Climate Change

The IMF and Climate Change

Climate change presents a major threat to long-term growth and prosperity, and has a direct impact on the economic wellbeing of all countries. The IMF has an important role to play in helping its members institute fiscal and macroeconomic policies to help address these climate-related challenges. We are mainstreaming climate-related risks and opportunities into our macroeconomic and financial policy advice. Climate considerations are now embedded in our bilateral and multilateral surveillance, capacity development, and lending. We also increasingly collaborate with other organizations on climate issues.

Through our analytical work we have examined policy issues such as an international carbon price floor, the transition to a green economy, border carbon adjustments, scaling up private climate finance in emerging market and developing economies, strengthening climate information architecture, fiscal policies to support adaptation, and green public investment and public financial management.

Highlights

COP29 Event – Unlocking Financing for the Green Transition in Emerging and Developing Economies

Delivering on global climate goals requires a shift to renewable energy and other green technologies. The main challenge for developing economies is securing funding for this transition. With limited fiscal space and low financial development, foreign direct investment (FDI) and official lending are crucial. This high-level panel discussed market reforms and financial sector policies to attract official financing, the impact of climate policies on FDI in low-carbon technologies, and the conditions needed to attract it.

Blogs on Climate Change

Why Women Risk Losing Out in Shift to Green Jobs
October 7, 2024

Closing the gender gap in science, technology, engineering, and math would accelerate the green transition while making it more inclusive

How Europe Can Make Carbon Pricing Policies Less Regressive
September 26, 2024

Easing the burden on lower-income households is not only socially fair, but also economically efficient

Economics Authors Confront Toughest Questions on Data, History, and Theory
August 21, 2024

New books offer fresh perspectives on climate, China, and John Maynard Keynes

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Integrating Economic and Climate Data Will Strengthen Climate Policy
July 9, 2024

Data Gaps Initiative helps policymakers better understand the environmental impact of economic activities and the effectiveness of climate policies

As IMF Turns 80, Mounting Global Challenges Mean World Must Work Together
June 4, 2024

Our biggest challenges—from global warming to demographic and technological transformations—cannot be resolved by countries acting alone.

EUR Energy Security Blog
Europe Can Reap Sizable Energy Security Rewards by Scaling Up Climate Action
May 28, 2024

Meeting the continent’s emission reduction targets could enhance energy security metrics by 8 percent by 2030—and that would be just the start

What's new

Size and Resilience of the Blue Economy in Pacific Island Economies
December 20, 2024

Economic output and livelihoods in Pacific Island economies (PIEs) rely greatly on ocean-related sectors and products, known as the ”Blue Economy”. Yet, marine ecosystems are under mounting pressure of climate change and human degradation, exposing PIEs to very large risks, while they have only limited technical and financial capacity to mitigate them. This paper aims: first to estimate the size of the Blue Economy in PIEs, based on comprehensive international input-output tables; and second to simulate the impact of selected shocks in PIEs, so as to provide insights on the resilience of the Blue Economy to shocks, including from climate change.

Read More
Sierra Leone: Climate Policy Diagnostic
December 19, 2024

Sierra Leone faces important development challenges. This includes dealing with the impacts of climate change such as rising temperatures, more frequent extreme hot days, and increasingly erratic rainfall patterns, with intensified single-day precipitation events. This is especially important given the country’s strong dependence on agriculture and hydropower. Climate change also requires improved Disaster Risk Management (DRM) and more forward-looking risk assessments. On the mitigation side, competing development needs have led to rapid urbanization and deforestation requiring a more integrated approach to land policy, planning, and forest protection. The country also needs substantial investments in its electricity, water, and waste sectors but private investment is lacking. The mission reviewed the current fiscal policies supporting climate action and provided recommendations to support the long-term climate resilience in Sierra Leone, while aligning with its overall development objectives.

Read More
Ecuador: Selected Issues
December 19, 2024

2024 Selected Issues

Read More
Benin: Fifth Review under the Extended Fund Facility and the Extended Credit Facility Arrangements, and the Second Review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Benin
December 19, 2024

Benin’s macroeconomic performance appears robust 2½ years into the EFF and ECF arrangements. There are promising signs of economic transformation, with higher value-added exports and momentum in information and communications technology and tourism. The 2025 budget—the last year of fiscal adjustment under the current economic cycle—targets compliance with the WAEMU fiscal deficit norm of 3 percent of GDP. Benin’s reform program has gained traction with development partners, with budget support consistently exceeding expectations—complementing robust tax collection—and investor confidence re-affirmed by several sovereign credit upgrades. A key challenge ahead for Benin is to maintain the reform momentum and further strengthen inclusive policies for an economic transformation that generates jobs and benefits all Beninese. The authorities are pressing ahead with their reform agenda—with caution, appropriately.

Read More
Republic of Moldova: Sixth Reviews Under the Extended Credit Facility and Extended Fund Facility Arrangements, Request for modifications of performance criteria, and Second review Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Alternative Executive Director for the Republic of Moldova
December 19, 2024

This paper presents the Republic of Moldova’s Sixth Reviews under the Extended Credit Facility and Extended Fund Facility Arrangements, Request for Modification of Performance Criteria, and Second Review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility Arrangement. Recovery from the multiple shocks is taking hold, and inflation has remained within the National Bank of Moldova’s target band since October 2023. However, downside risks remain large, mainly related to the geopolitical situation and renewed energy shocks. Prudent policies and maintaining buffers and robust contingency plans, including in the energy sector are needed to address looming risks. Fostering growth-friendly investment and reforms, supported by the EU accession process will help advance toward Moldova’s development objectives.

Read More
United Republic of Tanzania: Forth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement and First Review Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility Arrangement -Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the United Republic of Tanzania
December 18, 2024

Growth continues to recover from the impacts of the unfavorable global economic environment and domestic factors. Growth is expected to continue strengthening, supported by the implementation of the authorities’ reform agenda, and subsiding global commodity prices. Inflation is projected to remain within the central bank’s target range. Growth-friendly fiscal consolidation is expected to continue, anchored by the ECF arrangement. The current account deficit has narrowed significantly and is projected to improve further over the medium term. The authorities have begun implementing their ambitious climate reform agenda, supported by the RSF arrangement.

Read More

Size and Resilience of the Blue Economy in Pacific Island Economies
December 20, 2024

Economic output and livelihoods in Pacific Island economies (PIEs) rely greatly on ocean-related sectors and products, known as the ”Blue Economy”. Yet, marine ecosystems are under mounting pressure of climate change and human degradation, exposing PIEs to very large risks, while they have only limited technical and financial capacity to mitigate them. This paper aims: first to estimate the size of the Blue Economy in PIEs, based on comprehensive international input-output tables; and second to simulate the impact of selected shocks in PIEs, so as to provide insights on the resilience of the Blue Economy to shocks, including from climate change.

Read More
Sierra Leone: Climate Policy Diagnostic
December 19, 2024

Sierra Leone faces important development challenges. This includes dealing with the impacts of climate change such as rising temperatures, more frequent extreme hot days, and increasingly erratic rainfall patterns, with intensified single-day precipitation events. This is especially important given the country’s strong dependence on agriculture and hydropower. Climate change also requires improved Disaster Risk Management (DRM) and more forward-looking risk assessments. On the mitigation side, competing development needs have led to rapid urbanization and deforestation requiring a more integrated approach to land policy, planning, and forest protection. The country also needs substantial investments in its electricity, water, and waste sectors but private investment is lacking. The mission reviewed the current fiscal policies supporting climate action and provided recommendations to support the long-term climate resilience in Sierra Leone, while aligning with its overall development objectives.

Read More
Ecuador: Selected Issues
December 19, 2024

2024 Selected Issues

Read More
Benin: Fifth Review under the Extended Fund Facility and the Extended Credit Facility Arrangements, and the Second Review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Benin
December 19, 2024

Benin’s macroeconomic performance appears robust 2½ years into the EFF and ECF arrangements. There are promising signs of economic transformation, with higher value-added exports and momentum in information and communications technology and tourism. The 2025 budget—the last year of fiscal adjustment under the current economic cycle—targets compliance with the WAEMU fiscal deficit norm of 3 percent of GDP. Benin’s reform program has gained traction with development partners, with budget support consistently exceeding expectations—complementing robust tax collection—and investor confidence re-affirmed by several sovereign credit upgrades. A key challenge ahead for Benin is to maintain the reform momentum and further strengthen inclusive policies for an economic transformation that generates jobs and benefits all Beninese. The authorities are pressing ahead with their reform agenda—with caution, appropriately.

Read More
Republic of Moldova: Sixth Reviews Under the Extended Credit Facility and Extended Fund Facility Arrangements, Request for modifications of performance criteria, and Second review Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Alternative Executive Director for the Republic of Moldova
December 19, 2024

This paper presents the Republic of Moldova’s Sixth Reviews under the Extended Credit Facility and Extended Fund Facility Arrangements, Request for Modification of Performance Criteria, and Second Review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility Arrangement. Recovery from the multiple shocks is taking hold, and inflation has remained within the National Bank of Moldova’s target band since October 2023. However, downside risks remain large, mainly related to the geopolitical situation and renewed energy shocks. Prudent policies and maintaining buffers and robust contingency plans, including in the energy sector are needed to address looming risks. Fostering growth-friendly investment and reforms, supported by the EU accession process will help advance toward Moldova’s development objectives.

Read More
United Republic of Tanzania: Forth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement and First Review Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility Arrangement -Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the United Republic of Tanzania
December 18, 2024

Growth continues to recover from the impacts of the unfavorable global economic environment and domestic factors. Growth is expected to continue strengthening, supported by the implementation of the authorities’ reform agenda, and subsiding global commodity prices. Inflation is projected to remain within the central bank’s target range. Growth-friendly fiscal consolidation is expected to continue, anchored by the ECF arrangement. The current account deficit has narrowed significantly and is projected to improve further over the medium term. The authorities have begun implementing their ambitious climate reform agenda, supported by the RSF arrangement.

Read More

What is the IMF doing to help tackle climate change?

  

Surveillance

Article IV consultations will cover macro-critical issues triggered by climate change and/or the need to contain it. These include countries’ contributions to the global mitigation effort, especially by large emitters; domestic policy challenges that arise in the context of achieving countries’ nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement; macroeconomic policies to adapt to and build resilience to climate change; and challenges presented by a global transition to low-carbon energy.

Financial Stability Assessment Program (FSAP)

FSAPs are paying increasing attention to climate risk analysis for the financial system. Recent FSAPs have looked at the implications of transition risk in Norway, South Africa, Chile, Colombia and the UK, and physical risk in the Philippines. Where relevant, climate risk considerations are also being embedded in FSAP reviews of financial supervision and regulation.

  

Capacity Development

The IMF already supports member countries through capacity development in countries vulnerable to climate change and natural disasters.

  

Policy Advice

Adaptation

Guidance on building financial and institutional resilience to natural disasters and extreme weather events, and infrastructure investments to cope with rising sea levels and other warming-related phenomena.

Mitigation

Advice on measures to contain and reduce emissions through policies—such as increasing carbon taxes, reducing fuel subsidies and improving regulation—and providing tools to help countries achieve their Nationally Determined Contributions.

Transition to a low-carbon economy

Advice on measures to contain and reduce emissions through policies—such as increasing carbon taxes, reducing fuel subsidies and improving regulation—and providing tools to help countries achieve their Nationally Determined Contributions.

Data

The IMF's Climate Change Indicators Dashboard provides a platform for disseminating climate change data for macroeconomic and financial stability analysis. The dashboard helps users assess the linkage between economic and financial activities and government policies on the one hand, and climate change (and environment more broadly) on the other—either on a country-level or cross-country basis—by analyzing a standardized set of comparable data.

  

Lending

The IMF’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST) helps low-income and vulnerable middle-income countries build resilience to external shocks and ensure sustainable growth, contributing to their longer-term balance of payments stability. It complements the IMF’s existing lending toolkit by providing longer-term, affordable financing to address longer-term challenges, including climate change and pandemic preparedness.

Videos

COP29: Bridging the Adaptation Financing Gap: Challenges and Potential Solutions
November 15, 2024

Panelists discuss how to enhance partnerships and cooperation to scale up adaptation financing for EMDEs and explore the role various stakeholders play in n attracting private capital for adaptation investments.

COP29: The Pioneering Role of IMF’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST) in Climate Action
November 15, 2024

anelists discuss how specific countries benefited from the Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST) and the lessons learned in the process.

COP29 Event – This Critical Decade: A Wake-up Call for Global Climate Action
November 12, 2024

This session assesses the question: Is the world on track to net zero? Building on updated IMF research, it will explore how to equitably close the global gap in climate ambition to achieve the Paris Agreement goals.

COP29 Event – Unlocking Financing for the Green Transition in Emerging and Developing Economies
November 12, 2024

Delivering on global climate goals requires a shift to renewable energy and other green technologies. The main challenge for developing economies is securing funding for this transition. With limited fiscal space and low financial development, foreign direct investment (FDI) and official lending are crucial.

COP29: The World is Sitting on a Razor's Edge
November 11, 2024

The world is sitting on a razor's edge, and the deciding factor between future prosperity and potential runaway climate disaster is a single number-- 1.5.

Unlocking Financing for the Green Transition in Emerging and Developing Economies
November 11, 2024

To hit net zero by 2050, emerging and developing countries will need substantial amounts of additional renewable energy investment--because domestic financial resources are limited, foreign direct investment, or FDI, is key.