Modeling Sterilized Interventions and Balance Sheet Effects of Monetary Policy in a New-Keynesian Framework

 
Author/Editor: Jaromir Benes ; Andrew Berg ; Rafael A Portillo ; David Vavra
 
Publication Date: January 14, 2013
 
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
 
Summary: We study a wide range of hybrid inflation-targeting (IT) and managed exchange rate regimes, analyzing their implications for inflation, output and the exchange rate in the presence of various domestic and external shocks. To this end, we develop an open economy new-Keynesian model featuring sterilized interventions in the foreign exchange (FX) market as an additional central bank instrument operating alongside the Taylor rule, and affecting the economy through portfolio balance sheet effects in the financial sector. We find that there can be advantages to combining IT with some degree of exchange rate management via FX interventions. Unlike "pure" IT or exchange rate management via interest rates, FX interventions can help insulate the economy against certain shocks, especially shocks to international financial conditions. However, managing the exchange rate through FX interventions may also hinder necessary exchange rate adjustments, e.g., in the presence of terms of trade shocks.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 13/11
Subject(s): Exchange markets | Intervention | Emerging markets | Developing countries | Exchange rate regimes | Monetary policy | Inflation targeting | Economic models

 
English
Publication Date: January 14, 2013
ISBN/ISSN: 9781475545401/1018-5941 Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA2013011 Pages: 43
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