Navigating for a Better Future in Emerging and Frontier Asia under Uncertainty: Economic and Fiscal Policy Challenges and Prospects

A Conference Jointly Organized by the IMF and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)
International Conference Hall, JICA Research Institute
Tokyo, Japan

February 12-13, 2025

This conference served as a forum for Ministers and Central Bank Governors from Asian and Pacific countries, academics, and IMF and JICA officials to exchange views and forge partnerships to navigate the evolving economic and fiscal landscape. The discussion focused on the comprehensive economic policies addressing fiscal sustainability concerns while managing climate adaptation, as well as the role of industrial policies. The event concluded with a high-level Roundtable Discussion.

Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Time shown below is in Japan Standard Time (UTC/GMT +9)

18:30-21:00

Welcome Dinner

Welcome Remarks:

  • Masao Yahara, Senior Vice President, Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)
  • Akihiko Yoshida, Director, Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific (OAP), International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Thursday, February 13, 2025

8:30–9:00

Registration

9:00–9:20

Welcome Remarks:

  • Akihiko Tanaka, President, JICA
  • Kenji Okamura, Deputy Managing Director, IMF
    Speech

Opening Remarks:

  • Atsushi Mimura, Vice Minister of Finance for International Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Japan
    Speech

9:20–9:30

Photo Session

9:30–10:30

SESSION 1: Fiscal Policy under Uncertainty: What is Next for Emerging and Frontier Asia to Achieve Inclusive and Sustainable Growth?

Moderator:

  • Akihiko Yoshida, Director, Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific, IMF

Presenters:

  • Nada Choueiri, Deputy Director, Asia Pacific Department (APD), IMF
    Presentation
  • Ruud De Mooij, Deputy Director, Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD), IMF
    Presentation

Discussants:

  • Ahsan Habib Mansur, Governor of Bangladesh Bank, Bangladesh
  • Amrit Lamsal, Joint Secretary, Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Nepal
  • Rolando Gumia Tungpalan, Undersecretary, Corporate Sector and Strategic Infrastructure Group, Department of Finance, Philippines
    Presentation
  • Jindarat Viriyataveekul, Public Debt Advisor, Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Thailand
    Presentation

An overall view of economic and fiscal policy challenges in Emerging and Frontier Asia and legacy of global shocks. Exceptional policy responses to global shocks led to large shifts in expenditures and debt burden, now aggravated by lower growth and higher global interest rates and rising climate risks. How should Emerging and Frontier Asia respond?

This comes at a time when spending pressures are on the rise to meet development needs, achieve SDGs, support the vulnerable, and allocate resources to climate mitigation and adaptation. The session will be a stocktaking exercise on where things stand but also present the global and regional economic and fiscal outlook and policy recommendations on how to achieve inclusive and sustainable growth in Emerging and Frontier Asia.

10:30-11:00

Coffee Break

11:00-12:00

SESSION 2: Enhancing Asia and the Pacific’s Adaptation and Resilience to Climate Change

Moderator:

  • Noriharu Masugi, Senior Director and Head of Office for Global Issues and Development Partnership, Operations Strategy Department, JICA

Presenters: 

  • Thomas Helbling, Deputy Director, Asia Pacific Department (APD), IMF
    Presentation
  • Megumi Muto, Special Advisor to the President, JICA
    Presentation

Discussants:

  • Ahmed Munawar, Governor of the Maldives Monetary Authority, Maldives
  • Lkhagvasuren Byadran, Governor of the Bank of Mongolia, Mongolia

Countries in Asia-Pacific are among the most vulnerable to climate change. The region is highly exposed to natural disasters and major weather-related natural disasters are growing in frequency and severity, affecting almost all countries in the region. This session will focus on the role of fiscal policy and frameworks in addressing shortcomings in adaptation strategies; exploring the approaches to further enhance pre-disaster investment and disaster risk financing (DRF) at the national level as well as regional initiatives, learning from the experience of disaster-prone countries.

12:00–13:30

Lunch

13:30–14:30

SESSION 3: Industrial Policy in the Asia and Pacific: Understanding the Landscape and its Tradeoffs

Moderator:

  • Ruud De Mooij, Deputy Director, Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD), IMF

Presenters: 

  • Maria Gonzalez, Assistant Director, Asia Pacific Department (APD), IMF
    Presentation
  • Yasuyuki Todo, Professor at the Graduate School of Economics, Waseda University
    Presentation

Discussants:

  • Harendra Kumar Behera, Director, Strategic Research Unit, Department of Economic and Policy Research, Reserve Bank of India, India
    Presentation
  • Bold Javkhlan, Minister of Finance, Mongolia
  • Maria Margarita Debuque-Gonzales, Assistant Govenor, BSP Research Academy, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, Philippines
  • Doan Thi Kim Dung, Vice President of the National Institute for Finance, Ministry of Finance, Vietnam
    Presentation

As in other parts of the world, the use of industrial policies (IP) has greatly increased in Asia and the Pacific in recent years. This session will focus on better understanding the costs and benefits of IP, how to get the IP right, how fiscal support and incentives could be deployed while minimizing distortions, negative cross-border spillovers, and country experiences from Asia and the Pacific.

14:30–15:00

Coffee Break

15:00–16:00

SESSION 4: Roundtable: What is Next for Economic Policy Makers in Emerging and Frontier Asia?

Roundtable Discussions

Moderator:

  • Thomas Helbling, Deputy Director, Asia Pacific Department (APD), IMF

Panelists:

  • Phalla Phan, Secretary of State, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Cambodia
  • Faizul Ariff Ali, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Fiji, Fiji
  • Jameel Ahmad, Governor of State Bank of Pakistan, Pakistan
  • Nandalal Weerasinghe, Governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka
  • Shohei Hara, Senior Vice President, JICA

16:00–16:15

Closing Remarks

  • Noriharu Masugi, Senior Director and Head of Office for Global Issues and Development Partnership, Operations Strategy Department, JICA