The Economic Impact of Uncertainty in Mali

Selected Issues Papers, October 2, 2025

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The Economic Impact of Uncertainty in Mali

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Bibliographic details

• Authors: Luc Tucker
• Published: October 2, 2025
• Series: Selected Issues Papers
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229027151.018

Summary and key findings

• Economic uncertainty in Mali has increased over a number of years.
• Economic agents have less confidence about predicting the future and see an increased risk of negative outcomes.
• Heightened policy uncertainty is expected to weigh on GDP growth in Mali by reducing the ability of businesses and households to plan ahead with confidence, which typically results in lower investment and consumption.
• The paper highlights some ways the authorities in Mali could reduce policy uncertainty, which would create the conditions for stronger GDP growth.

Policy implications and recommendations

• Reducing policy uncertainty is presented as a pathway to support stronger GDP growth by improving conditions for investment and consumption.
• The paper indicates authorities in Mali have actionable avenues to lower policy uncertainty; specific measures are discussed in the full paper.

Subjects and keywords

• Subjects: Consumption, Financial institutions, Futures, National accounts, Private investment
• Keywords: Consumption, fragility, Futures, Global, growth-at-risk, heightened policy uncertainty, IMF country, IMF staff, issues paper, Private investment, risk, Sub-Saharan Africa, Uncertainty, uncertainty in Mali

Content in this bundle

• The Economic Impact of Uncertainty in Mali; IMF Selected Issues Paper No. 2025/130; July 16, 2025
  • The Economic Impact of Uncertainty in Mali; IMF Selected Issues Paper No. 2025/130; July 16, 2025 (Markdown version)
  • The Economic Impact of Uncertainty in Mali; IMF Selected Issues Paper No. 2025/130; July 16, 2025 (PDF)