IMF Working Papers

Purchasing Power Parity and New Trade Theory

By Luca A Ricci, Ronald MacDonald

February 1, 2002

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Luca A Ricci, and Ronald MacDonald. Purchasing Power Parity and New Trade Theory, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2002) accessed December 26, 2024
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This paper theoretically derives and empirically tests the implications of a new trade theory framework for the systematic movements in the real exchange rate. It focuses on the effect of imperfect substitutability of tradables and on the importance of competitiveness, for which we construct an original proxy. Using a panel dynamic OLS estimation of nine bilateral US dollar real exchange rates, we derive long-run coefficients for relative productivity and competitiveness in the tradable and non-tradable sectors, controlling for standard macroeconomic variables. The implications of imperfect substitutability of tradables fit the data better than the standard neoclassical assumption of price equalization. Our new measure of competitiveness is statistically significant in explaining deviations from PPP.

Subject: Competition, Financial markets, Financial services, Foreign exchange, Labor, Production, Productivity, Real exchange rates, Real interest rates, Wages

Keywords: Coefficient restriction, Competition, Competitiveness term, New trade theory, Productivity, Productivity differentials, Productivity in tradables, Productivity of non-tradables, Productivity of tradables, Productivity term, Purchasing power parity, Real exchange rates, Real interest rates, The PPP puzzle, Utility function, Wages, WP

Publication Details

  • Pages:

    35

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 2002/032

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA0322002

  • ISBN:

    9781451845129

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941