IMF Publications by Subject

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Economic forecasting
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Title: Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach
Author/Editor:Francis Vitek
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 17/89
Subject: 
Title: Variance Decomposition Networks : Potential Pitfalls and a Simple Solution
Author/Editor:Jorge A Chan-Lau
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 17/107
Subject: 
Title: Uganda : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/130
Subject: 
Title: A Toolkit to Assess the Consistency Between Real Sector and Financial Sector Forecasts
Author/Editor:Sophia Chen,Paola Ganum,Pau Rabanal
lblSeries:Technical Notes and Manuals No. 17/09
Subject: 
Title: Turkey : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/208
Subject: 
Title: Uganda : Technical Assistance Report-Improving GDP Forecasting
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/270
Subject: 
Title: Portugal : Selected Issues
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/279
Subject: 
Title: Georgia : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/291
Subject: 
Title: Brazil : Technical Assistance Report-Supporting Implementation of the Expenditure Rule Through Public Financial Management Reforms
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 17/292
Subject: 
Title: Forecasts in Times of Crises
Author/Editor:Theo S. Eicher,David J. Kuenzel,Chris Papageorgiou,Charis Christofides
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/48
Subject: 
Title: Independent Fiscal Councils: Recent Trends and Performance
Author/Editor:Roel M. W. J. Beetsma,Xavier Debrun,Xiangming Fang,Young Kim,Victor Duarte Lledo,Samba Mbaye,Xiaoxiao Zhang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/68
Subject: 
Title: On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism
Author/Editor:Paul Beaudry,Tim Willems
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/122
Subject: 
Title: El Salvador : Selected Issues
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 18/152
Subject: 
Title: A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium
Author/Editor:Emanuel Kopp,Peter D. Williams
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/140
Subject: 
Title: An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka
Author/Editor:Chandranath Amarasekara,Rahul Anand,Kithsiri Ehelepola,Hemantha Ekanayake,Vishuddhi Jayawickrema,Sujeetha Jegajeevan,Csaba Kober,Tharindi Nugawela,Sergey Plotnikov,Adam Remo,Poongothai Venuganan,Rasika Yatigammana
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/149
Subject: 
Title: Predicting Fiscal Crises
Author/Editor:Svetlana Cerovic,Kerstin Gerling,Andrew Hodge,Paulo Medas
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/181
Subject: 
Title: Colombia : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 18/250
Subject: 
Title: Malta : Technical Assistance Report-Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 18/284
Subject: 
Title: Mexico : Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 18/289
Subject: 
Title: Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections
Author/Editor:Klaus-Peter Hellwig
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 18/260
Subject: 
Title: Suriname : Selected Issues
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 18/377
Subject: 
Title: Sierra Leone : Economic Development Documents-National Development Plan, 2019-23
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
lblSeries:Country Report No. 19/218
Subject: 
Title: World Economic Outlook, April 2020 : The Great Lockdown
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
lblSeries:World Economic and Financial Surveys
Subject: 
Title: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Middle East and Central Asia
Author/Editor:International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
lblSeries:REO
Subject: 
Title: Taking Stock of IMF Capacity Development on Monetary Policy Forecasting and Policy Analysis Systems
Author/Editor:Nils Mæhle,Tibor Hlédik,Mikhail Pranovich,Carina Selander
lblSeries:Departmental Paper No 2021/026
Subject: 
Title: Mending the Crystal Ball: Enhanced Inflation Forecasts with Machine Learning
Author/Editor:Yang Liu,Ran Pan,Rui Xu
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 2024/206
Subject: 
Title: Regime-Switching Factor Models and Nowcasting with Big Data
Author/Editor:Omer Faruk Akbal
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 2024/190
Subject: 
Title: Kingdom of Lesotho: Selected Issues
lblSeries:Country Report No. 2024/289
Subject: 
Title: A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies
Author/Editor:Zoltan Jakab ; Pavel Lukyantsau ; Shengzu Wang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 15/50
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Germany ; France ; Italy ; Spain ; Euro Area ; Spillovers ; General equilibrium models
Title: Analyzing Determinants of Inflation When There Are Data Limitation:The Case of Sierra Leone
Author/Editor:Gottschalk, Jan ; Kalonji, Kadima D. ; Miyajima, Ken
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 08/271
Subject: Inflation ; Sierra Leone ; Data analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Oil prices ; Money supply ; Exchange rate depreciation ; Forecasting models
Title: Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice?
Author/Editor:Berg, Andrew ; Borensztein, Eduardo ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/52
Subject: Crisis prevention ; Currencies ; Economic indicators ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Balance of payments need
Title: The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises
Author/Editor:Berg, Andrew ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
lblSeries:Economic Issues No. 22
Subject: Financial crisis ; Economic forecasting
Title: Chile: Selected Issues
lblSeries:Country Report No. 06/336
Subject: Central banks ; Economic forecasting ; Liquidity ; Chile ; Public sector ; Public debt
Title: Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting
Author/Editor:Christoffersen, Peter F. ; Diebold, Francis X.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 97/61
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation
Author/Editor:Crowe, Christopher W.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/178
Subject: Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Gross domestic product
Title: Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis
Author/Editor:Chen, Huigang ; Clinton, Kevin ; Johnson, Marianne ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Laxton, Douglas
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/214
Subject: Bank credit ; Credit restraint ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; European Union ; Inflation targeting ; Interest rates ; Japan ; Monetary policy ; Oil prices ; United States
Title: The Corporate Spread Curve and Industrial Production in the United States
Author/Editor:Chan-Lau, Jorge A. ; Ivaschenko, Iryna V.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 02/8
Subject: Economic forecasting ; United States ; Industrial production ; Economic models
Title: Data Dissemination Standards and the Statistical Quality of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Mrkaic, Mico
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/203
Subject: Data quality assessment framework ; Economic forecasting ; General Data Dissemination System ; Government finance statistics ; Members ; Special Data Dissemination Standard ; World Economic Outlook
Title: Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?
Author/Editor:John C Bluedorn ; Jörg Decressin ; Marco Terrones
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/203
Subject: Asset prices ; Group of seven ; Stock markets ; Business cycles ; Economic recession ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?
Author/Editor:David A Reichsfeld ; Shaun K. Roache
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/254
Subject: Commodity markets ; Commodity prices ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
Author/Editor:Laurence M. Ball ; João Tovar Jalles ; Prakash Loungani
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 14/24
Subject: Unemployment ; Economic growth ; Economic forecasting
Title: Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
Author/Editor:Coenen, Günter ; Erceg, Christopher ; Freedman, Charles ; Furceri, Davide ; Kumhof, Michael ; Lalonde, René ; Laxton, Douglas ; Lindé, Jesper ; Mourougane, Annabelle ; Muir, Dirk ; Mursula, Susanna ; Roberts, John ; Roeger, Werner ; de Resende, Carlos ; Snudden, Stephen ; Trabandt, Mathias ; in ‘t Veld, Jan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/73
Subject: Budget deficits ; Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; Europe ; Fiscal policy ; Government expenditures ; Monetary policy ; Public debt ; Stabilization measures ; Taxes ; United States
Title: An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Timmermann, Allan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 06/59
Subject: World Economic Outlook ; Economic forecasting ; Economic conditions
Title: Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area
Author/Editor:Troy Matheson
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/93
Subject: Economic conditions ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Monetary policy
Title: Financial Information and Macroeconomic Forecasts
Author/Editor:Sophia Chen ; Romain Ranciere
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 16/251
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Credit expansion ; Stock prices ; Housing prices ; Developed countries ; Emerging markets ; Low-income developing countries ; Variables (Mathematics) ; Forecasting models ; Time series
Title: Fiscal Expectations Under the Stability and Growth Pact : Evidence From Survey Data
Author/Editor:Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro ; Jan-Christoph Rülke
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/48
Subject: Budget deficits ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Fiscal stability

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