Republic of Mozambique—Enhanced Structural
Adjustment Facility Policy Framework Paper for 1998–2000
Table 3. Mozambique: Medium-
and Long-Term External Debt Service, 1997-2017
(In millions of U.S. dollars)
|
|
Projections
|
|
Outer year
|
|
Averages
|
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2017 |
1998-07 |
2008-17 |
|
Total debt service |
357.9 |
467.6 |
488.4 |
612.6 |
609.1 |
616.1 |
632.4 |
593.4 |
550.0 |
446.2 |
439.6 |
444.4 |
442.6 |
469.4 |
646.6 |
545.5 |
540.9 |
Principal |
212.5 |
293.0 |
287.5 |
375.7 |
381.3 |
398.3 |
426.6 |
399.6 |
365.8 |
267.6 |
262.3 |
266.3 |
262.3 |
286.2 |
449.0 |
345.8 |
348.7 |
Interest |
145.5 |
174.6 |
201.0 |
236.9 |
227.8 |
217.7 |
205.8 |
193.8 |
184.2 |
178.6 |
177.3 |
178.1 |
180.4 |
183.2 |
197.6 |
199.8 |
192.2 |
|
Scheduled debt service1 |
351.9 |
408.6 |
405.7 |
479.1 |
465.1 |
443.6 |
431.8 |
375.8 |
322.2 |
205.3 |
185.8 |
171.5 |
159.4 |
163.9 |
184.7 |
372.3 |
177.8 |
|
Principal |
210.6 |
273.4 |
276.3 |
365.3 |
365.7 |
359.1 |
362.2 |
320.6 |
278.7 |
170.1 |
154.9 |
143.7 |
134.3 |
140.9 |
176.4 |
292.6 |
160.1 |
Multilateral |
31.5 |
44.6 |
50.5 |
54.0 |
51.2 |
47.0 |
45.8 |
44.2 |
44.1 |
42.8 |
38.6 |
35.8 |
33.5 |
35.9 |
48.5 |
46.3 |
41.4 |
Of which: IDA |
1.5 |
3.1 |
5.3 |
8.3 |
9.0 |
11.2 |
14.0 |
16.7 |
19.8 |
20.4 |
21.7 |
24.0 |
25.7 |
28.6 |
39.7 |
13.0 |
32.9 |
AfDB/AfDF |
8.6 |
9.0 |
8.5 |
8.5 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
IMF |
15.1 |
24.5 |
31.0 |
30.4 |
28.9 |
23.5 |
20.3 |
15.9 |
13.9 |
12.1 |
6.9 |
1.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
20.7 |
0.2 |
Bilateral |
158.1 |
178.3 |
160.2 |
253.7 |
258.2 |
260.2 |
262.3 |
221.5 |
179.0 |
68.0 |
53.2 |
40.8 |
29.5 |
29.4 |
20.4 |
189.5 |
32.1 |
Paris Club
(excl. Russia and Brazil) |
56.7 |
62.4 |
81.4 |
171.5 |
173.8 |
173.4 |
172.5 |
165.7 |
159.7 |
62.2 |
49.0 |
36.7 |
25.9 |
27.6 |
20.4 |
127.2 |
30.9 |
Post-cutoff date |
12.3 |
9.9 |
11.2 |
11.8 |
13.6 |
12.5 |
10.8 |
9.1 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
7.6 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
3.3 |
10.3 |
4.4 |
Pre-cutoff date |
44.4 |
52.5 |
70.2 |
159.7 |
160.2 |
160.9 |
161.7 |
156.6 |
151.0 |
54.1 |
41.4 |
30.0 |
19.8 |
21.7 |
17.1 |
116.8 |
26.5 |
Of which: previously rescheduled
on Toronto terms |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
104.2 |
104.2 |
104.2 |
104.2 |
104.2 |
103.7 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
0.0 |
63.8 |
4.8 |
Of which: previously rescheduled
on London terms2 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
10.0 |
16.7 |
17.3 |
18.0 |
18.8 |
13.6 |
8.6 |
10.1 |
11.4 |
12.8 |
14.0 |
15.9 |
17.0 |
12.8 |
20.2 |
Russia
|
62.6 |
57.8 |
11.3 |
7.7 |
5.2 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
8.7 |
0.0 |
Brazil |
22.8 |
26.9 |
32.6 |
37.5 |
40.7 |
44.0 |
47.3 |
24.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
25.3 |
0.0 |
Other
official |
3.3 |
16.9 |
17.9 |
17.7 |
17.8 |
17.8 |
17.8 |
17.8 |
17.2 |
3.7 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
14.7 |
0.4 |
Commercial |
12.7 |
14.3 |
17.0 |
19.2 |
20.7 |
22.2 |
23.7 |
13.2 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
13.6 |
0.7 |
Private
sector3 |
21.0 |
50.5 |
65.6 |
57.7 |
56.4 |
51.9 |
54.2 |
54.9 |
55.6 |
59.3 |
63.1 |
67.1 |
71.3 |
75.6 |
107.5 |
56.9 |
86.6 |
|
Interest |
141.3 |
135.1 |
129.4 |
113.8 |
99.4 |
84.5 |
69.6 |
55.2 |
43.4 |
35.2 |
30.9 |
27.7 |
25.1 |
22.9 |
8.2 |
79.7 |
17.7 |
Multilateral |
18.0 |
18.0 |
19.7 |
13.4 |
12.6 |
11.7 |
11.0 |
10.5 |
9.9 |
9.5 |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.3 |
8.1 |
5.8 |
12.5 |
7.3 |
Of which: IDA |
8.1 |
7.6 |
10.2 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
4.4 |
7.5 |
5.6 |
AfDB/AfDF |
6.1 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
IMF |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
Bilateral |
116.2 |
109.1 |
102.1 |
92.9 |
79.7 |
66.3 |
52.7 |
39.5 |
29.0 |
21.7 |
18.5 |
16.4 |
14.7 |
13.4 |
2.5 |
61.2 |
9.7 |
Paris Club
(excl. Russia and Brazil) |
82.9 |
79.2 |
76.0 |
70.9 |
62.2 |
53.5 |
44.7 |
36.2 |
28.0 |
21.2 |
18.1 |
16.1 |
14.5 |
13.3 |
2.5 |
49.0 |
9.6 |
Post-cutoff date |
5.8 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
Pre-cutoff date |
77.1 |
74.7 |
72.1 |
67.5 |
59.3 |
51.0 |
42.6 |
34.4 |
26.4 |
19.9 |
17.0 |
15.1 |
13.8 |
12.7 |
2.3 |
46.5 |
9.1 |
Of which:previously rescheduled
on Toronto terms |
35.5 |
35.4 |
35.3 |
34.0 |
28.9 |
23.8 |
18.7 |
13.6 |
8.5 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
0.0 |
20.7 |
1.8 |
Of which: previously rescheduled
on London terms2 |
17.0 |
17.0 |
16.8 |
16.2 |
15.4 |
14.5 |
13.5 |
12.6 |
12.1 |
11.7 |
11.3 |
10.8 |
10.3 |
9.6 |
2.3 |
14.1 |
7.1 |
Russia
|
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
Brazil |
17.7 |
16.1 |
14.3 |
12.1 |
9.6 |
6.8 |
3.9 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.4 |
0.0 |
Other
official |
4.5 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0 |
0.0 |
Commercial |
9.0 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
6.2 |
5.0 |
3.7 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
3.5 |
0.1 |
Private
sector3 |
7.1 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
7.5 |
7.1 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
6.0 |
0.7 |
|
Debt service on new borrowing and
rescheduled debt |
6.0 |
59.1 |
82.7 |
133.6 |
144.0 |
172.5 |
200.6 |
217.6 |
227.8 |
240.9 |
253.8 |
272.9 |
283.2 |
305.5 |
461.9 |
173.3 |
363.0 |
|
Principal |
1.9 |
19.5 |
11.1 |
10.4 |
15.6 |
39.3 |
64.4 |
79.1 |
87.0 |
97.5 |
107.4 |
122.5 |
128.0 |
145.3 |
272.6 |
53.1 |
188.5 |
On rescheduled
debt |
1.9 |
19.5 |
11.1 |
10.4 |
9.5 |
10.1 |
18.0 |
19.3 |
20.7 |
25.5 |
30.5 |
35.6 |
41.5 |
48.5 |
117.3 |
17.5 |
71.2 |
On new
borrowing4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.1 |
29.1 |
46.4 |
59.8 |
66.3 |
72.0 |
76.9 |
86.9 |
86.5 |
96.8 |
155.3 |
35.7 |
117.3 |
Of which: private
sector3,5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.1 |
29.1 |
46.4 |
50.6 |
55.5 |
60.4 |
65.2 |
70.6 |
76.2 |
82.7 |
112.7 |
31.3 |
92.3 |
|
Interest |
4.1 |
39.5 |
71.6 |
123.2 |
128.4 |
133.2 |
136.2 |
138.6 |
140.8 |
143.4 |
146.4 |
150.4 |
155.2 |
160.2 |
189.4 |
120.1 |
174.5 |
On rescheduled
debt |
4.1 |
32.6 |
56.0 |
73.5 |
73.2 |
72.9 |
72.7 |
72.4 |
72.1 |
71.7 |
71.2 |
70.5 |
69.6 |
68.4 |
51.5 |
66.8 |
63.2 |
On new
borrowing4 |
0.0 |
6.9 |
15.6 |
49.7 |
55.2 |
60.3 |
63.5 |
66.2 |
68.7 |
71.7 |
75.2 |
79.9 |
85.7 |
91.8 |
137.9 |
53.3 |
111.3 |
Of which: private
sector3,5 |
0.0 |
5.1 |
13.1 |
45.9 |
50.2 |
53.7 |
55.6 |
56.9 |
58.1 |
59.7 |
62.1 |
65.5 |
70.2 |
75.5 |
119.6 |
46.1 |
94.1 |
|
|
Memorandum items: |
Debt after
restructuring6 |
5,519 |
5,161 |
4,848 |
4,909 |
5,026 |
5,119 |
5,215 |
5,315 |
5,428 |
5,527 |
5,619 |
5,672 |
5,706 |
5,647 |
5,029 |
5,217 |
5,468 |
NPV of debt after
restructuring6 |
3,194 |
3,358 |
2,571 |
2,614 |
2,683 |
2,755 |
2,824 |
2,890 |
2,958 |
3,019 |
3,081 |
3,134 |
3,183 |
3,218 |
3,032.0 |
2,875 |
3,189 |
NPV of debt-to-exports ratio
after restructuring6,7 |
691.4 |
644.3 |
443.2 |
402.3 |
345.1 |
297.8 |
262.6 |
249.5 |
242.6 |
233.6 |
224.3 |
213.1 |
203.2 |
192.9 |
118.9 |
334.5 |
167.3 |
Including private sector |
847.1 |
804.2 |
630.7 |
577.4 |
496.3 |
426.5 |
374.8 |
354.8 |
344.1 |
331.3 |
318.6 |
304.3 |
291.8 |
279.0 |
177.5 |
539.5 |
270.8 |
Debt service after debt relief,
including HIPC
assistance8 |
100 |
118 |
100 |
98 |
98 |
94 |
96 |
109 |
111 |
117 |
119 |
120 |
112 |
116 |
179 |
103 |
127 |
In percent of exports of goods
and
non-factor services |
20 |
20 |
15 |
14 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
13 |
7 |
Sources: Mozambican authorities;
and Fund staff estimates and projections
1Debt service on stock of debt outstanding as of December 31, 1997. Excludes late
interest on loans extended to the Cahora Bassa hydropower company in the early 1970s.
2Includes debt service on about US$3 million of oficial development assistance
claims.
3Debt service not contracted or guaranteed by the government or the Bank of
Mozambique. Includes amortization of loans extended in the early 1970s, and servicing of loans
extended in 1995 and 1996 to the Cahora Bassa hydropower company.
4Disbursed after December 31, 1997. Includes debt service on financing gap.
5Includes servicing of new loans to the Cahora Bassa hydropower company, and
debt service on loans to a prospective natural gas project and to other large projects.
6Refers to public and publicly guaranteed debt only. Incorporates the terms of the
November 1996 Paris Club agreement (including with Brazil) and of a hypothetical stock-of-debt
operation on Naples terms (67 percent net present value reduction) in mid-1999. Non-Paris Club
official bilateral and commercial creditors are assumed to reschedule eligible debt on comparable
terms. In the case of Russia, after and 80 percent up-front discount on all claims disbursed before
1992, Lyons terms are applied to pre-cut-off date debt.
7In percent of the three-year moving average of exports of goods and nonfactor
services.
8Assumed debt relief includes flow rescheduling through to completion point under
HIPC initiative (mid-99), followed by stock-of-debt exit rescheduling. |
|