Senegal—Enhanced Structural Adjustment
Facility
Policy Framework Paper, 1998–2000
Tables 4-5
| Table 4. Senegal: Key Debt
Sustainability Indicators--Baseline Scenario |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2017 |
1997-2006 |
2007-2017 |
| Key Ratios: |
(in percent) |
| Debt-GDP ratio |
75.2 |
71.0 |
65.5 |
60.5 |
40.0 |
27.1 |
14.4 |
54.9 |
23.4 |
|
NPV of
debt
to
exports
ratio1 |
147.5 |
144.7 |
142.2 |
131.9 |
82.1 |
60.8 |
37.1 |
114.6 |
54.1 |
| |
NPV of debt to
exports ratio,
after
expected debt
relief2 |
n.a. |
129.7 |
128.5 |
120.8 |
80.4 |
61.3 |
39.7 |
103.8 |
55.2 |
NPV of
debt
to
government
revenue |
307.0 |
296.4 |
261.8 |
238.2 |
137.4 |
88.5 |
44.9 |
210.6 |
76.3 |
| NPV debt to GDP ratio |
50.0 |
46.3 |
42.0 |
37.7 |
23.0 |
15.9 |
8.9 |
34.0 |
13.9 |
|
| Debt service
ratio |
19.6 |
18.7 |
15.9 |
16.1 |
10.7 |
6.3 |
4.1 |
14.7 |
5.7 |
Debt-service
ratio,
after expected
debt
relief2 |
n.a. |
16.0 |
13.1 |
12.0 |
9.9 |
6.4 |
4.5 |
11.8 |
5.8 |
Multilateral
debt
service ratio3 |
11.8 |
10.5 |
8.1 |
7.0 |
5.8 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
7.3 |
2.5 |
Debt service
to
government
revenue
ratio |
39.2 |
38.4 |
30.9 |
30.8 |
19.0 |
9.6 |
5.3 |
28.1 |
8.5 |
|
|
Memorandum Items: |
(in millions
of US$) |
Exports of goods
and non
factor
services |
1,485.2 |
1,541.3 |
1,641.2 |
1,744.7 |
2,446.2 |
3,205.7 |
4,740.4 |
1,920.8 |
3,553.0 |
Exports of goods
and non factor
services (3-year
average) |
1,538.8 |
1,538.0 |
1,555.9 |
1,642.4 |
2,310.1 |
3,045.0 |
4,481.0 |
1,828.9 |
3,365.3 |
| Government
Revenue |
742.6 |
751.7 |
845.8 |
910.8 |
1,380.5 |
2,090.5 |
3,707.4 |
1,014.3 |
2,458.9 |
Gross
Domestic
Product |
4,555.0 |
4,811.6 |
5,276.4 |
5,756.6 |
8,242.0 |
11,614.0 |
18,771.8 |
6,266.5 |
13,236.4 |
Sources:
Senegalese authorities; and staff estimates and projections.
1NPV of debt as a ratio of three-year average of exports of goods
and nonfactor services.
2Assumes a 67 percent stock-of-debt operation with Paris Club
creditors.
3Including IMF. |
Table
5. Senegal: Selected Demographic and Social Indicators
|
| |
Latest single year
|
Most recent
estimate, |
Sub-Saharan |
| Indicator |
1970-75 |
1980-85 |
1989-94 |
Africa |
Population |
(In units indicated) |
| Total (thousands) |
4,806 |
6,375 |
8,263 |
571,902 |
| Annual growth rate (percent) |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
Urban population
(percent of total) |
34.2 |
37.9 |
41.8 |
30.6 |
| Life expectancy (years) |
43 |
45 |
50 |
52 |
Total fertility rate
(births per woman) |
6.5 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
| Labor force |
| Total, ages
15-64 (thousands) |
2,242 |
2,883 |
3,630 |
254,250 |
Employment in agriculture
(percent of total) |
82 |
79 |
77 |
65 |
Education |
(Percent of school age
population) |
| Primary school enrollment ratio |
41 |
56 |
58 |
71 |
| Male |
48 |
67 |
67 |
77 |
| Female |
34 |
46 |
50 |
64 |
| Secondary school enrollment ratio
| 10 |
14 |
11 |
24 |
|
(In units indicated) |
Primary pupil/Teacher ratio
(pupils per teacher)
| 42 |
46 |
59 |
40 |
Adult illiteracy rate
(percentage of population ages
15 and above)
| . . . |
68 |
62 |
53 |
| Females |
. . . |
81 |
77 |
54 |
Health and nutrition |
| Population per hospital bed (persons)
| 775 |
. . . |
1,923 |
1,316 |
| Population per nurse |
1,675 |
2,024 |
4,246 |
. . . |
Infant mortality rate (per 1,000
live births) |
122 |
97 |
64 |
92 |
| Immunization (percentage, ages
0-5) |
| Measles
| . . . |
40.0 |
45.0 |
51.4 |
| DPT
| ... |
54.0 |
54.0 |
53.5 |
Access to safe water (percentage
of population)
| . . . |
. . . |
52.7 |
49.0 |
Food production per capita
(1987 = 100)
| 158 |
82 |
78 |
102 |
Source: Social Indicators of
Development, 1996 (World Bank).
|
Return to Tables 1-3
|
