Foreword - Preface - Executive Summary |
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I |
Introduction |
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References |
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II |
Taking Stock |
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Main Economic and Social Outcomes |
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Explaining the Outcomes |
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Conclusion |
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References |
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III |
Fiscal Sustainability |
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Lack of Short-Term Policy Constraints |
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Common Fragilities |
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Underlying Weaknesses |
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Fiscal Lessons, Policy Responses, and Challenges |
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References |
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IV |
Monetary and Exchange Rate Regimes |
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Overview |
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Alternative Approaches to Monetary Stabilization |
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Macroeconomic Impact of Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization Plans |
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Effects on Other Elements of Reform Programs |
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Exit and Regime Change |
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Lessons, Policy Responses, and Challenges |
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References |
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V |
Latin American Financial Systems: Crises and Reforms |
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Key Characteristics of Latin American Financial Systems |
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Underlying Weaknesses |
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Banking Crises and Reforms |
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Lessons, Policy Responses, and Challenges |
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References |
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VI |
Financial Dollarization in Latin America |
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Causes |
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Managing the Risks |
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Lessons, Policy Responses, and Challenges |
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References |
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VII |
External Vulnerabilities |
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Disappointing Outcomes of Trade Liberalization |
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Capital Flows to Latin America |
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Low Trade Shares and Volatile Capital Flows Amplified Vulnerabilities |
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Lessons, Policy Responses, and Challenges |
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References |
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VIII |
Lessons and Priorities for Future Agenda |
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Looking Back |
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Disappointments |
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Explanatory Factors |
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Priorities for Future Agenda |
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IMF Role: Supporting Growth Agendas |
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References |
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Boxes |
2.1. |
Latin America: Labor Market Reforms |
2.2. |
Latin America: Impediments to Business Activity and Growth |
3.1. |
Chile’s Fiscal Consolidation in 1990s |
3.2. |
Tax Amnesties in Argentina |
3.3. |
Infrastructure Spending and Growth in Latin America |
4.1. |
Exchange Rate Experience in Central America |
4.2. |
Cyclical Impact of Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization Plans |
5.1. |
Finance for Growth: Experiences in Chile and Mexico |
5.2. |
Do Brazilian Banks Compete? |
5.3. |
Taxation of Financial Transactions in Latin America |
5.4. |
Vulnerabilities from Offshore Banking |
5.5. |
Cross-Border Financial Integration: Banking in Central
America |
7.1. |
NAFTA: Benefits and Challenges |
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Tables |
ES1. |
Latin America: Policy Indicators, 1992 and 2002 |
ES2. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Real Per Capita GDP, 1998–2003 |
ES3. |
Latin America: Incidence of Poverty |
ES4. |
Selected Latin America Countries: Total Change in Public Infrastructure
Spending, 1990 to 2000 |
ES5. |
Selected Latin American Counties: Foreign Exchange Deposits |
2.1. |
International Comparison: Growth in Real Per Capita GDP |
2.2. |
Real Per Capita GDP, 1998–2003 |
2.3. |
Consequences of Crisis: Current Account Adjustment |
2.4. |
Latin America: Incidence of Poverty |
2.5. |
IMF Arrangements in Latin America, 1989–2004 |
2.6. |
International Comparison: Corruption Perception Index |
3.1. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Composition of Public Debt,
2000 |
3.2. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Real Effective Exchange Rates
and Foreign Currency Debt |
3.3. |
Selected Latin American Countries: General Government
Tax Revenues |
3.4. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Value-Added-Tax (VAT)
Revenue Productivity |
3.5. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Cost of Tax Collection, 1998 |
3.6. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Earmarked Spending, 2002 |
3.7. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Estimates of Implicit
Pension Debt in 1990s |
4.1. |
Monetary Stabilization Plans: Objectives and Timing |
4.2. |
Pre- and Post-Stabilization Inflation and Exchange
Rate Developments |
4.3. |
Latin America: Increases in Central Bank Independence |
5.1. |
International Comparison: Financial Systems, 2003 |
5.2. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Structure of Banking
Systems |
5.3. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Assets and Loans of
Public Banks |
5.4. |
International Comparison: Bank Performance Indicators |
5.5. |
Three Latin American Countries: Bankruptcy Frameworks |
5.6. |
Latin America: Fiscal Costs of Banking Crises in 1990s |
6.1. |
Dollarization Indicators, 2001 |
6.2. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Deposit and Loan
Dollarization |
6.3. |
Selected Latin American Countries with Low Dollarization:
Risk-Management Arrangements |
6.4. |
Latin America: Offshore Deposits |
6.5. |
Selected Highly Dollarized Latin American Countries:
Risk-Management Arrangements |
7.1. |
Latin America: Regional Integration Initiatives, 1990–Present |
7.2. |
International Comparison: Export Performance in Latin
America and Asia |
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Figures |
ES1. |
Latin America: Inflation |
ES2. |
Four Latin American Countries: Public Debt |
ES3. |
Four Latin American Countries: Real Effective Exchange Rates |
ES4. |
International Comparison: Exports of Goods and Services |
2.1. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Inflation Performance |
2.2. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Growth Performance |
2.3. |
Latin America: Real GDP |
2.4. |
Selected Latin American and Asian Countries: Per Capita
Incomes Compared with United States, 1950–2000 |
2.5. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Output Volatility |
2.6. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Consequences of Crisis for
Real GDP Growth |
2.7. |
Latin America: Incidence of Poverty and Extreme Poverty |
2.8. |
Latin America: Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction,
1990–2001 |
2.9. |
Global Indicators |
2.10. |
Emerging Market Spreads |
2.11. |
Latin America: Emerging Market Bond Spreads |
2.12. |
Latin America: IMF-Supported Arrangements |
2.13. |
Latin America: Contribution of Reforms to Economic Growth |
2.14. |
Latin America: Structural Reform Indices |
2.15. |
International Comparison: Per Capita Income and
Governance, 2000 |
2.16. |
Latin America: Governance Ratings, 1985–2001 |
2.17. |
International Comparison: Governance Indicators, 2001 |
3.1. |
International Comparison: Government Net Debt, 1996 |
3.2. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Public Sector Balances |
3.3. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Public Debt |
3.4. |
International Comparison: Cyclical Sensitivity of Primary
Balance |
3.5. |
Brazil: Composition of Spending |
3.6. |
Selected Latin American Countries: General Government
Expenditure on Wages and Infrastructure |
3.7. |
Brazil: Public Sector Primary Balance |
3.8. |
Argentina: “Fiscal Skeletons” and Primary Balance |
3.9. |
Argentina: “Fiscal Skeletons” and Public Debt Paths |
4.1. |
Latin America: Fiscal Deficits and Inflation, 1980–2001 |
4.2. |
Latin America: Exchange Rate Developments |
4.3. |
Inflation Under Alternative Stabilization Plans |
4.4. |
Latin America: Real Effective Exchange Rates |
4.5. |
Inflation Targeting in Latin America |
5.1. |
Latin America: Boom and Bust in Credit Growth |
5.2. |
Interest Spread in Latin America |
5.3. |
Comparative Savings and Loan Ratios in Mid-1990s |
5.4. |
Strength of Financial Regulatory Environment in Selected
Countries |
6.1. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Deposit Dollarization and
Inflation, 1990–2001 |
6.2. |
Real Interest Rates in Selected Highly Dollarized Countries |
6.3. |
Real Interest Rates in Non-Dollarized Countries |
6.4. |
Public Sector Deficits in Highly Dollarized Countries |
6.5. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Inflation and Real Bilateral
Exchange Rate Volatility, 1990–2002 |
6.6. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Reserve Coverage of
Foreign Currency Deposits |
7.1. |
Trade and Financial Integration Across Developing
Regions, 1975–99 |
7.2. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Average Tariffs |
7.3. |
International Comparison: Exports of Goods and Services |
7.4. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Trade Openness, 2002 |
7.5. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Herfindahl Index for
Exports |
7.6. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Commodity Exports |
7.7. |
Latin America: Net Private Capital Flows |
7.8. |
Selected Latin American Countries: Net Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) Flows |
7.9. |
International Comparison: External Debt |
7.10. |
Selected Latin American Countries: External Debt, 2000 |
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