Supplementary Memorandum
of Economic and
Financial Policies For Bosnia and Herzegovina
1. We begin our terms of office at a critical time. Though output is
growing, the post conflict-boom is clearly over, activity remains well
below pre-war levels, refugees from abroad continue to return in large
numbers, and unemployment and the external current account deficit remain
unsustainably high. Furthermore, the reconstruction phase of Bosnia's
development is well advanced and our nation's focus is shifting increasingly
towards preparations for eventual accession to the European Union. In
the four year term allotted to us, much needs to be done to address these
challenges.
2. Our economic program, as supported by the Stand-By Arrangement, is
the foundation of our efforts to respond to these challenges. We endorse
the program's goals, its three central elements—the currency board
arrangement, fiscal consolidation, and structural reforms—and the
specific commitments incorporated in it as reflected in the two earlier
Memoranda of Economic and Financial Policies. We will act as necessary
to secure its completion and on that basis, we look forward to negotiations
for a successor arrangement.
3. Much has been achieved under the program so far:
- The currency board has strengthened. Reserves rose from three to five
months of import cover in the six months to end-2001, and at end 2002,
they still provide 4.7 months of imports and more than cover base
money.
- The consolidated fiscal deficit was reduced from 5.8 percent of GDP
in 2001 to 4.3 percent in 2002. This was faster progress than envisaged
under the program and occurred despite the heavy one-off costs of military
demobilization in both Entities. Also ahead of program commitments,
0.3 percent of GDP of succession monies used in the demobilizations
has been reconstituted. Pensions, social benefits, and government wages
have been regularly paid on time and in full, ending the hitherto frequent
accrual of arrears in these areas. Strengthened tax administration and
effective treasury control were key to these successes.
- Succession and privatization receipts have been put in escrow in anticipation
of a restructuring of domestic claims on government and efforts to quantify
the claims are making good progress.
- Both Entities and the State approved budgets for 2003 which anticipate
a consolidated fiscal deficit target of 2.2 percent of GDP in 2003.
We supported those budgets in our legislatures before assuming office.
- Fiscal structural reforms have advanced. All structural benchmarks
concerning indirect taxation have been observed following implementation
by Brcko District of the road fee effective January 1 2003, the excise
attribution mechanism is now working, and the ASYCUDA++ customs information
system is in place nationwide. Treasury systems operate at central governments
and have begun operations in two Canton so far. In addition, free trade
agreements have been concluded with our neighbors, and WTO accession
is anticipated in 2004.
- In December 2002, consistent with the currency board arrangement and
international accounting standards, the Central Bank assumed responsibility
to act as fiscal agent for Bosnia and Herzegovina vis—vis the
IMF, taking this task over from the State Ministry of the Treasury.
Good progress has been made in implementing the recommendations of the
IMF safeguards assessment report, notably by strengthening the financial
reporting framework, the internal audit mechanism, and internal control
mechanisms at the Central Bank.
- Industrial production has reportedly strengthened following the end-2001
trough, led by manufacturing. After falling 20 percent in 2001, RS manufacturing
output rose 4 percent in 2002, while in the Federation, manufacturing
production rose by 13¼ percent in 2002, a little below its
growth in 2001. In both Entities, a strong increasing trend is indicated
in the latter part of 2002.
4. As a result, we have inherited a policy framework that is in good
shape. But it is not without problems:
- Bank credit to the private sector has expanded rapidly in 2002, boosting
imports and the external current account deficit. Though this originates
in deposit growth which reflects a welcome strengthening in confidence
in the KM and in banks, the consequent credit expansion has increased
external pressures and raises some prudential concerns. Both need to
be addressed.
- Though the RS budget deficit outturn was stronger than anticipated
in the rebalanced 2002 budget, both performance criteria ceilings on
gross borrowing from domestic banks were exceeded at end-December 2002
by modest amounts. The breach for central government reflected temporary
(two week) bank borrowing by the Roads Directorate, while the breach
for the extra budgetary funds occurred largely because the planned transfers
of debt from the funds to the central government was not executed in
time.
- Monitoring of fiscal developments in cantons remains inadequate, and
cantons may have overshot their programmed deficit for 2002.
- The structural benchmark requiring application of banking regulations
was breached in two areas. First, the minimum capital requirement of
KM 15 million, effective January 1, 2003, was not met by 7 of 30 banks
in the Federation and by 2 of 10 banks in the RS. Second, many banks
have not observed the foreign exchange exposure regulations. Furthermore,
some key banking regulations do not conform with international standards,
notably in respect of core capital, capital for market risk, and consolidated
banking supervision, and the regulation defining limits on foreign exchange
exposures is insufficiently comprehensive.
- Though indirect tax legislation has been harmonized, there are risks
of further disharmonization in the legislation and implementation of
these taxes arising from the fact that they are legislated at Entity
and Brcko District level. Furthermore, there are indications of evasion
of customs and sales tax duties.
- The reserve requirement regulations of the central bank do not apply
to foreign currency liabilities of banks. This is discriminatory and
disadvantages the KM inappropriately.
- A bilateral agreement with Japan to reschedule official debt in accordance
with the 1998 Paris Club agreement has not yet been reached.
5. Furthermore, major challenges lie ahead in the immediate future. In
2003, Bosnia and Herzegovina faces the deceleration of economic growth
in Europe which will dent our export prospects there as well as the inflow
of remittances from that region. In addition, international oil prices
have sharply increased. With economic growth, employment, and exports
already too low, these external factors will aggravate our underlying
difficulties in the near term. And tensions in the middle east raise risks
of shocks to capital flows emanating from that region and elsewhere to
finance the external current account deficit.
6. In this context, we feel it necessary to act decisively and promptly.
7. Our first action has been to clarify our policy commitments. We have
made clear in public that:
- We are committed to eventual EU accession.
- We are committed to the continued operation of the currency board.
- We are committed to continue the strong fiscal consolidation that
was delivered by our predecessors and which is anticipated to continue
under the IMF supported program.
- We are committed to implementing a range of structural reforms which
will unlock the productive potential of the people of Bosnia and Herzegovina,
while also securing their social needs as those reforms are implemented.
- We are committed to pursuing these goals, supported by the Stand-By
Arrangement.
These commitments confirm our determination to maintain the exchange
rate regime which has secured low inflation, to fiscal policies which
will place downward pressure on the external deficit while releasing resources
to finance new fixed investment, and to structural reforms which will
support the currency board while boosting prospects for economic growth.
Our strong reaffirmation of these principles is aimed to reassure our
citizens and markets that policies will remain on track, notwithstanding
short-term adverse external developments.
8. Second, we have prepared and taken concrete steps to address the immediate
shortfalls in the inherited policy framework.
- We feel it necessary to ensure that the growth of credit slows, and
that related prudential concerns in banks are addressed. To this end,
we will amend the central bank law to implement the following reforms,
which will be prior actions for completion of the second and third reviews.
- We will amend the definition of assets eligible to meet reserve
requirements to exclude cash in vaults. KM assets held with the Central
Bank will be the only assets eligible as required reserves.
- Relatedly, we will incorporate foreign currency deposits and foreign
liabilities in the base for calculating reserve requirements of banks,
and this has been announced.
- We will amend the range which limits the reserve requirement ratio
from 10-20 percent, to 0-20 percent.
We will seek to implement these amendments under urgent parliamentary
procedures and we will lower the applied rate of reserve requirement
in consultation with IMF staff. Any subsequent change in the rate will
be done in consultation with IMF staff, for the duration of the program.
- We are concerned that the prospective deceleration of credit to the
private sector has not been sufficiently reflected in the revenue estimates
in the 2003 budgets. We propose to maintain spending authorizations
below budgeted levels and will, each quarter, determine these authorizations
in consultation with IMF staff, so as to ensure that spending remains
at least KM 75 million (0.7 percent of GDP) below the budgeted level,
with this sum split 2/3:1/3 between the Federation and RS, respectively.
- Arrangements have been announced for an orderly transition from the
current governing board of the central bank to the new board, given
that the terms of the incumbents end in August this year. The new governing
board will be nominated by April 2003 and will be composed of appropriately
qualified individuals committed to the currency board.
- We have taken several corrective actions in the RS to avoid a recurrence
of the slippages which marred fiscal performance at end-December.
(a) The Roads Directorate has already repaid its loan.
(b) We have transferred loans from the extra budgetary funds to
the central government, lowing their borrowing towards the end-March
ceiling.
(c) We have issued a decree, valid for six months and renewable,
effective February 18, 2003, which bars all central government institutions,
extra budgetary funds, and municipalities from new bank borrowing,
unless in the latter case, borrowing occurs under IBRD programs.
The decree also requires municipalities to report monthly to the
Ministry of Finance on the stock of outstanding borrowing. Any amendments
to the decree will be made following agreement with staff of the
IMF. The decree anticipates new regulations for this borrowing,
and they will require prior approval by the Minister of Finance
for all borrowing by central government institutions, extra budgetary
funds, and municipalities.
(d) We have confirmed that the housing fund will conduct all its
activities using commercial banks as intermediaries.
(e) We have initiated procedures to reconcile central bank and
government data on central government and extra budgetary fund borrowing
from banks each month in order to strengthen surveillance of these
matters.
(f) Stronger-than-budgeted contribution receipts will allow a lower-than-budgeted
transfer to the pension fund in the first quarter and this saving
will allow a reduction in government bank borrowing to within the
end-March ceiling.
- We have established a commission to prepare a reform of the framework
of indirect tax and customs legislation and administration. This framework
will anticipate unification of the customs administrations and a single
state level VAT. It will secure a professional tax administration, support
macroeconomic stability, and tie decision-making on indirect tax policy
closely to responsibility for expenditure policy. The commission has
begun its deliberations and will complete its work on the framework
before mid-year. Completion of these framework tasks will be a structural
benchmark under the program. Once those tasks are completed, the commission
will turn its attention to preparation of a VAT law.
- We have reopened discussions with the Japanese authorities on the
outstanding issues on the bilateral rescheduling agreement under the
1998 Paris Club agreement.
- We have initiated steps to obtain an international credit rating.
9. Further actions are anticipated.
- We will amend by end-June 2003 our regulations on banks' foreign currency
exposures to include assets and liabilities indexed to foreign currencies
and this amendment will be considered as a structural performance criterion.
In addition, as a prior action for completion of the second and third
reviews, we will collect all bank by bank data on foreign currency exposure
including all indexation by mid-March, 2003. We will require all banks
to conform with the newly defined regulation after a phase-in period,
the length of which will be determined in consultation with IMF staff
before promulgation of the new regulation.
- As a prior action for the completion of the second and third reviews,
all banks that fail to meet the minimum capital requirement of KM 15
million will have their licenses withdrawn, or will be placed under
administration, unless they are engaged in a restructuring program under
the auspices of the International Financial Institutions. Thus, the
legal exemptions to this requirement will be revoked; and banks under
administration will not be brought out of administration until they
have met the KM 15 million requirement.
- We will amend our regulations on banks' core capital to bring them
into line with Basel core principles and EU standards, subject to a
phase in period of 9 months after the regulations take effect. These
amendments will be considered as prior actions for completion of the
second and third reviews.
- Our banking agencies will take the corrective actions specified in
law and in the regulations when banks do not conform to banking regulations.
- We will engage in a dialogue with IMF staff concerning banking regulations
on market risk and consolidated supervision. This discussion will aim
to identify appropriate changes in our regulations in these areas to
bring them into line with international standards.
- Efforts to strengthen further the strong safeguards in the Central
Bank will continue focusing on completing our assessment of the risks
in each of the operations of the Bank
10. Third, we remain committed to the principles for rebalancing the
2003 budgets that were outlined in the first review of the program. In
particular, we intend to maintain the revenue projections as currently
embedded in the 2003 budgets—supported by the additional measures
described above—and limit overall budgeted government spending to
the amount specified in the 2003 budgets, while offsetting any possible
increases in spending by one level or sector of government through commensurate
expenditure cuts in other parts of the government. All adjustments to
the 2003 fiscal framework will be undertaken in consultation with IMF
staff. If bank credit growth remains excessive and tax revenues are accordingly
above our projections, we will assign the revenue overperformance to further
deficit reduction. And if the external current account balance does not
strengthen appropriately, we stand ready to take further policy measures
as needed, including further fiscal consolidation. In any event, we will
fully reconstitute during 2003 all succession money used to finance the
2002 demobilization programs and will continue to place all privatization
receipts into escrow accounts and only make withdrawals from those accounts
following prior consultation with IMF staff.
11. We recognize the need to strike a balance between the social needs
of the population and the maintenance of a sound fiscal stance. In this
light, we will:
- review expenditure policies for war veterans, with the objective to
at least maintain the level of benefits for those in most need, while
seeking to reduce misuse of these benefits.
- review the much-abused provisions allowing war invalids to import
vehicles duty-free and take steps to strengthen the administration.
- allocate higher than programmed pension contribution collections in
the RS, and the benefits of structural reforms on the spending side,
between reductions in central government transfers to the pension fund
and increased average pensions.
12. We will continue to strengthen fiscal operations at local government
levels.
- In the Federation, we will ensure that all own-revenue users in the
cantons, including universities, education, and health facilities, will
be part of the cantonal treasury systems, and the central government
will issue a decree to this effect by the end of March.
- Monitoring and coordination of cantonal fiscal activities will be
strengthened through
(a) establishing a committee of all canton Ministers of Finance
and the Federation Minister of Finance to meet monthly to review
cantonal fiscal issues.
(b) strengthening data reporting by means of a of template agreed
with Fund staff, to be completed monthly, with a four week lag,
commencing immediately. The data will be promptly forwarded to Fund
staff.
- In the RS, we have begun preparations for establishing treasury systems
in 5 municipalities, with the objective to have the treasury systems
operational in these municipalities by end-September 2003.
13. In anticipation of a plan to restructure domestic claims on government
by mid-2003 we have, with FAD assistance, initiated the establishment
of individual-by-individual databases on outstanding expenditure arrears
at entity central governments and at the larger cantons. We will continue
the quantification of potential war claims and our audit institutions
will scrutinize identified spending arrears. Moreover, in consultation
with IMF staff, we will prepare proposals for the restructuring and clearance
of the identified claims using the privatization and succession monies
which have been put in escrow for this purpose.
14. In the context of the adverse external trends and our proposed policy
responses to them described above, we anticipate GDP growth of 3¼
percent (3¾ percent in the Federation and 1¾ percent in the
RS) and inflation below 1 percent in 2003, alongside a strengthening in
the external current account deficit of 3-4 percentage points of GDP.
This is consistent with a decline in projected external debt to 46 percent
of GDP.
15. These initiatives mark only part of our initial efforts. In addition,
we will deepen structural policy reforms. These reforms aim to stimulate
economic growth and employment, while reducing the external current account
imbalance and supporting the currency board.
- Following passage of the bankruptcy law in 2002, the first bankruptcies
in the RS are anticipated from March 2003. Application of the law will
not be postponed. The draft amendments to the Federation bankruptcy
law will be submitted to parliament by end-April.
- Privatization slowed in 2002 and needs to be revived. The recent RS
legislation requiring RSNA approval of major privatizations as well
as supermajorities in company boards to approve capital increases may
be impeding progress and will be reviewed as a matter of priority. In
the Federation, efforts will focus on strengthening the independence
and managerial capacity of the privatization agency.
- The business environment is strengthening under the auspices of the
World Bank BEAC. The blueprint for the collateral registry system will
be completed by end-March in preparation for a full launch a year later,
and initiatives to lower the time taken for business registration will
continue.
- Efforts to strengthen the legal system are well underway. The numbers
of judicial posts and courts are being lowered, and all judges are subject
to reappointment to ensure their competence and integrity.
16. All these efforts will need to be considerably deepened to entrench
a single economic space and to create the conditions for sustained economic
growth. We will liaise closely with the donor agencies involved to determine
how best to develop these initiatives further. In particular, we will
investigate as a matter of priority how to improve the management of state-owned
companies while they remain in state hands, how to increase the flexibility
of wage setting arrangements, and how to strengthen the operation of privatization
investment funds. Design and implementation of these reforms will form
the focus for the fourth review of the program.
17. On this basis, we request conversion of the indicative targets into
performance criteria for end-June as set out in Table 1.
As the board date for the second and third reviews takes place after March
31, we understand that it is the end-March performance criteria, rather
than the end-December performance criteria which are controlling.
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Table
1. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Quantitative and Structural Performance
Criteria
Under the 2002–2003 Stand-by Arrangement (In
millions of KM, unless otherwise noted)
|
|
|
2002
|
2003
|
|
|
|
February Est.
|
End-March Prog.1 |
End-June2 |
End-September3 |
|
A. Quantitative performance
criteria |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ceiling on gross credit
of the banking system to the consolidated general government |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
the State government4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0
|
0 |
0 |
|
the RS government and municipalities |
10 |
14 |
10 |
10
|
10 |
10 |
|
the RS extra-budgetary funds |
2 |
7 |
2 |
2
|
2 |
2 |
|
the Federation government |
20 |
11 |
18 |
20
|
20 |
20 |
|
the Federation cantons |
10 |
10 |
8 |
10
|
10 |
10 |
|
the Federation municipalities |
8 |
4 |
4 |
8
|
8 |
8 |
|
the Federation extra-budgetary funds |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0
|
0 |
0 |
|
Ceiling on contracting
or guaranteeing of new concessional external debt with original maturity
of more than one year by the public sector5,6 |
445 |
187 |
. . . |
445
|
445 |
445 |
Ceiling on contracting
or guaranteeing of new non-concessional external debt by the general
government5,6 |
0 |
0 |
. . . |
0
|
0 |
0 |
Ceiling on contracting
or guaranteeing of new external debtby the general government with
an original maturity of up to and including one year4 |
0 |
0 |
. . . |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Ceiling on the outstanding
stock of external payments arrears7 |
0 |
0 |
. . . |
0 |
0 |
0 |
B. Structural Performance
Criteria |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Continued adherence of the Currency
Board Arrangement as constituted under the law, incorporating the
amendments described in paragraph 10 of the MEFP (EBS/02/91, 5/30/02),
and paragraph 24 of the SMEFP (EBS/02/203, 12/4/02).
|
|
Met |
Met |
|
|
|
|
Amend regulations on banks' foreign
currency exposures by end-June 2003 to include assets and liabilities
indexed to foreign currencies. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sources: BIH Authorities; and IMF staff estimates.
1Targets for end-December 2002 and end-March 2003 are performance
criteria.
2Targets are proposed as performance criteria.
3Targets are indicative.
4Excluding letters of credit at the state level for CIPS
financing up to KM 40 million. Actual borrowing for CIPS was KM 8
million at end-December 2002.
5New refers to all operations taking place after August
2, 2002.
6The public sector is defined as general government and
public enterprises.
7This will apply on a continuous basis. |
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Table
2. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Revised Structural Benchmarks,
September 2002–June 2003
|
|
|
Implementation
Date |
Lead
Institution |
|
I. |
Prior Actions |
|
1. |
Banking regulations will
be brought in line with Basle Core Principles and European directives
in regard to core capital requirements, as specified in paragraph
9 of the Supplementary Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies
(SMEFP). |
|
IMF |
2. |
All banks that fail to meet
the minimum capital requirement of KM 15 million will have their licenses
withdrawn or will be placed under administration, unless they are
engaged in a restructuring program under the auspices of the International
Financial Institutions, as specified in paragraph 9 of the SMEFP. |
|
IMF |
3. |
Collect all bank by bank
data on foreign currency exposure, including assets and liabilities
indexed to foreign currencies, as specified in paragraph 9 of the
SMEFP. |
|
IMF |
4. |
Amend definitions of assets
eligible to meet reserve requirements to exclude cash in vaults, include
foreign currency deposits and foreign liabilities in the base for
reserve requirements, and expand the permissible range for reserve
requirements to 0-20 percent, as specified in paragraph 8 of the SMEFP. |
|
IMF |
|
II. |
Structural Benchmarks |
|
1. |
The Entities will make transfers
to the State, at least according to the agreed cumulative monthly
schedule reported in Annex 1 of the MEFP. |
continuous |
IMF |
2. |
All privatization receipts
accruing to the central governments of the RS and the Federation,
and to the Cantons in the Federation will be placed in escrow accounts
alongside all succession monies pending a comprehensive strategy to
clear arrears. |
continuous |
IMF |
3. |
The Entities and the Brcko
District will implement laws establishing the excise attribution mechanism
as previously agreed with the World Bank and thereby avoid the double
taxation on excises. |
continuous |
World Bank |
4. |
There will be no new free
trade zones. |
continuous |
IMF |
5. |
Any changes to the current
indirect tax system should retain or strengthen the principle of harmonization. |
continuous |
IMF |
6. |
The Federation pension fund
will adhere to the cut-off dates for contribution collections at the
end of each month as specified in the 2000 pension law. The RS pension
fund will adhere to the cut-off date of the 10th of each month for
contributions collec |
continuous |
IMF |
7. |
(a) The base of the Brcko
District sales tax will remain aligned with that in the Entities.
|
continuous |
IMF |
|
(b) The two rates of sales
tax in the Brcko District will be 8 and 18 percent unless changes
are agreed with IMF staff. |
continuous |
IMF |
8. |
A comprehensive strategy
to clear arrears will be prepared. All arrears, including frozen foreign
currency deposits, will be audited by the Supreme Auditor Institutions. |
End-June-2003 |
IMF |
9. |
Bosnia and Herzegovina will
not clear domestic government payment arrears that were accrued before
end-2000, pending a comprehensive strategy to clear arrears. |
continuous |
IMF |
10. |
There will be no offset
operations for tax liabilities that are incurred after 2001. |
continuous |
IMF |
11. |
Banking supervision will
be strengthened by enforcing the current prudential regulations, by
taking appropriate remedial actions according to the regulations in
cases where institutions breach regulations. |
continuous |
IMF/World
Bank |
12. |
The commission on Value
Added and Customs Administration will propose a framework of legislation
governing all indirect tax legislation and administration. |
End-June
2003 |
|
ANNEX I
Pursuant to Chapter II, Article 7, Point 1 of the Law on Foreign Debt
and Article 14, Point b of the Treasury Law, and in the context of the
second review of the program supported by a Stand-By Arrangement from
the IMF, the entity Ministers of Finance and the Minister of the Treasury
of the BiH Institutions have reached the followings
AGREEMENT ON THE TIME SCHEDULE FOR THE PAYMENT
OF RESPECTIVE AMOUNTS FOR FOREIGN DEBT SERVICING
AND ENTITY CONTRIBUTIONS FOR THE ADMINISTRATIVE
SEGMENT OF THE 2003 BUDGET OF THE BiH INSTITUTIONS
I
In order to ensure timely payment of foreign liabilities and 2003 liability
projections arising from foreign debt, in a total amount of KM 324.4 million,
out of which KM204.3 milion is the Federation liability and KM 120 million
is the Republika Srpska liability,
The Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Republika Srpska shall
pay the required amounts against each due liability, 5 days ahead of the
respective maturity date.
II
Total transfers in 2003 for the administrative segment of the budget
of the BiH institutions amount to KM 87 million out of which KM 58 million
is to be paid by the Federation and KM 29 million is to be paid by the
Republika Srpska.
The transfer to the budget of the BiH institutions shall be paid on a
monthly basis, ensuring that 1/12 (one twelfth) of the total transfer
shall be remitted for every current month. Payments will be made at the
latest by the 20th of each month for the liability of the previous
month. All payments made after this day shall be considered arrears. The
parties will agree on a timeframe for the full payments of obligations
dating from 2001 and 2002.
III
By the 15th day of each month, the Minister of the Treasury
of the BiH Institutions will provide a written report to the IMF indicating
developments in transfers from the Entities to the State for administrative
and debt service purposes during the previous month, noting their consistency
with the commitments made in this agreement.
In Sarajevo, April 24, 2003.
/s/
Ljerka Maric
Minister of Finance and
Treasury of BiH Institutions |
/s/
Dragan Vrankic
Minister of Finance
Federation of
Bosnia and Herzegovina |
|
/s/
Dragan Mikerevic
Prime Minister and
acting Minister of Finance
Republika Srpska |
Supplementary Technical Memorandum of Understanding
on Definitions and Reporting Under the 2002–2003 Economic Program
April 2003
This memorandum sets out the understanding between the Government of
Bosnia and Herzegovina and the IMF mission regarding the definitions of
quantitative and structural performance criteria and targets for the Stand-By
Arrangement (Tables 1 and 2),
as well as data reporting required for monitoring the implementation of
the program.
I. Definitions
The following definitions are to be used in monitoring the program. In
the following definitions, the end-quarter test dates apply to the last
working day of each quarter for both banking and budgetary statistics.
A. Ceiling on the Stock of Gross Credit from
the Banking System to the General Government
Definitions:
- The general government is defined to include the State,
Entity (Federation, and Republika Srpska), cantonal (Federation) and
municipal budgets, Brcko budget, together with their respective extrabudgetary
funds. The definition also includes the Goods Reserve Directorates of
each entity. Extrabudgetary funds include, but are not limited to, the
pension funds, health funds, unemployment funds, and children's fund
in the two Entities and the State.
- The banking system consists of the Central Bank of
Bosnia and Herzegovina (CBBH) and the commercial banks in both Entities
and the District of Brcko.
- Gross credit is defined as all claims (e.g. loans, securities,
bills, and other claims in both convertible marka and foreign currencies).
For program purposes, those components of gross claims that are denominated
in foreign currencies will be converted into convertible marka at the
agreed accounting exchange rate prevailing on December 31, 2001.
Application of performance criteria:
- The quantitative value of banking system claims on the general government
will be monitored from the accounts of the banking system, as compiled
by the CBBH, and supplemented by information provided by the Ministries
of Finance of each Entity and the State.
- The ceilings on the stock of gross credit from the banking system
to the general government will be defined in terms of seven sub-ceilings
that sum to the ceiling for the general government. These seven sub-ceilings
will be on the stock of gross credit from the banking system to the
State government, the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina government,
the Republika Srpska government and municipalities, the Federation Cantons,
the Federation municipalities and the extrabudgetary funds. For the
purposes of program monitoring, compliance with the ceiling on banking
system credit to general government will require that each of these
seven sub-ceilings be observed independently.
- The sums on-lent by commercial banks from long-term loans contracted
by the government with international financial institutions and bilateral
development institutions shall be excluded from the stock of gross credit
of the banking system.
B. Operation of the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
Under the Central Banking Law and the program, the CBBH is required to
ensure that the value of its domestic liabilities does not exceed the
convertible marka counter-value of its net foreign exchange reserves.
Furthermore, the CBBH will not pay a dividend until its capital and reserves
exceed 10 percent of its monetary liabilities.
Definitions:
- Net foreign exchange reserves are defined as the value
of foreign assets less the value of foreign liabilities, including assets
and liabilities denominated in convertible currencies or convertible
marka.
- Foreign assets are defined as (a) monetary gold and
(b) monetary authorities claims on nonresidents including currency bank
deposits, government securities, other bonds and notes, financial derivatives,
equity securities, and nonmarketable claims arising from arrangements
between central banks or governments.
- Foreign liabilities are defined to include: (i) foreign
exchange and convertible marka balances on the books of the CBBH due
to nonresidents, including foreign central banks (ii) credit balances
due to foreign central banks, governments, and foreign financial institutions;
(iii) forward and repurchase contracts of different types providing
for future payments in foreign exchange by the CBBH to nonresidents;
and (iv) any other liabilities due to nonresidents.
- Monetary liabilities are defined as the sum of (a)
currency in circulation, (b) credit balances of resident banks at the
CBBH, and (c) credit balances of other residents at the CBBH.
- Capital and Reserves are defined as (a) initial capital
and reserves of the CBBH, (b) shares, and (c) accumulated profits
of the CBBH since the beginning of its operation on August 11, 1997.
- Free reserves of the CBBH are defined as foreign exchange
reserves not utilized as backing for the currency. They therefore consist
of the stock of CBBH net foreign exchange reserves less the stock of
CBBH monetary liabilities.
Application of performance criteria:
- Foreign currency holdings will be converted into convertible marka
at the exchange rates of December 31, 2001, as published in the IMF
International Financial Statistics. Valuation changes will therefore
be monitored from the accounts of the CBBH, with information on net
foreign assets provided monthly by the CBBH.
C. Ceiling on External Payments Arrears
Definitions:
- External payment arrears are defined as overdue debt
service arising in respect of debt obligations incurred directly or
resulting from guarantees by the general government or the CBBH that
have been called, except on debt subject to rescheduling or restructuring.
- Debt obligations are defined as follows. The term "debt"
will be understood to mean a current, i.e., not contingent, liability,
created under a contractual arrangement through the provision of value
in the form of assets (including currency) or services, and which requires
the obligor to make one or more payments in the form of assets (including
currency) or services, at some future point(s) in time; these payments
will discharge the principal and/or interest liabilities incurred under
the contract. Debts can take a number of forms, the primary ones being
as follows: (i) loans, i.e., advances of money to the obligor by the
lender made on the basis of an undertaking that the obligor will repay
the funds in the future (including deposits, bonds, debentures, commercial
loans, and buyers' credits) and temporary exchanges of assets that are
equivalent to fully collateralized loans under which the obligor is
required to repay the funds, and usually pay interest, by repurchasing
the collateral from the buyer in the future (such as repurchase agreements
and official swap arrangements); (ii) suppliers' credits, i.e.,
contracts where the supplier permits the obligor to defer payments until
some time after the date on which the goods are delivered or services
are provided; and (iii) leases, i.e., arrangements under which property
is provided which the lessee has the right to use for one or more specified
period(s) of time that are usually shorter than the total expected service
life of the property, while the lessor retains the title to the property.
For the purpose of this program, the debt is the present value (at the
inception of the lease) of all lease payments expected to be made during
the period of the agreement excluding those payments that cover the
operation, repair, or maintenance of the property. Under the definition
of debt set out in point (a) above, arrears, penalties, and judicially
awarded damages arising from the failure to make payment under a contractual
obligation that constitutes debt are debt. Failure to make payment on
an obligation that is not considered debt under this definition (e.g.,
payment on delivery) will not give rise to debt.
- The general government is defined as above in section
A.
Application of performance criteria:
- The ceiling on external payments arrears applies to the stock of
overdue payments on medium- and long-term debt contracted or guaranteed
by the general government or the CBBH.
- The ceiling on external payment arrears applies on a continuous basis.
- The limit on the stock of external payments arrears also applies
to the stock of overdue payments on short-term debt in convertible currencies
with an original maturity of up to and including one year contracted
or guaranteed by the general government. The limit excludes reductions
in connection with rescheduling of official and commercial debt and
debt buy-back.
D. Ceiling on Contracting or Guaranteeing
of New Non-Concessional External Debt
Definitions:
- Debt obligations are defined as above in section "C".
- Concessional loans are defined as those with a grant
element of at least 35 percent of the value of the loan, using currency-specific
discount rates based on the commercial interest rates reported by the
OECD (CIRRS). The average CIRRS over the last ten years—plus a
margin reflecting the repayment period (1 percent for repayment period
of 15-19 years; 1.15 percent for repayment period of 20-29 years; and
1.25 percent for repayment period of 30 years or more)—will be
used as discount rates for assessing the concessionality of loans of
a maturity of at least 15 years. For loans with shorter maturities,
the average CIRRS of the proceeding six-month period (plus a margin
of 0.75 percent) will be used.
- Non-concessional external debt refers to all debt creating
instruments with a grant element of less than 35 percent (as defined
above).
- New non-concessional external debt is defined as including
all debt (as defined above) contracted or guaranteed during the program
period. The ceiling will be on the increase in short-term, medium-term,
and long-term new non-concessional external debt from August 2, 2002.
- Short-term debt is defined as debt contracted or guaranteed
with an original maturity of up to and including one year.
- Medium-term debt is defined as debt contracted or guaranteed
with an original maturity of greater than one year and up to and including
five years.
- Long-term debt is defined as debt contracted or guaranteed
with an original maturity of greater than five years.
- The general government is defined as above in section
A.
Application of performance criteria:
- The ceilings on the contracting or guaranteeing of new non-concessional
external debt after August 2, 2002, will be defined for each test date.
This excludes letters of credit at the State level for CIPS project
financing up to 40 million KM.
- The value of the stock of leases will be calculated as the present
value, at the inception of the lease, of all lease payments expected
to be made during the period of the leasing arrangement, excluding those
payments that cover the operation, repair or maintenance of the property
being leased.
- Debt and leases will be valued in U.S. dollars at the exchange rates
prevailing at the time the contract or guarantees become effective.
- For program purposes, the following are not considered as non-concessional
debt and thus are excluded from the calculation of non-concessional
debt contracted or guaranteed: (i) borrowing from the IMF, the World
Bank, EBRD, EIB, IFC, or bilateral cofinancing of lending by these institutions;
and (ii) concessional loans.
- The ceiling on contracting or guaranteeing of new non-concessional
external debt excludes normal import-related financing.
E. Ceiling on Contracting or Guaranteeing
of New Concessional Debt
Definitions:
- Debt obligations are defined as above in section "C".
- Concessional loans are defined as above in section
"D".
- The general government is defined as above in section
"A".
- The public sector is defined as general government
and public enterprises
- A public enterprise is defined as enterprises which
are more than 50 percent directly or indirectly owned by the state.
Application of performance criteria:
- Debt and leases will be valued in U.S. dollars at the exchange rates
prevailing at the time the contract or guarantees become effective.
- For program purposes, the following will be included in the calculation
of the amount of external debt contracted or guaranteed: (i) borrowing
from the IMF, the World Bank, EBRD, EIB, IFC, or bilateral co financing
of lending by these institutions; and (ii) concessional loans.
II. Data Reporting
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will report the following
data to the Fund within the time limits listed below. The authorities
will also provide, no later that the first week of each month, a summary
of key macroeconomic policy decisions taken during the previous month.
Any revisions to past data previously reported to the Fund will be
reported to the Fund promptly, together with a detailed explanation.
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will make every effort to move
speedily towards sending the required data by electronic mail.
All magnitudes subject to performance criteria or indicative targets
will be reported in millions of convertible marka where the corresponding
target is in convertible marka, or in millions of U.S. dollars where
the target is in U.S. dollars.
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will supply the Fund with
any additional information that the Fund requests in connection with
monitoring performance under the program on a timely basis.
Monthly data reporting
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will send to the Fund the
following data no later than 2 weeks after the end of each month:
(i) Transfer payments by Entities to the State;
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will send to the Fund the
following data no later than 3 weeks after the end of each month:
(i) Debt service payments by the State to creditors;
(ii) Pension funds payment data and cut-off dates for contributions
collection;
(iii) Stock of free reserves of the CBBH;
(iv) The balance sheet of the CBBH;
(v) The stock of reserves, including excess reserves at commercial
banks.
(vi) Balances held in escrow accounts;
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will send to the Fund the
following data no later than 4 weeks after the end of each month:
(i) Revenues, expenditures and financing data for all levels of
government (including the State, Entities, and Cantonal (for FBiH));
(ii) Revenues, expenditures, and financing data for the extrabudgetary
funds (including health funds, unemployment funds, and (in the RS)
the children's fund);
(iii) Monthly Statistical Data on Economic and Other Trends review
published by the Federation's Office of Statistics and Monthly Statistical
Review published by the Republika Srpska Institute of Statistics;
(iv) Data sheets issued by the Republika Srpska Institute of Statistics
reporting on data that are not included in their Monthly Statistical
Review.
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will send to the Fund the
following data no later than 6 weeks after the end of each month:
(i) Foreign exchange exposure indicators by bank in each entity,
including indexed loans.
(ii) Data on gross credit of the banking system to the consolidated
general government broken down by bank as defined in I A. above.
(iii) The commercial bank survey and monetary survey;
(iv) Report on privatization revenues, including revenues received
as prepared by the privatization agencies.
(v) Interest rates data.
Quarterly data reporting
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will send to the Fund the
following quarterly data within one month of the end of each quarter.
(i) Summary of government guarantees on quarterly basis;
(ii) Summary of government loans and degree of concessionality
(grant element);
(iii) Summary of short-term loans by government on quarterly basis;
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will send to the Fund the
following within 6 weeks of the end of each quarter.
(i) Banking supervision indicators by bank in each Entity, including
capital adequacy ratios, core and supplementary capital, selected
liquidity indicators, non-performing loans and provisions for impaired
loans and other assets.
The Bosnia and Herzegovina authorities will send to the Fund the
following quarterly data within two months of the end of each quarter.
(i) Budget execution data by individual canton;
(ii) Report on privatization revenues, including revenues received
and use of funds;
(iii) Execution of foreign-financed investment projects.
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