IMF Working Papers

Politics, Government Size, and Fiscal Adjustment in Industrial Countries

By Anthony M Annett

September 1, 2002

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Anthony M Annett. Politics, Government Size, and Fiscal Adjustment in Industrial Countries, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2002) accessed November 8, 2024
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

It is now well established that political and institutional factors matter for fiscal outcomes. Following a review of the literature, this paper examines the relationship between a variety of political-institutional variables and fiscal aggregates-encompassing the overall balance as well as expenditure and revenue and their various components-across 19 industrial countries over the past two decades. It finds strong effects on fiscal policy from such factors as type of electoral system, degree of legislative or government fragmentation, and stability of government. Some of the strongest results emerge for certain components of expenditure, such as transfers, and for the balance between labor and consumption taxation. There are clear relationships between the type of political system and choice of tax and expenditure system. The paper also examines fiscal adjustment since the late 1980s in light of these political factors, finding some evidence of a reversal in trend, but only when growth has been high or when debt has become problematic.

Subject: Expenditure, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal policy, Labor, Labor taxes, Public sector wages, Taxes

Keywords: Electoral system, Europe, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal Policy, Global, Government change, Government consumption, Government fragmentation, Government ideology, Government instability, Government stability, Government wage, Government weakness, Labor taxes, Left wing government, Political Economy, Public goods, Public sector wages, Wage government consumption, WP

Publication Details

  • Pages:

    36

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 2002/162

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA1622002

  • ISBN:

    9781451857887

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941