IMF Working Papers

Fraying Threads: Exclusion and Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

By Hany Abdel-Latif, Mahmoud El-Gamal

January 12, 2024

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Hany Abdel-Latif, and Mahmoud El-Gamal. Fraying Threads: Exclusion and Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2024) accessed December 23, 2024

Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

This study investigates the factors leading to exclusion and their detrimental impacts in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). It employs two-levels of analysis: a macro-level estimation of the influence of exclusion and marginalization on violent conflict, and a micro-level investigation identifying the triggers of exclusion sentiments. We construct statistical summaries from multiple measures of exclusion, producing an overall exclusion index as well as social, economic, and political exclusion sub-indices. Our results show the importance of mitigating exclusion and marginalization within SSA nations, and pinpoint the most effective policy levers that governments may use to minimize destabilizing feelings of exclusion.

Subject: Climate change, Education, Environment, Financial sector policy and analysis, Financial soundness indicators, Food security, Health, Poverty

Keywords: Climate change, Conflict, Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa, Economic exclusion, Exclusion sentiment, Financial soundness indicators, Food security, Growth effort, IMF working paper No. 24/4, Policy lever, Political exclusion, Social exclusion, Sub-Saharan Africa

Publication Details

  • Pages:

    35

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 2024/004

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA2024004

  • ISBN:

    9798400263637

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941

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