Publications By Subject

Title: Botswana: Technical Assistance Report-Enhancing the Forecasting Policy and Analysis System at the Bank of Botswana

Series: Technical Assistance Report No. 2025/018

Date: February 21, 2025

Subject: Central bank policy rate Exchange rate arrangements Exchange rates Financial services Foreign exchange Infrastructure National accounts Output gap Production

Title: Niger: Selected Issues

Series: Country Report No. 2025/026

Date: January 28, 2025

Subject: Output gap Potential output Production Revenue administration

Title: Drivers of Inflation in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author: Atamanchuk, Maria ; Hajdenberg, Alejandro ; Kadissi, Dalia ; Lisi, Giulio ; Rao, H Nasir

Series: Working Paper No. 2025/003

Date: January 10, 2025

Subject: Food prices Foreign exchange Inflation Nominal effective exchange rate Oil prices Output gap Prices Production

Title: G3MOD: A Multi-Country Global Forecasting Model

Author: Miller, Iaroslav ; Baksa, Daniel ; Karam, D Philippe ; Vehbi, Tugrul

Series: Working Paper No. 2024/254

Date: December 13, 2024

Subject: Commodity prices Foreign exchange Inflation Nominal effective exchange rate Output gap Prices Production Real exchange rates

Title: Output Gap Uncertainty and Fiscal Policy Adjustment in Real-Time in Emerging Economies

Author: Cattelan, Giacomo ; Nandwa, Boaz

Series: Working Paper No. 2024/251

Date: December 13, 2024

Subject: Economic theory Expenditure Fiscal policy Fiscal stance Neoclassical theory Output gap Production Public debt

Title: Quarterly Projection Model for the Bank of Ghana: Extensions and Applications

Author: Abradu-Otoo, Philip ; Acquah, K. Joseph ; Attuquaye, James ; Harvey, Simon ; Loloh, Francis ; Mkhatrishvili, Shalva ; Nalban, Valeriu ; Ngoh, Daniel ; Osei, Victor ; Quansah, Michael

Series: Working Paper No. 2024/237

Date: November 15, 2024

Subject: Financial services Inflation Inflation targeting Monetary policy Output gap Prices Production Real interest rates

Title: Mending the Crystal Ball: Enhanced Inflation Forecasts with Machine Learning

Author: Liu, Yang ; Pan, Ran ; Xu, Rui

Series: Working Paper No. 2024/206

Date: September 27, 2024

Subject: Consumer price indexes Econometric analysis Econometric models Economic forecasting Exchange rates Foreign exchange Inflation Inflation persistence Labor Machine learning Output gap Prices Producer price indexes Production Technology Unemployment rate

Title: Monetary Policy Issues in the UK: United Kingdom

Author: Carella, Agnese ; Chen, Ruo ; Dai, Katherine ; Li, Gloria ; Lama, Ruy ; Meeks, Roland

Series: Selected Issues Paper No. 2024/028

Date: July 24, 2024

Subject: Central bank policy rate Financial sector policy and analysis Financial services Inflation Output gap Prices Production Spillovers

Title: A Projection Model for Resource-rich and Dollarized Economy: The Democratic Republic of the Congo

Author: Musa, Victor ; Gilles Umba, Bertrand ; Mambo, Lewis ; Kibala, Jonas ; Kandolo, Christian ; Mushiya, Josephine ; Luvezo, Yannick ; Nsunda, Jules ; Lumbala, Grégoire ; Siasi, Yves ; Mfumukanda, Serge ; Ange, Lubaki ; Olivier, Kabata ; Shindano, Luc ; Heng, Dyna ; Rodriguez Guzman, Diego ; Szabo, Barna

Series: Working Paper No. 2024/126

Date: June 21, 2024

Subject: Economic sectors Exchange rate devaluation Exchange rates Foreign exchange Inflation Mining sector Output gap Prices Production

Title: Republic of Estonia: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Estonia

Series: Country Report No. 2024/177

Date: June 21, 2024

Subject: Exports Fiscal policy Fiscal stance International trade Output gap Production Productivity