Search IMF Staff Papers


Advanced Search
Journal Description

Editorial Committee

How to Subscribe

Forthcoming Articles

Staff Papers Archive

Copyright Information

Research at the IMF

Free Email Notification

Receive emails when we post new items of interest to you.

Subscribe or Modify your profile





IMF Staff Papers Logo    Last updated: December 2003
Volume 50, Number 3
 
Structural Vulnerabilities and Currency Crises
Swati R. Ghosh And Atish R. Ghosh

Full Text of this Article (PDF 148K)

Abstract: This paper examines the role of structural factors—governance and rule of law, corporate sector governance (creditor rights and shareholder rights), corporate financing structure—as well as macroeconomic variables in currency crises. Using a technique known as a binary recursive tree allows for interactions between the various explanatory variables. It is found that structural vulnerabilities play an important role in the occurrence of "deep" currency crises (those with a real GDP growth decline of at least 3 percentage points) and that there are complex interactions between these structural vulnerabilities and macroeconomic imbalances.
[JEL F31, F41, F47]