Table 1. The Gambia: Summary and Timetable of Macroeconomic and
Structural Adjustment Policies, 1998-2000
|
|
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Objectives and Policies
|
Strategies and Measures
|
Implementation Period
|
Technical Assistance
|
|
External sector policies
|
Exchange rate
|
Promote efficient resource allocation and diversification of the economy.
|
Maintain a flexible exchange rate policy; improve the functioning of the interbank market.
|
1998-2000
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|
|
External trade
|
Further liberalize trade regime to promote private sector development and export diversification.
|
Maintain a liberal trade system without quantitative restrictions.
|
1998-2000
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|
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|
|
Rationalize import tariff structure in two steps:
|
|
|
|
|
- reduce maximum duty rate to 25 percent (except for alcohol, tobacco, and vehicles) and reduce number of tariff rates to 19;
|
July 1998
|
World Bank, IMF
|
|
|
- implement a limited number of tariff rates with a maximum duty rate of less than 20 percent, and introduce excise taxes on alcohol, tobacco, and vehicles.
|
January 1999
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Foreign debt
|
Limit external debt service and maintain normal relations with creditors.
|
Neither contract nor guarantee any new nonconcessional debt, except for normal import-related loans.
|
1998-2000
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Require prior authorization by Department of State for Finance and Economic Affairs (DOSFEA) for all government or government-guaranteed loans.
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1998-2000
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Remain current on external obligations and maintain system for managing external debt.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
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Fiscal policy
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Revenue
|
Improve efficiency of tax and customs administration and broaden tax base.
|
Implement measures to strengthen customs and tax administration, including computerization and training, integrated with the computerized customs system.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
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Reduce and strictly control customs duty exemptions.
|
1998-2000
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Establish a semiautonomous revenue board with a performance-based pay structure and independent audit.
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1999-2000
|
World Bank
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Undertake study on petroleum products price and taxation structure, with a view to adjusting retail prices to world market prices while safeguarding adequate level of government revenue.
|
June 1998
|
World Bank
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Strictly enforce compliance of parastatals as regards income tax, dividend, and debt- service payments obligations to the government.
|
1998-2000
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Expenditure
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Improve the monitoring and control of public expenditure.
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Strengthen staff capacity and computerize expenditure control and the Accountant General's Department.
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1998-2000
|
World Bank
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Strengthen budget planning management and execution functions and improve the line-item budget system.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
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Conduct public expenditure reviews (PERs) in the three priority sectors (health, education, and agriculture).
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June 1998
|
World Bank
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Refrain from extrabudgetary expenditures.
|
1998-2000
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Improve the structure of current expenditure and pursue a policy of restraint.
|
Contain the wage bill to D 276.2 million in 1998 and limit any increase in 1999 and 2000.
|
1998-2000
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Implement a policy of no net recruitment in the public services, except for health and education, in line with PER recommendations.
|
1998-2000
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|
|
Restrain low-priority spending, including on travel abroad.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Increase spending allocated to education and health in line with PERs in these sectors.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
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|
|
Improve the programming and monitoring of government investment.
|
Strengthen the capacity for programming, executing, and monitoring government investment.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Adopt the 1999-2001 three-year public investment program with a viable financing plan, taking into account recurrent cost implications and the macroeconomic framework.
|
December 1998
|
World Bank
|
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|
|
|
Monetary policy and financial sector reform
|
Maintain low inflation.
|
Implement prudent reserve money management and flexible interest rate policies in the context of indirect system of monetary control.
|
1998-2000
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Unify required reserve ratios on all deposits and exclude interbank deposits from reserve base.
|
1998
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|
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Encourage secondary market in government securities.
|
1998-2000
|
IMF
|
|
Increase efficiency of banking system and improve financial intermediation.
|
Improve financial transparency by revising guidelines for commercial banks to publish service charges and other financial information.
|
1998
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Allow foreign-currency-denominated deposits at local banks.
|
1999
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Strengthen on- and off-site banking supervision and strictly enforce banking and prudential regulations.
|
1998-2000
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Establish commercial court to strengthen loan recovery.
|
October 1998
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Develop prudential regulatory framework for insurance industry.
|
1998-2000
|
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Private sector development
|
Reduce distortions and promote private sector activity.
|
Maintain liberalized trade and pricing systems.
|
1998-2000
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|
|
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|
|
Develop new investment incentive system, integrated in the tax code.
|
1998-99
|
World Bank/ UNCTAD
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Simplify procedures for creating new enterprises and conducting business in The Gambia.
|
1998-99
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Improve the legal environment and the performance of the judicial system.
|
Review and rationalize business-related legislation.
|
1998
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Adopt an improved labor law.
|
1999
|
World Bank
|
|
|
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Train judges in commercial law.
|
1998-2000
|
|
|
|
|
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Strengthen institutional capacity in support of private sector development.
|
Institute a public and private sector consultative forum.
|
1998
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reestablish an independent export and investment promotion agency as "one-stop-shop."
|
1999
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
Public sector management
|
Improve effectiveness in the provision of public services.
|
Initiate a comprehensive civil service reform aimed at creating a leaner, more-focused, and reasonably remunerated administration.
|
1998-2000
|
DfID and World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Continue the staff inspection program to identify the scope for lowering staffing levels.
|
1998-2000
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Base civil service incomes policy on availability of budgetary resources, overall productivity gains in the economy, and changes in the cost of living.
|
1998-2000
|
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|
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|
|
Develop a new job evaluation and merit-based pay system.
|
1998-99
|
DfID
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Adopt a new procurement code.
|
September 1998
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Strengthen monitoring and analysis of economic developments, and improve policy implementation.
|
Convene High-Level Economic Committee to monitor economic and financial developments on a monthly basis.
|
March 1998
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|
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|
|
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|
Allocate adequate resources for preparation of economic statistics, notably the national accounts, production data, and the balance of payments.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank, IMF
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Strengthen democratic and administrative institutions and procedures to enhance popular participation, transparency, and accountability.
|
Finalize a comprehensive good governance program. Implement recommendations made in good governance program.
|
1998
1998-2000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Public enterprise reform
|
Improve the efficiency and reduce the size of the public enterprise sector.
|
Regularize financial relations between the government and public enterprises on basis of memoranda of understanding.
|
April 1998
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|
|
Implement settlement of cross debts and adopt timetables for settling remaining debts.
|
April 1998
|
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|
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|
|
Adopt a new divestiture strategy.
|
November 1998
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
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|
Offer for sale the Trust Bank.
|
1998
|
|
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|
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|
Prepare divestiture of Atlantic Hotel and sale of share in Novotel.
|
1998-99
|
|
|
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|
|
|
Strengthen the unit in charge of managing the public portfolio, including the reporting of comprehensive data on the financial position of public enterprises on a semiannual basis.
|
1998-2000
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Sectoral policies
|
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|
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|
Agriculture and
natural resources
|
Expand and diversify agricultural production for export and domestic tourism markets in order to increase farm employment and income, and food security.
|
Finalize agricultural sector strategy incorporating the conclusions of the 1998 National Workshop.
|
September 1998
|
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|
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|
|
Maintain market-based pricing policy for groundnuts and cereals, and for inputs.
|
1998-2000
|
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|
|
Liquidate GCU and agree on settlement of outstanding stock of nonperforming loans.
|
1998
|
|
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|
|
Improve extension services and introduce new seed varieties in groundnut and other subsectors.
|
1998
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|
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|
Intensify research and extension services in partnership with the private sector to promote horticulture for domestic (tourist-related) market and exports.
|
1998-2000
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Formulate a microfinance program for rural financial services to the informal sector
|
1998-2000
|
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|
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Stimulate private investment and increase export activities in fishing sector.
|
Develop a fisheries resource management program, including artisanal subsector.
|
1998
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|
Update feasibility study of establishing a fisheries port.
|
September 1998
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Improve the environment with a view to sustaining long-term economic growth.
|
Continue to implement the National Environmental Action Plan, with emphasis on decentralizing environmental management responsibilities.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Strengthen management capacity of Department of State for Natural Resources and the National Environment Agency.
|
1998-2000
|
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|
Formulate and implement a coastal resources management program.
|
1998-99
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Industry
|
Encourage private investment in industry, especially in export activities.
|
Introduce legal, regulatory, and incentive frameworks for investors in a reexport and export processing zone, including the introduction of flexibility in the labor legislation governing the port of Banjul.
|
1999-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tourism
|
Promote tourism and its contribution to economic growth.
|
Continue efforts to broaden the tourism market, improve quality standards in hotels and restaurants, and ensure rational use of tourism development area.
|
1998-2000
|
|
|
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|
|
Infrastructure
|
Deregulate telecommunications.
|
Establish regulatory framework for telecommunications sector, aimed at deregulation and enhanced private sector participation.
|
1998-99
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Restructure GAMTEL by separating telecommunications business from radio and television activities.
|
1998
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reduce the cost of energy.
|
Prepare energy sector policy, including policies on sustainable woodfuel production from forests and woodlands.
|
1998
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provide guarantees of open access to petroleum storage facilities to increase competition among oil companies.
|
June 1998
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Establish the regulatory framework for electricity power sector.
|
1999
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
Open capital of NAWEC to private sector.
|
1999-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfer to local communities the management of forestry resources.
|
1998-2000
|
GTZ, UE
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Improve the efficiency and effectiveness in the provision of transport services.
|
Adopt a road maintenance policy . Establish the Highway Authority.
|
1998
1999
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Population and health
|
Reduce the population growth rate.
|
Continue to implement programs based on existing National Population Policy.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Promote family planning.
|
1998-2000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Improve effectiveness and quality of health care services and their accessability to the rural population.
|
Implement recommendations of the PER for the health sector.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
Implement recommendations of Health Sector Requirements Study and equip the Farafenni hospital, in line with PER recommendations.
|
1998-2000
|
African Development Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Improve basis for health financing policy, including cost-recovery mechanisms.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Decentralize responsibility for health care delivery, and expand the primary and secondary health care system and nurse- training programs.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Encourage provision of health services by private sector, especially at tertiary level.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Promote distribution and use of generic drugs.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
Education
|
Improve the availability, effectiveness, and quality of education.
|
Implement recommendations of the PER for the education sector.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
Improve the quality of primary education and increase primary enrollment rate to 80 percent in 2000, especially in rural areas and among girls.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Improve the adequacy and efficiency of teacher training.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Involve students and businesses in financing vocational and technical training.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Introduce management information system.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Upgrade tertiary education institutions.
|
1998-2000
|
World Bank
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poverty alleviation
|
Improve delivery of basic services to vulnerable groups.
|
Strengthen implementation of ongoing poverty alleviation program.
|
1998-2000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ensure that budgetary allocations to priority sectors better target basic needs.
|
1998-2000
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 2. The Gambia: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators,
1994/95-2000
1 |
|
|
|
1994/ 1995 |
1995/ 1996 |
1996/ 1997 |
1997 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
|
|
|
|
Est. |
Proj. |
Prel. |
Program |
|
|
|
(Annual percentage changes, unless otherwise indicated) |
National income and prices |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP at constant prices |
|
-3.4 |
5.3 |
0.8 |
3.2 |
5.4 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
GDP deflator |
|
4.4 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
Consumer price index (period average) |
|
4.0 |
4.8 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
Consumer price index (end of period) |
|
5.2 |
0.2 |
4.8 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
External sector |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exports, f.o.b. (in SDRs) |
|
-7.8 |
-2.6 |
-2.7 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
11.2 |
3.3 |
5.7 |
Imports, f.o.b. (in SDRs) |
|
-22.1 |
28.2 |
-5.8 |
-0.6 |
-0.2 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
Export volume 2 |
|
-5.1 |
-11.0 |
-25.1 |
-5.5 |
-10.8 |
61.4 |
4.9 |
6.0 |
Import volume 3 |
|
-25.9 |
41.2 |
-8.7 |
-4.1 |
1.9 |
7.2 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
Terms of trade 2 3 |
|
14.8 |
3.8 |
6.4 |
1.2 |
12.0 |
2.6 |
-3.9 |
-4.4 |
Nominal effective exchange rate |
|
-0.7 |
-2.1 |
2.1 |
... |
3.9 |
... |
... |
... |
Real effective exchange rate |
|
-7.0 |
-0.5 |
1.8 |
... |
4.5 |
... |
... |
... |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Government budget |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue |
|
-11.7 |
-1.2 |
15.3 |
13.3 |
11.1 |
8.7 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
Total expenditure and net lending |
|
2.7 |
28.1 |
8.6 |
-10.1 |
-6.3 |
-7.0 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
Current expenditure |
|
0.8 |
8.1 |
10.5 |
13.0 |
15.8 |
-3.5 |
2.2 |
3.8 |
Development expenditure and net lending |
|
-3.0 |
97.5 |
6.0 |
-40.1 |
-35.9 |
-15.3 |
7.7 |
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Money and credit |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net domestic assets 4 |
|
8.9 |
-11.5 |
13.2 |
9.0 |
15.9 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
Credit to the government 4 |
|
9.8 |
8.2 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
2.4 |
-1.0 |
-5.7 |
-5.2 |
Credit to the private sector
4 5 |
|
5.0 |
-13.7 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
9.9 |
3.7 |
8.6 |
9.9 |
Broad money |
|
8.1 |
8.8 |
16.7 |
9.0 |
22.3 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
Velocity
(GDP relative to broad money) |
|
4.2 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
Interest rate on treasury bills |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in percent; end of period) |
|
15.5 |
16.0 |
16.0 |
16.0 |
16.0 |
… |
… |
… |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In percent of GDP) |
Gross domestic investment and savings |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross investment |
|
16.0 |
23.4 |
19.3 |
17.7 |
17.6 |
18.7 |
19.8 |
20.7 |
Government |
|
6.1 |
12.9 |
12.7 |
8.2 |
8.4 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
Private 5 |
|
9.9 |
10.5 |
6.6 |
9.5 |
9.2 |
11.8 |
12.9 |
13.8 |
Gross domestic savings |
|
3.5 |
2.9 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
9.6 |
10.6 |
11.4 |
Gross national savings |
|
11.7 |
10.0 |
12.6 |
12.7 |
12.5 |
14.4 |
15.6 |
16.6 |
Government |
|
10.1 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
9.7 |
8.0 |
9.9 |
10.5 |
11.1 |
Private 5 |
|
1.6 |
2.0 |
4.4 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Central government budget |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Surplus or deficit (-), excluding grants 6 |
|
-5.9 |
-12.1 |
-11.4 |
-6.0 |
-7.8 |
-4.0 |
-2.9 |
-1.9 |
Surplus or deficit (-), including grants 6 |
|
-3.3 |
-9.9 |
-9.7 |
-4.9 |
-6.5 |
-2.7 |
-1.7 |
-0.7 |
Basic primary balance |
|
3.7 |
3.6 |
5.1 |
6.9 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
Current balance |
|
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
Revenue |
|
19.5 |
17.7 |
19.4 |
20.1 |
19.3 |
19.6 |
19.9 |
20.2 |
Net foreign financing |
|
0.1 |
5.5 |
7.4 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
Net domestic financing |
|
3.1 |
4.2 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
-1.5 |
-2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
External sector |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current account balance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Excluding official transfers |
|
-12.5 |
-20.1 |
-12.8 |
-11.6 |
-11.6 |
-10.6 |
-10.2 |
-9.9 |
Including official transfers |
|
-4.3 |
-13.4 |
-6.7 |
-5.0 |
-5.1 |
-4.3 |
-4.2 |
-4.1 |
External debt outstanding, including Fund |
|
110.8 |
113.8 |
109.6 |
107.3 |
102.9 |
104.6 |
100.9 |
96.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In percent of exports and travel income) |
External debt service |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Including the Fund |
|
18.1 |
16.2 |
13.1 |
12.9 |
12.6 |
10.9 |
9.9 |
8.8 |
Excluding the Fund |
|
14.4 |
11.8 |
8.9 |
9.5 |
8.8 |
8.2 |
8.0 |
7.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In millions of SDRs, unless otherwise indicated) |
Current account balance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Excluding official transfers |
|
-30.8 |
-53.4 |
-36.3 |
-33.4 |
-34.4 |
-33.0 |
-34.3 |
-35.7 |
Including official transfers |
|
-10.6 |
-35.6 |
-19.0 |
-14.5 |
-15.2 |
-13.3 |
-14.2 |
-14.8 |
Overall balance of payments |
|
-4.6 |
12.4 |
5.2 |
-2.2 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
Gross official reserves (end of period) |
|
62.5 |
70.1 |
70.4 |
65.0 |
69.6 |
76.8 |
85.4 |
94.1 |
(equivalent months of imports, c.i.f.) |
|
5.9 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.2 |
|
Sources: The Gambian authorities; and staff estimates and projections.
1 Until 1996/97, fiscal years (July-June); from 1997, calendar years.
2 Excluding reexports (which accounted for an estimated 86 percent of total exports in 1996/97).
3 Excluding imports for reexports
(which accounted for an estimated 33 percent of total
imports in 1996/97).
4 In percent of broad money at the beginning of the period.
5 Includes public enterprises.
6 On a commitment basis.
|
|