IMF Publications by Subject

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Economic forecasting
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Title: A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies
Author/Editor:Zoltan Jakab ; Pavel Lukyantsau ; Shengzu Wang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 15/50
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Germany ; France ; Italy ; Spain ; Euro Area ; Spillovers ; General equilibrium models
Title: Analyzing Determinants of Inflation When There Are Data Limitation:The Case of Sierra Leone
Author/Editor:Gottschalk, Jan ; Kalonji, Kadima D. ; Miyajima, Ken
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 08/271
Subject: Inflation ; Sierra Leone ; Data analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Oil prices ; Money supply ; Exchange rate depreciation ; Forecasting models
Title: Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have They Worked in Practice?
Author/Editor:Berg, Andrew ; Borensztein, Eduardo ; Pattillo, Catherine A.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 04/52
Subject: Crisis prevention ; Currencies ; Economic indicators ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Balance of payments need
Title: Chile: Selected Issues
lblSeries:Country Report No. 06/336
Subject: Central banks ; Economic forecasting ; Liquidity ; Chile ; Public sector ; Public debt
Title: Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting
Author/Editor:Christoffersen, Peter F. ; Diebold, Francis X.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 97/61
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation
Author/Editor:Crowe, Christopher W.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/178
Subject: Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Gross domestic product
Title: Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis
Author/Editor:Chen, Huigang ; Clinton, Kevin ; Johnson, Marianne ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Laxton, Douglas
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/214
Subject: Bank credit ; Credit restraint ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; European Union ; Inflation targeting ; Interest rates ; Japan ; Monetary policy ; Oil prices ; United States
Title: The Corporate Spread Curve and Industrial Production in the United States
Author/Editor:Chan-Lau, Jorge A. ; Ivaschenko, Iryna V.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 02/8
Subject: Economic forecasting ; United States ; Industrial production ; Economic models
Title: Data Dissemination Standards and the Statistical Quality of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Mrkaic, Mico
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/203
Subject: Data quality assessment framework ; Economic forecasting ; General Data Dissemination System ; Government finance statistics ; Members ; Special Data Dissemination Standard ; World Economic Outlook
Title: Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions?
Author/Editor:John C Bluedorn ; Jörg Decressin ; Marco Terrones
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/203
Subject: Asset prices ; Group of seven ; Stock markets ; Business cycles ; Economic recession ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?
Author/Editor:David A Reichsfeld ; Shaun K. Roache
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/254
Subject: Commodity markets ; Commodity prices ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
Author/Editor:Laurence M. Ball ; João Tovar Jalles ; Prakash Loungani
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 14/24
Subject: Unemployment ; Economic growth ; Economic forecasting
Title: Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
Author/Editor:Coenen, Günter ; Erceg, Christopher ; Freedman, Charles ; Furceri, Davide ; Kumhof, Michael ; Lalonde, René ; Laxton, Douglas ; Lindé, Jesper ; Mourougane, Annabelle ; Muir, Dirk ; Mursula, Susanna ; Roberts, John ; Roeger, Werner ; de Resende, Carlos ; Snudden, Stephen ; Trabandt, Mathias ; in ‘t Veld, Jan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/73
Subject: Budget deficits ; Cross country analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; Europe ; Fiscal policy ; Government expenditures ; Monetary policy ; Public debt ; Stabilization measures ; Taxes ; United States
Title: An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts
Author/Editor:Timmermann, Allan
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 06/59
Subject: World Economic Outlook ; Economic forecasting ; Economic conditions
Title: Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area
Author/Editor:Troy Matheson
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/93
Subject: Economic conditions ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Monetary policy
Title: Financial Information and Macroeconomic Forecasts
Author/Editor:Sophia Chen ; Romain Ranciere
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 16/251
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Credit expansion ; Stock prices ; Housing prices ; Developed countries ; Emerging markets ; Low-income developing countries ; Variables (Mathematics) ; Forecasting models ; Time series
Title: Fiscal Expectations Under the Stability and Growth Pact : Evidence From Survey Data
Author/Editor:Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro ; Jan-Christoph Rülke
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/48
Subject: Budget deficits ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Fiscal stability
Title: Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows
Author/Editor:Todd B. Walker ; Eric M. Leeper ; Shu-Chun S. Yang
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 12/153
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks
Author/Editor:Sylwia Nowak ; Pratiti Chatterjee
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 16/228
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Vector autoregression ; Error analysis
Title: Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries : Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya
Author/Editor:Michal Andrle ; Andrew Berg ; R. Armando Morales ; Rafael Portillo ; Jan Vlcek
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/61
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Kenya ; Food imports ; Inflation ; Monetary policy ; Low-income developing countries ; Forecasting models
Title: Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy: Accuracy Is (Still) a Matter of Geography
Author/Editor:Berger, Helge ; Ehrmann, Michael ; Fratzscher, Marcel
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 06/41
Subject: Monetary policy ; Europe ; European Central Bank ; Economic forecasting ; Data collection ; Data analysis
Title: Forecasting the Nominal Brent Oil Price with VARs—One Model Fits All?
Author/Editor:Benjamin Beckers ; Samya Beidas-Strom
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 15/251
Subject: Oil prices ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models ; Vector autoregression
Title: Forecasting U.S. Investment
Author/Editor:Lee, Jaewoo ; Rabanal, Pau
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/246
Subject: Demand ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Economic models ; Industrial investment ; Information technology ; Private consumption ; Private sector ; Software ; United States
Title: Global Relative Poverty
Author/Editor:Nielsen, Lynge
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/93
Subject: Poverty ; Income distribution ; Economic growth ; Economic forecasting ; Social indicators
Title: Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
Author/Editor:Olivier J. Blanchard ; Daniel Leigh
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/1
Subject: Economic growth ; Fiscal policy ; Government expenditures ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Growth: Now and Forever?
Author/Editor:Giang Ho ; Paolo Mauro
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 14/117
Subject: Economic growth ; Economic forecasting ; Panel analysis
Title: How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?
Author/Editor:Mühleisen, Martin ; Danninger, Stephan ; Hauner, David ; Krajnyák, Kornélia ; Sutton, Bennett
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 05/66
Subject: Budgets ; Canada ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Identifying Fiscal Policy Transmission in Stochastic Debt Forecasts
Author/Editor:Kei Kawakami ; Rafael Romeu
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/107
Subject: Debt sustainability ; Economic forecasting ; IMF ; Public debt
Title: In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?
Author/Editor:Jaewoo Lee ; H. Takizawa ; David Hauner
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/116
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Exchange rates ; Forecasting models ; Interest rate differential ; Purchasing power parity
Title: Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart
Author/Editor:Kannan, Prakash ; Elekdag, Selim
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 09/178
Subject: Data analysis ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Economic models ; Forecasting models ; Markets ; World Economic Outlook
Title: Inflation in Tajikistan: Forecasting Analysis and Monetary Policy Challenges
Author/Editor:Vtyurina, Svetlana ; Alturki, Fahad
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 10/17
Subject: Dollarization ; Banking sector ; Credit ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models ; Exchange rates ; Interest rates ; Reserve requirements
Title: Inflation Targeting and Communication: It Pays Off to Read Inflation Reports
Author/Editor:Bulir, Ales ; Smídková, Katerina ; Kotlán, Viktor ; Navrátil, David
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 08/234
Subject: Inflation targeting ; Central banks ; Economic forecasting ; Monetary policy ; Transparency ; Emerging markets ; Chile ; Czech Republic ; Hungary ; Poland ; Thailand ; Sweden
Title: Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts : Evidence from a Large International Panel
Author/Editor:Jonas Dovern ; Ulrich Fritsche ; Prakash Loungani ; Natalia T. Tamirisa
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 13/56
Subject: Economic growth ; Developed countries ; Emerging markets ; Economic forecasting
Title: Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel
Author/Editor:Jonas Dovern ; Ulrich Fritsche ; Prakash Loungani ; Natalia T. Tamirisa
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 14/31
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Developed countries ; Emerging markets ; Forecasting models
Title: Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process : A Simple Framework and New Facts
Author/Editor:Olivier Coibion ; Yuriy Gorodnichenko
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 12/296
Subject: Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts : Some Cross-Country Evidence
Author/Editor:Natalia T. Tamirisa ; Prakash Loungani ; Herman O. Stekler
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 11/125
Subject: Data analysis ; Developed countries ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Economic models ; Economic recession ; Emerging markets
Title: The Inverted Fisher Hypothesis: Inflation Forecastability and Asset Substitution"
Author/Editor:Choi, Woon Gyu
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 00/194
Subject: Inflation ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models
Title: Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in Japan
Author/Editor:Sekine, Toshitaka
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 01/82
Subject: Inflation ; Japan ; Economic forecasting ; Forecasting models
Title: Modeling the World Economic Outlook at the IMF - A Historical Review
Author/Editor:Boughton, James M.
lblSeries:Working Paper No. 97/48
Subject: World Economic Outlook ; Fund ; Economic forecasting ; Economic models

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