Journal Description Editorial Committee How to Subscribe Forthcoming Articles Staff Papers Archive Copyright Information Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view pdf files Free Email Notification Receive emails when we post new
items of interest to you. |
|
|
|
Contagion and Volatility with Imperfect Credit Markets By Pierre-Richard Agenor and Joshua Aizenman Full Text of This Article (PDF 1,530 K)
Abstract: This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of shocks impinging on the economy. The implications of this approach are analyzed in a model in which domestic banks borrow at a premium on world capital markets, and domestic producers borrow at a premuim from domestic banks. Financial spreads depend on a markup that compensates lenders, in particular, for the expected cost of contract enforcement. Higher volatility increases financial spreads and the producers' cost of capital, resulting in lower employment and higher incidence of default. Welfare effects are nonlinearly related to the degree of international financial integration. [JEL E44,F36,I31] © 1998 International Monetary Fund |
