IMF Publications by Subject
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Economic forecasting:
2020
Title: Investor Sentiment, Sovereign Debt Mispricing, and Economic Outcomes
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/166
Date: August 14, 2020
Subject: Balance of payments Current account deficits Economic forecasting External debt Government consumption National accounts Public debt
Title: Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/045
Date: February 28, 2020
Subject: Econometric analysis Economic forecasting Factor models Machine learning Technology
Title: Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/022
Date: January 31, 2020
Subject: Economic forecasting Economic sectors Foreign exchange National accounts Personal income Real effective exchange rates Tourism
2019
Title: How to Improve Inflation Forecasting in Canada
Series: Working Paper No. 2019/190
Date: September 13, 2019
Subject: Central bank policy rate Economic forecasting Financial services Inflation Inflation targeting Monetary policy Output gap Prices Production
2018
Title: Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/260
Date: December 7, 2018
Subject: Economic forecasting Emerging and frontier financial markets Financial markets Foreign exchange Income National accounts Personal income Population and demographics Population growth Real exchange rates
Title: An Algorithmic Crystal Ball: Forecasts-based on Machine Learning
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/230
Date: November 1, 2018
Subject: Artificial intelligence Economic forecasting Machine learning Technology
Title: Inflation Expectations Anchoring Across Different Types of Agents: the Case of South Africa
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/177
Date: August 2, 2018
Subject: Economic forecasting Inflation Inflation targeting Labor Labor unions Monetary policy Prices Wage setting
Title: An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/149
Date: June 25, 2018
Subject: Economic forecasting Exchange rates Foreign exchange Inflation Inflation targeting Monetary policy Output gap Prices Real exchange rates
Title: Explaining Inflation in Colombia: A Disaggregated Phillips Curve Approach
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/106
Date: May 10, 2018
Subject: Consumer price indexes Economic forecasting Exchange rates Foreign exchange Inflation Output gap Prices Production
2017
Title: Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France
Series: Working Paper No. 2017/269
Date: December 1, 2017
Subject: Consumption Credit Economic forecasting Financial markets Money National accounts Return on investment Stock markets