analytical groups.
 
About the World Economic Outlook (WEO) Database

The WEO database is created during the biannual World Economic Outlook (WEO) exercise, which begins in January and June of each year and results in the WEO publication, which is released in May and October. Selected series that are available in the publication are now available on this website at the time of the release of the Advance Copy of the WEO Publication. If necessary, these figures will be revised in order to maintain consistency with the published World Economic Outlook, which remains the document of record.

The WEO exercise is coordinated by the World Economic Studies Division in the Research Department. The projections and analysis contained in the World Economic Outlook are an integral element of the IMF's ongoing surveillance of economic development and policies in its member countries and of the global economic system. The survey of prospects and policies is the product of a comprehensive interdepartmental review of world economic developments, which draws primarily on the information IMF staff gathers through its consultations with member countries.

WEO projections are prepared by the country desk economists in area departments on the basis of internationally consistent assumptions about world economic activity, exchange rates, and conditions in international financial and commodity markets. For approximately 50 of the largest economies, referred to as Group A countries and which account for 90 percent of world output, the projections are updated for each WEO exercise. Other countries provide updates and revisions to their projections both during the WEO exercise and at the time of the IMF's regular Article IV consultations with member countries or in connection with the use of Fund resources, unless world developments necessitate more frequent updates. For details on the country composition of WEO groups please refer to the introduction of the WEO statisticsal Appendix.

How the WEO estimates differ from those in International Financial Statistics

The data appearing in the World Economic Outlook are provided to the Research Department at the time of the WEO exercise, not on a continual basis. The historical data and projections are based upon the information gathered by the IMF country desk economists in the context of their missions and ongoing analysis of the evolving situation in member countries; projections are staff estimates. The data published in the Statistics Department’s International Financial Statistics and CD-ROM product are gathered as part of an ongoing data collection effort in which member country statistical agencies provide public statistics to the IMF. Because of the difference in data collection techniques, methodological issues, focus, and timing, the estimates in International Financial Statistics and the World Economic Outlook can differ.

Data and File Conventions

Please note the following:

  1. Domestic economy series are expressed in billions of national currency units.
  2. External accounts series are expressed in billions of U.S. dollars.
  3. Indexes are generally based on 1995.
  4. Dates are expressed as the four digit year followed by "A1" which designates the annual frequency.

WEO group aggregate data are expressed in a manner that reflects the aggregation method applied:

  1. Domestic economy series are in index form; the focus of the series is its percentage change.
  2. External account series are in billions of U.S. dollars.

For details about each of the variables available please refer to About the Data Set.

Group A Countries

Algeria
Argentina
Australia
Bangladesh
Brazil
Cameroon
Canada
Chile
China
Colombia
Congo, Democratic
   Republic of
Côte d'Ivoire
Egypt
France
Germany
India
Indonesia
Iran, Islamic
   Republic of
Israel
Italy
Japan
Kazakhstan
Kenya
Korea
Malaysia
Mexico
Morocco
Netherlands
Nigeria
Pakistan
Philippines
Poland
Russia
Saudi Arabia
South Africa
Spain
Sudan
Sweden
Switzerland
Taiwan Province
   of China
Thailand
Turkey
Ukraine
United Kingdom
United States
Venezuela

 
About the Data Set

Selected World Aggregates

World aggregates for the following annual series are provided from 1970:

  • Real gross domestic product (annual percent change)
  • Gross domestic product (values at market exchange rates and purchasing power parity [PPP] exchange rates)
  • Inflation (annual percent change)
  • World trade volume of goods and services (annual percent change)
  • World exports of goods and services (billions of U.S. dollars)
  • World imports of goods and services (billions of U.S. dollars)
Please note:

  1. In many cases no level data exist for group aggregates because growth rates are aggregated.

Real Gross Domestic Product (annual percent change)

Annual percentages of real GDP are year-on-year changes.

Please note:

  1. Data through 1991 apply to west Germany only.
  2. For developing countries, figures for recent years are IMF staff estimates. Data for some countries are for fiscal years.
  3. For countries in transition, data for some countries refer to real net material product (NMP) or are estimates based on NMP. For many countries, figures for recent years are IMF staff estimates. The figures should be interpreted only as indicative of broad orders of magnitude because reliable, comparable data are not generally available. In particular, the growth of output of new private enterprises or of the informal economy is not fully reflected in the recent figures.
  4. In many cases no level data exist for group aggregates because growth rates are aggregates of percent changes rather than levels.

Real Gross Domestic Product, Constant Prices (local currencies)

Real GDP is expressed in billions of national currency units; the base year is country-specific. The last available year is consistent with that which appears in the statistical tables in the WEO publication.

Gross Domestic Product, Current Prices (local currencies)

GDP is expressed in billions of national currency units. The last available year is consistent with that which appears for GDP in constant prices in the statistical tables in the WEO publication.

Gross Domestic Product in U.S. Dollars

GDP is expressed in billions of U.S. dollars. These values are based upon GDP in national currency and the exchange rate projections provided by the country desk economists for developing and transition countries. Exchanges rates for advanced economies are set as one part of the WEO assumptions during the WEO exercise. The last available year is consistent with that which appears for GDP in constant prices in the statistical tables in the WEO publication.

Per Capita Gross Domestic Product, Constant Prices (local currency per person)

GDP is expressed in constant national currencies per person. Data are derived by dividing constant price GDP by the total population. The last available year is consistent with that which appears for GDP in the statistical tables of the WEO publication.

Per Capita Gross Domestic Product, Current Prices (local currency per person)

GDP is expressed in current national currencies per person. Data are derived by dividing current price GDP by the total population. The last available year is consistent with that which appears for GDP in the statistical tables of the WEO publication.

Per Capita Gross Domestic Product, Current Prices (U.S. dollars per person)

GDP is expressed in current U.S. dollars per person. Data are derived by first converting GDP in local currencies to U.S. dollars and then dividing GDP by the total population. The last available year is consistent with that which appears for GDP in the statistical tables of the WEO publication.

Shares of Aggregate GDP Based on Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Valuation of Country GDP

This data form the basis for the country weights used to generate the World Economic Outlook country group composites for the domestic economy. The data are expressed as percent of the world total.

Please note:

  1. The IMF is not a primary source for purchasing power parity (PPP) data. WEO weights have been created from primary sources and are used solely for purposes of generating country group composites. For primary source information, please refer to one of the following sources: the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the World Bank, or the Penn World Tables.
  2. For further information see Box A.1 in the May 2000 World Economic Outlook for a summary of the revised PPP-based weights, and Annex IV of the May 1993 World Economic Outlook. See also Anne Marie Gulde and Marianne Schulze-Ghattas, "Purchasing Power Parity Based Weights for the World Economic Outlook," in Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook (Washington: IMF, December 1993), pp. 106-23.

Inflation

Data for inflation are annual percentage change averages for the year, not end-of-period data.

Please note:

  1. For many developing countries, figures for recent years are IMF staff estimates. Data for some countries are for fiscal years.
  2. For many countries in transition, inflation for the earlier years is measured on the basis of a retail price index. Consumer price indices with a broader and more up-to-date coverage are typically used for more recent years.

General Government Fiscal Balances

Data are on a national income accounts basis. Please refer to Box A1 for a summary of the policy assumptions underlying the projections.

Please note:

  1. Australia: data exclude net advances (primarily privatization receipts and net policy-related lending).
  2. Austria: based on ESA95 methodology, according to which swap income is not included. Data on swap income are not yet available for other countries in the European Union.
  3. France: data are adjusted for valuation changes of the foreign exchange stabilization fund.
  4. Korea: data cover the consolidated central government including the social security funds but excluding privatization.
  5. New Zealand: data from 1992 onward are on an accrual basis and are not strictly comparable with previous cash-based data.
  6. United Kingdom: data exclude asset sales.
Output Gaps

Output gaps are calculated as actual GDP less potential GDP as a percent of potential GDP. Estimates of output gaps are subject to a significant margin of uncertainty. For a discussion of approaches to calculating potential output, see Paula R. De Masi, "IMF Estimates of Potential Output: Theory and Practice," in Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook (Washington: IMF, December 1997), pp. 40-46.

Please note:

  1. Data through 1991 apply to west Germany only.

General Government Structural Balances

Data are on a national income accounts basis. The structural budget position is defined as the actual budget deficit (or surplus) less the effects of cyclical deviations of output from potential output. Because of the margin of uncertainty that attaches to estimates of cyclical gaps and to tax and expenditure elasticities with respect to national income, indicators of structural budget positions should be interpreted as broad orders of magnitude. Moreover, it is important to note that changes in structural budget balances are not necessarily attributable to policy changes but may reflect the built-in momentum of existing expenditure programs. In the period beyond that for which specific consolidation programs exist, it is assumed that the structural deficit remains unchanged.

Please note:

  1. Australia: data exclude commonwealth government privatization receipts.
  2. European Union and euro area aggregates exclude Luxembourg.
  3. Excludes one-off receipts from the sale of mobile telephone licenses equivalent to 2.5 percent of GDP in 2000 for Germany, 0.1 percent of GDP in 2001 and 2002 for France, 1.2 percent of GDP in 2000 for Italy, 2.4 percent of GDP in 2000 for the United Kingdom, 0.1 percent of GDP in 2000 for Spain, 0.7 percent of GDP in 2000 for the Netherlands, 0.2 percent of GDP in 2001 for Belgium, and 0.4 percent of GDP in 2000 for Austria. Also excludes one-off receipts from asset sales sizable asset transactions.
  4. Germany: the estimate of the fiscal impulse for 1995 is affected by the assumption by the federal government of the debt of the Treuhandanstalt and various other agencies, which were formerly held outside the general government sector. At the public sector level, there would be an estimated withdrawal of fiscal impulse amounting to just over 1 percent of GDP. Data exclude mobile telephone license receipts.
  5. New Zealand: data exclude privatization proceeds.
  6. Norway: data exclude oil.
Net Capital Flows

Net private capital flows comprise net direct investment, net portfolio investment, and other long- and short-term net investment flows including official and private borrowing. The composition of the group aggregates appearing in the table "Emerging Market Economies: Net Capital Flows" differs from the standard WEO groups. "Total Emerging Markets" includes developing countries, countries in transition, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan Province of China, and Israel. Please refer to the notes below for additional details.

The series in the data file are organized as they appear in the statistical table:

    Private capital flows, net
       Private direct investment, net
       Private portfolio investment, net
       Other private capital flows, net
    Official flows, net
    Change in reserves
    Memorandum
    Current account

Please note:

  1. The total excludes Hong Kong SAR.
  2. Change in reserves: a minus sign indicates an increase.
  3. The difference between the current account and the sum of net private capital flows, net official flows, and change in reserves is the capital account and errors and omissions.
  4. "Developing Asia" includes Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan Province of China.
  5. "Middle East and Turkey" includes Israel and Malta.

External Debt and Debt Service

External debt data are expressed in billions of US dollars and reflect total external debt at year end for developing and transition countries only. External debt data are not collected for advanced economies.

Please note:

  1. Total debt includes all short- and long-term debt.
  2. Debt-service payments refer to actual payments of interest on total debt plus actual amortization payments on long-term debt. The projections incorporate the impact of exceptional financing items.

Queries about the WEO database should be sent to the e-mail address weo@imf.org.


What Data Are Available

This site provides the most frequently requested information from the WEO database consistent with the data published in the World Economic Outlook. Please note the following:

  1. The end dates of country-specific series correspond to those appearing in the WEO publication.
  2. Not all of the data appearing in the WEO publication are disseminated through this site.
  3. Over time, additional information may be released.
  4. Customized requests for WEO data will no longer be filled.
Queries about the WEO database should be sent to the e-mail address WEO@IMF.ORG.


How To Use These Files

The data tables, in the WEO Database Index, are presented in Comma Delimited, CSV text file format. Although this file format allows for the data table to be easily retrieved into a variety of applications, they are best viewed within one that will allow one to easily manipulate data that is in columnar format. Common examples of such applications are those that are used to create spreadsheets and databases.

If you don't have access to either a spreadsheet or a database application, you can also retrieve the data table file into either an ASCII text-editing or a word-processing application. However, since neither of these two application types has the facility to easily format the width of the data columns, quite a bit of manual reformatting will be required to properly view the data.

Before you save the data table to disk, it is recommended that you view it first to make sure that it contains the data you are interested in.

To View a Data Table

To view a data table, within your browser window, click on the CSV link that is located just to the right of the table name.

Alternatively, you can right-click on the CSV link and then select "Open in New Window." This viewing method is particularly useful if you want to open several tables for viewing at the same time. Simply repeat the steps for each table you want to open for viewing.

File Viewing Tip:
If you find that the table is wider than can be viewed within the width of your screen, use your browser's Search key to locate key information that you are looking for.
 

To Save a Data Table to Disk

To save a data table to disk, highlight the CSV link, right-click, and then select "Save Target As." Make sure that you save the file as a CSV Text Document.

File Saving Tip:
If you want to save the data table to a diskette, check its file size beforehand to confirm that it is small enough to fit on the diskette.

  1. Open the data table for viewing.
  2. Click on File/Properties. (Alternatively, you can right-click anywhere within the table and select "Properties".) Included in the properties displayed will be the file's size.
 

To Retrieve a Data Table in to a Spreadsheet Application or Import the Data Table into a Database Application

To retrieve the data table into a spreadsheet application, proceed with the steps that you normally go through to open an existing spreadsheet.

To import the data table into a database, create a new table and then import the data table file into the newly created database table.

Note that because the data table is formatted as a CSV Text Document, you may be prompted to set the file import options, which will ensure that the data is properly formatted when the file is retrieved into the spreadsheet or imported into the database table. The key file import options and their associated values are listed in the table below.

Import Option Value
Data Type Comma Delimited
File Origin Windows ANSI
Text Qualifier {"}
Field Delimiter {,}
First Row Field Names

Additionally, please note that null field values are represented by the phrase "n.a." You may need to replace all instances of "n.a." with a blank field before importing the data table into your spreadsheet/database.

Tips:
  • Once you've retrieved/imported the data table, immediately save it to disk before making any formatting changes. This will avoid the need to reimport it should you run into problems formatting the table. Remember to save the file in the native format of the spreadsheet/database package rather than as a text file.
  • All fields, except those that contain numbers, should be specified as field type = text.
  • Numeric fields that contain "n.a." field values should have a numeric field type. When selecting which numeric field type to use, keep in mind that the field type you select will determine the decimal precision of the field. Decimal precision will, in turn, determine the amount of disk space that is allocated to the data stored in that field. In general, the greater the degree of decimal precision required, the more disk space that is needed to store the field value. If the overall size of the database is of a programmatic concern to you, choose your numeric fields carefully.
  • To print the entire data table, you may need to maximize your page format settings as follows:
Format Setting Value
Page Size Legal
Page Orientation Landscape
Font Type Any proportional font such as Line Printer, Arial, or Universe. A fixed font such as Times Roman or Courier will increase the required line length.
Font Size 8 point or smaller
Margins Left = 0"
Right = 0"
Actual margin width will be set to the lowest default value for your printer.

To Retrieve a Data Table into an ASCII Text Editor or Word-Processing Application

To retrieve the data table into either an ASCII text editor or word-processing application, proceed with the steps that you normally go through to open a text file or document.

If you are retrieving the data table into a word-processing application, you may be prompted to convert the file format. If yes, indicate that you are converting from "ASCII Text."

Tips for Retrieving a Data Table into a Word-Processing Application:
  • Once you've retrieved/imported the data table, immediately save it to disk before making any formatting changes. This will avoid the need to reimport it should you run into problems formatting the table. Remember to save the file in the native format of the spreadsheet/database package rather than as a text file.
  • Since the data columns are delimited with commas, you can search and replace all instances of commas with a Tab command. This will automatically align the columns for easier reading.
  • To view and/or print an entire data table, you may need to adjust the document's tab settings so that the columns display correctly. Also, you may need to maximize your page format settings as follows:
Format Setting Value
Page Size Legal
Page Orientation Landscape
Font Type Any proportional font such as Line Printer, Arial, or Universe. A fixed font such as Times Roman or Courier will increase the required line length.
Font Size 8 point or smaller
Margins Left = 0"
Right = 0"
Actual margin width will be set to the lowest default value for your printer.

 
WEO Database September 2002