How Long is the Long Run? A Dynamic Analysis of the Spanish Business Cycle
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Summary:
This paper studies the sources of Spanish business cycles. It assumes that Spanish output is affected by two types of shocks. The first one has permanent long-run effects on output and it is identified as a supply shock. The second one has only transitory effects on output and it is identified as a demand shock. Spain seems to have long business cycles, of about 15 years. As restrictive demand policies to control the inflation rate could prove painful and disappointing, supply side policies aimed at reducing rigidities in the product and labor market would be a better way to achieve the same objective.
Series:
Working Paper No. 1997/074
Subject:
Business cycles Econometric analysis Economic growth Economic theory Inflation Oil prices Prices Supply shocks Vector autoregression
English
Publication Date:
June 1, 1997
ISBN/ISSN:
9781451849554/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA0741997
Pages:
31
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