Regional Economic Outlook
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October 2014
Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe: Regional Economic Issues, October 2014
October 24, 2014
Description: The global growth projection for 2014 has been marked down by 0.3 percent to 3.4 percent, reflecting both the legacy of the weak first quarter, particularly in the United States, and a less optimistic outlook for several emerging markets. With somewhat stronger growth expected in some advanced economies next year, the global growth projection for 2015 remains at 4 percent.
April 2014
Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe; Regional Economic Issues, April 2014
April 29, 2014
Description: Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe; Regional Economic Issues, April 2014
October 2013
Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe; Regional Economic Issues, October 2013 - Table of contents
October 17, 2013
Description: Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe; Regional Economic Issues, October 2013 - Table of contents
April 2013
Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe; Regional Economic Issues, April 2013 - Table of contents
April 26, 2013
Description: Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe; Regional Economic Issues, April 2013 - Table of contents
October 2011
Regional Economic Outlook: Europe - Navigating Stormy Waters, October 2011 -- Table of Contents
October 5, 2011
Description: IMF Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere - October 2011 -- Table of Contents
May 2011
Regional Economic Outlook: Europe -- Strengthening the Recovery, May 2011 -- Table of Contents
May 10, 2011
Description: The May 2011 Regional Economic Outlook: Europe anticipates that recovery in the region will solidify, with recoveries in advanced and emerging Europe likely to be mutually reinforcing. Advanced Europe continues to absorb most of emerging Europe's exports, while the role of emerging Europe as a market for advanced Europe will expand. Chapters discuss the outlook and policy priorities for advanced and emerging Europe, and analyze the role of financial integration in the buildup and resolution of imbalances within the euro area.
October 2010
Regional Economic Outlook: Europe -- Building Confidence, October 2010 -- Table of Contents
October 20, 2010
Description: The recovery in Europe continues, supported by strong policy action to contain sovereign debt problems in the euro area. In advanced Europe, lingering uncertainties and market pressures make for moderate and unequal growth, creating challenges for macroeconomic and financial sector policies. The REO also sheds light on the governance issues revealed by the crisis, arguing that better policy frameworks, in particular at the euro area level, promise a stronger Europe. For the first time, the REO devotes a separate chapter to the outlook for emerging Europe, where, after a deep recession, an export-led recovery is under way. However, the rebound is uneven across the region, and policymakers face the difficult challenge of dealing with the legacies of the crisis, while not hurting the recovery. Beyond the short term, the REO argues that the region will need to find new growth engines, as the capital inflows-driven and credit-fueled domestic demand boom needs to give way to more balanced growth. Indeed, the REO emphasizes that active fiscal policy and coordinated prudential measures are key to avoiding a repeat of the boom-bust cycle the region has just endured.
May 2010
Regional Economic Outlook: Europe -- Fostering Sustainability, May 2010 -- Table of Contents
May 11, 2010
Description: A weak and uneven recovery is underway in Europe. Macroeconomic policies still support the upswing and extraordinary measures are underway to address the sovereign crisis. Now policymakers face the difficult balancing act between continuing their support for the economy and establishing a credible path to policy normalization. Priorities are large medium-term fiscal consolidations and, in the financial area, a shift from systemic support to interventions in individual financial institutions. Structural weaknesses also need to be addressed, including the revamping of financial sector regulation and supervision, improvements in the functioning of products and labor markets, and filling gaps in the euro area’s fiscal governance. For emerging Europe, policies that facilitate a reorientation of the sources of growth toward the export sector and attract healthy capital inflows are key conditions to restart income convergence.
October 2009
Regional Economic Outlook: Europe -- Securing Recovery, October 2009 -- Table of Contents
October 3, 2009
Description: Europe's contraction is ending, but the recovery is fragile. Policymakers should look beyond the crisis to secure a durable upswing and address the threats to potential growth from the crisis and the continent's well-known structural rigidities. The report's analytical work stresses the uncertainty surrounding potential growth estimates, and the more volatile environment faced by emerging economies in a tightly integrated region. In the near term, this calls for measures to restore the financial sector to health and for continued macroeconomic support, while preparing for the exit from extraordinary interventions in a coordinated and transparent fashion. Higher longer-term growth through structural change will support the recovery, smooth the exit, and help emerging markets to adjust to lower capital inflows in the crisis' aftermath. Published biannually in May and October.
May 2009
Regional Economic Outlook: Europe -- Addressing the Crisis, May 2009 -- Table of Contents
May 12, 2009
Description: Europe is in a deep recession. Adverse feedback between the financial and real sectors and across borders is likely to delay the recovery and create downside risks. Unprecedented policies have been undertaken to address the crisis-but are they likely to be successful and sufficiently coordinated for a tightly integrated region? To restore trust and confidence in financial markets, additional and forceful action will be essential. Maintaining fiscal support should help soften the downturn, in particular if sustainability is supported by solid medium-term strategies and fiscal frameworks. To be effective, these policies require coordination across advanced and emerging economies. The report's analytical work underpins the link between fiscal sustainability, coordination, and effectiveness, and stresses that emerging markets have been affected differently by the crisis, with the quality of policies and external vulnerabilities being key factors.