IMF Working Papers

“Beneficial” Delays in Debt Restructuring Negotiations

By Ran Bi

February 1, 2008

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Ran Bi. “Beneficial” Delays in Debt Restructuring Negotiations, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2008) accessed December 22, 2024
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

Delays in debt restructuring negotiations are widely regarded as inefficient. This paper argues that delays can allow the economy to recover from a crisis, make more resources available for debt settlement, and enable the negotiating parties to enjoy a larger "cake". Within this context, therefore, delays may be "beneficial". This paper explores this idea by constructing a dynamic model of sovereign default in which debt renegotiation is modeled as a stochastic bargaining game based on Merlo and Wilson's (1995) framework. Quantitative analysis shows that this model can generate an average delay length comparable to that experienced by Argentina in its most recent debt restructuring.

Subject: Capital markets, Consumption, Debt renegotiation, Debt settlement, Yield curve

Keywords: Credit standing, Interest rate, Short-term debt, WP

Publication Details

  • Pages:

    29

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 2008/038

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA2008038

  • ISBN:

    9781451869002

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941