財政モニター

公的債務を
抑制するには

2024年10月

istockphtoto/halbergman

English العربية español français русский 中文
バックナンバー

  • 公的債務を抑制するには

    世界の公的債務は増加している。2024年には100兆米ドルを超えると予測されており、中期的に増加する見込みだ。本章では、債務見通しに対するリスクが上振れ方向に大きく傾いていることを示す。極端な悲観シナリオでは、世界の債務が3年先にベースライン予測よりもGDP比で20%ポイント近く大きくなり、対GDP比で115%に達すると推定される。債務を高い確率で安定させる（または削減する）ためには、現在の計画よりもはるかに大きな財政調整が必要である。今こそが財政バッファーを再構築する好機であり、先延ばしにすればコストが大きい。成長に配慮した形で財政バッファーを再構築し、財政ガバナンスを強化することが、持続可能な財政と金融の安定を確保する上で不可欠である。

    分析章

    第1章　公的債務を抑制するには

    高水準の債務が懸念材料となっている。本章では、公的債務の見通しを取り巻くリスクを定量化し、それらのリスクに対処するための財政バッファーを再構築する上で必要となる政策を示す。

    Video Carousel

    What are Bonds?
    Our latest Back to Basics video explains what are bonds and why they play a crucial role in the financial world.
    Current Time 0:00
    Duration 0:00
    Loaded: 0%
    Stream Type LIVE
    Remaining Time 0:00
     
    1x
      • Chapters
      • descriptions off, selected
      • subtitles off, selected
        What are Bonds?

        • 2025年3月19日

        • 00:03:17

        Panel Discussion: The Fund and Asia Going Forward
        This panel discussion was part of the conference on Asia and the IMF: Resilience through Cooperation, that was held in Tokyo, Japan, Wednesday, March 5, 2025.
        Current Time 0:00
        Duration 0:00
        Loaded: 0%
        Stream Type LIVE
        Remaining Time 0:00
         
        1x
          • Chapters
          • descriptions off, selected
          • subtitles off, selected
            Panel Discussion: The Fund and Asia Going Forward

            • 2025年3月5日

            • 01:30:48

            Press Briefing: Julie Kozack, Director, Communications Department (March 6, 2025)
            IMF's Communications Department Director Julie Kozack discusses Argentina, Ukraine, Egypt, and other relevant developments.
            Current Time 0:00
            Duration 0:00
            Loaded: 0%
            Stream Type LIVE
            Remaining Time 0:00
             
            1x
              • Chapters
              • descriptions off, selected
              • subtitles off, selected
                Press Briefing: Julie Kozack, Director, Communications Department (March 6, 2025)

                • 2025年3月6日

                • 00:52:48

                Asia and the IMF: Resilience through Cooperation - Opening Session
                The Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, together with Japan Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, delivered a speech to open the conference on Asia and the IMF: Resilience through Cooperation.
                Current Time 0:00
                Duration 0:00
                Loaded: 0%
                Stream Type LIVE
                Remaining Time 0:00
                 
                1x
                  • Chapters
                  • descriptions off, selected
                  • subtitles off, selected
                    Asia and the IMF: Resilience through Cooperation - Opening Session

                    • 2025年3月4日

                    • 00:33:36

                    Press Conference on the Conclusion of the 2025 Japan Article IV Consultation Mission
                    Current Time 0:00
                    Duration 0:00
                    Loaded: 0%
                    Stream Type LIVE
                    Remaining Time 0:00
                     
                    1x
                      • Chapters
                      • descriptions off, selected
                      • subtitles off, selected
                        Press Conference on the Conclusion of the 2025 Japan Article IV Consultation Mission

                        • 2025年2月7日

                        • 00:22:23

                        Press Briefing: Julie Kozack, Director, Communications Department (February 6, 2025)
                        Julie Kozack, Communications Department Director of the IMF discusses Argentina, the Caribbean, Lebanon, Mozambique, Sri Lanka, Syria, Ukraine and more.
                        Current Time 0:00
                        Duration 0:00
                        Loaded: 0%
                        Stream Type LIVE
                        Remaining Time 0:00
                         
                        1x
                          • Chapters
                          • descriptions off, selected
                          • subtitles off, selected
                            Press Briefing: Julie Kozack, Director, Communications Department (February 6, 2025)

                            • 2025年2月6日

                            • 00:46:57

                            World Economic Outlook Update, January 2025: Three Essential Questions
                            We project global economic growth at 3.3% this year and next. Learn how policymakers can address challenges and boost growth in the latest World Economic Outlook Update.
                            Current Time 0:00
                            Duration 0:00
                            Loaded: 0%
                            Stream Type LIVE
                            Remaining Time 0:00
                             
                            1x
                              • Chapters
                              • descriptions off, selected
                              • subtitles off, selected
                                World Economic Outlook Update, January 2025: Three Essential Questions

                                • 2025年1月17日

                                • 00:02:30

                                25th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference: Policy Panel: Reassessing Policy Tools for Current and Future Challenges
                                Join us for an engaging policy panel discussion at the 25th Annual Research Conference on reassessing policy tools for current and future challenges.
                                Current Time 0:00
                                Duration 0:00
                                Loaded: 0%
                                Stream Type LIVE
                                Remaining Time 0:00
                                 
                                1x
                                  • Chapters
                                  • descriptions off, selected
                                  • subtitles off, selected
                                    25th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference: Policy Panel: Reassessing Policy Tools for Current and Future Challenges

                                    • 2024年11月14日

                                    • 01:29:42

                                    Falling Private Debt: 2024 Vintage of the IMF Global Debt Database
                                    Marking the release of the IMF’s 2024 Global Debt Database Vintage and the Global Debt Monitor, this discussion focuses on the drivers and prospects for global debt, especially the divergence between private and public sector debt and challenges.
                                    Current Time 0:00
                                    Duration 0:00
                                    Loaded: 0%
                                    Stream Type LIVE
                                    Remaining Time 0:00
                                     
                                    1x
                                      • Chapters
                                      • descriptions off, selected
                                      • subtitles off, selected
                                        Falling Private Debt: 2024 Vintage of the IMF Global Debt Database

                                        • 2024年12月3日

                                        • 01:01:13

                                        Fiscal Affairs Department's 60th Anniversary Conference: "60 Years of FAD: The Fiscal Affair Continues" Part 2
                                        Afternoon Sessions: The Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD) of the IMF will celebrate 60 years since it was formed in 1964 with a one-day conference, “60 Years of FAD: The Fiscal Affair Continues,“ on November 4, 2024, in Washington D.C., USA.
                                        Current Time 0:00
                                        Duration 0:00
                                        Loaded: 0%
                                        Stream Type LIVE
                                        Remaining Time 0:00
                                         
                                        1x
                                          • Chapters
                                          • descriptions off, selected
                                          • subtitles off, selected
                                            Fiscal Affairs Department's 60th Anniversary Conference: "60 Years of FAD: The Fiscal Affair Continues" Part 2

                                            • 03:09:27

                                            出版物

                                            財政モニター
                                            ファイナンス＆ディベロップメント　2025年3月号