Price Dynamics in China

September 1, 2010

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Format: Chicago

Price Dynamics in China, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2010) accessed November 12, 2024

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

Chinese inflation, particularly non-food inflation, has been surprisingly modest in recent years. We find that supply factors, including those captured through upstream foreign commodity and producer prices, have been important drivers of non-food inflation, as has foreign demand for Chinese goods. Domestic demand and monetary conditions seem less important, possibly reflecting a large domestic output gap generated by many years of high investment. Inflation varies systemically within China, with richer (and urban) provinces having lower, more stable, inflation, but this urban inflation also influence that in lower-income provinces. Higher Mainland food inflation also raises inflation in non-Mainland China.

Subject: Commodity prices, Inflation, National accounts, Output gap, Personal income, Prices, Producer prices, Production

Keywords: China, Commodity price inflation rise, Commodity prices, Food inflation, Global, Inflation, Inflation dynamics, Inflation expectation, Inflation pattern, Inflation spillovers, Mainland inflation, Output gap, Personal income, Price, Producer price inflation, Producer prices, Provincial inflation, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

26
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Working Paper No. 2010/221
Stock No:

WPIEA2010221
ISBN:

9781455208869
ISSN:

1018-5941

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