Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters in the Pacific Islands
Fiji
June 22-25, 2015
PACIFIC ISLANDS: High-Level Dialogue
Structure
The event comprises a high-level dialogue (on June 25) with senior officials (Ministers of Finance/Governors of Central Banks) and development partners, preceded by a three-day workshop (June 22-24) with officials responsible for budget forecasting.
Focus
The high level dialogue will discuss how countries could enhance macroeconomic resilience to natural disasters and presents latest IMF analysis. The Pacific island countries are among the most susceptible to natural disasters in the world. Enhancing resilience to these events demands a multi-pillar strategy at the national, regional, and multilateral levels. It also requires enhancing countries’ risk-management capacity.
The workshop organized with the funding supporting of the Australian Government will focus on strengthening the fiscal frameworks also leveraging the policy messages of the recent IMF Board paper on small states and accompanying background analysis. It will be highly interactive, including practicing with the use of case studies.
Participants—approximately 120 delegates are expected to convene in Nadi.
- High-Level Dialogue on June 25: Ministers of Finance or Governors of Central Banks from each Pacific Island country, Papua New Guinea (PNG), Timor-Leste; and Seychelles
- Workshop on June 22-24: Two officials from each Pacific Island country, PNG, and Timor-Leste responsible for medium-term budget forecasting and framework.
- IMF officials, including Asia and Pacific Department (APD) mission chiefs working on Pacific Islands, Fiscal Affairs Department (FAD), Institute for Capacity Development (ICD), PFTAC, and the IMF Regional Resident Representative.
- Development partners (Australia, New Zealand, World Bank Group, Asian Development Bank, Japan, and the European Union).
Goals of the Workshop
- Strengthen the linkages between policy formulation, planning and execution, and capacity development;
- Foster a peer learning network;
- Better tailor policy solutions to fit the needs of the Pacific small states; and
- Enhance the policy dialogue among authorities, the IMF, including mission chiefs, and development partners.
High-Level Dialogue on Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters, June 25, 2015 |
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Thursday, June 25, 2015 |
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| 9:00 | Opening Prayer |
| 9:10 | Welcoming Remarks
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| 9:30 |
Session 1:How to build macro-fiscal resilience in the wake of natural disastersThis session will discuss policies to enhance macroeconomic resilience to natural disasters, including lessons from recent events. Are regional approaches effective? Panel moderator:
Panel Members:
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| 11:00 | Photo op and morning tea |
| 11:15 | Session 2: Aligning monetary policy to enhance resilience to shocks and support growthThis session will discuss policy mix, particularly how monetary policy can help mitigate natural disaster risks and support growth together with fiscal policy. It will also discuss the importance of strengthening supervision as non-performance loans (NPLs) generally increase after the disasters. Panel moderator:
Panel Members: |
| 12:30 | Lunch |
| 2:00 | Session 3:The growth challenge and vulnerability to debt distressThis session will discuss policies to support growth and minimize the risk of debt distress arising from natural disasters (as debt levels would likely increase in order to finance the recovery and reconstruction efforts). Panel Moderator:
Panel members: |
| 3:30 | Coffee break |
| 4:00 | Session 4: Enhancing risk management and the role of development partnersThis session will discuss policies to strengthen ex ante and ex post resilience to natural disasters. It will also discuss how to leverage support from development partners. Panel Moderator:
Panel members: |
| 5:30 | Closing session |
6:15 | Joint Press conference: IMF and Government of Fiji |
7:00 | Official dinner for delegatesHosted by the Government of Fiji |
Workshop on Strengthening Fiscal Frameworks in the Pacific Islands, June 22-24, 2015 |
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Monday, June 22, 2015 |
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| 8:30 | Registration |
| 9:00 | Morning Prayer |
| 9:15 | Introduction to the workshop: objectives and goalsScott Roger (PFTAC coordinator) Patrizia Tumbarello (Chief, Small States Unit, APD) |
| 9:30 | Opening remarksFilimone Waqabaca, Fiji Permanent Secretary of Finance |
| 9:45 | Fiscal policy and macroeconomic performance(Macroeconomic overview of the key role of fiscal policy in PICs) |
| 10:15 | Morning tea and coffee |
| 10:45 | Macro-fiscal linkages and fiscal indicatorsLorenzo Forni (FAD) |
| 11:15 | Case study on macro-fiscal linkagesWorkshop participants |
12:00 | Discussion of case study
Workshop participants |
| 12:30 | Lunch |
| 2:00 | Methods of revenue forecastingEvan Tanner (ICD) |
| 2:45 | Case study on forecasting revenues (breakout session)Workshop participants |
| 3:30 | Coffee and tea break |
| 4:00 | Case study on forecasting revenues (breakout session) Cont’dWorkshop participants |
| 4:30 | Discussion of case study results on revenue forecastingWorkshop participants |
| 5:30 | End of Day One |
| 7:00 | Dinner between officials and APD mission chiefs at the Lagoon Restaurant, Hotel SofitelHosted by the IMF |
Tuesday, June 23, 2015 |
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| 9:00 | Methods of expenditure forecastingEliko Pedastsaar (FAD) |
| 9:45 | Case study on expenditure forecasting (breakout session)Workshop participants |
| 10:30 | Morning tea and coffee |
| 11:00 | Discussion of case study on expenditure forecastingWorkshop participants |
| 12:30 | Lunch |
| 2:00 | Methods of debt dynamics assessment (budget financing and debt sustainability)Lorenzo Forni (FAD) |
| 2:45 | Case study on assessing debt dynamics (breakout session)Workshop participants |
| 3:30 | Coffee and tea break |
| 4:00 | Case study on assessing debt dynamics (Cont’d)Workshop participants |
| 4:30 | Discussion of case study resultsWorkshop participants |
| 5:30 | End of Day Two |
| 7:00 | Dinner between officials and APD mission chiefs at the Lagoon Restaurant, Hotel SofitelHosted by the IMF |
Wednesday, June 24, 2015 |
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| 9:00 | The role of fiscal rules, fiscal anchors, and fiscal targetsPatrizia Tumbarello (APD) |
| 9:20 | Cyclone Pam: Impact on Vanuatu’s Debt SustainabilityVladimir Klyuev (APD) |
| 9:45 | Natural disaster risks, fiscal policy and budgeting (including prospective fiscal costs of natural disasters)Doug Hostland (PFTAC) |
| 10:30 | Morning tea and coffee |
| 11:00 | Case study on recognizing and preparing for prospective fiscal costs of natural disasters (breakout session)Workshop participants |
| 12:30 | Lunch |
| 2:00 | Quality of public spending, monitoring, and accountabilityRon Hackett and Chita Marzan (PFTAC) |
| 3:00 | Coffee and tea break |
| 3:30 | Takeaways of the trainingAPD/FAD/ICD/PFTAC |
| 4:00 | Final remarksChangyong Rhee, Director of Asia and Pacific Department, IMF |
| 6:30 | Reception and Dinner for all participants at the Meke Lawn, Hotel SofitelHosted by Changyong Rhee |
Hon. Aiyaz Sayed-Khaiyum, Attorney General and Minister of Finance, Public Enterprises, Public Service and Communications. 
Hon. Inia Seruiratu, Minister for Agriculture, Rural and Maritime Development and National Disaster Management. 
Hon. Patrick Pruaitch, Minister of Treasury 
Hon. Willie Jimmy, Minister of Finance and Economic Management 
Hon. Maatia Toafa, Minister of Finance and Economic Development 
His Excellency Pierre Laporte, Special Envoy to the President 
Barry Sterland is IMF Executive Director representing Australia, Kiribati, Korea, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Mongolia, New Zealand, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Seychelles, Solomon Islands Tuvalu, Uzbekistan, and Vanuatu. He was nominated by the Australian Government to become an Executive Director at the IMF in late 2014. Prior to this role, he was an Executive Director at the Australian Treasury, where he led the Australian Treasury’s international economic policy development and engagement. 
Changyong Rhee assumed his current position as Director of the Asia and Pacific Department of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in February 2014.
Mr. Whiteside has been Governor of the Reserve Bank of Fiji since 2011 and also serves as the Reserve Bank’s Chairman of the Board. He was acting Deputy Governor at the Reserve Bank from 2009 to 2011 and Chief Manager of Financial Institutions.
Mr. Rarawa has been Governor of the Central Bank of Solomon Islands (CBSI) since 2008. Mr. Rarawa has had a long career with the CBSI. He joined as a Research Officer in the Economics Department in 1983 and was appointed Assistant Manager of the Economic Department in 1988. In 1992 he became Manager of the Economics Department. Beginning 1998, he served as Deputy Governor for a period of 10 years. 
Mr. Athy was appointed as Governor of the Reserve Bank of Vanuatu (RBV) on October 11, 2013 for a period of five years. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Economics from the University of Papua New Guinea (1991). He held various positions with the RBV from 1991 to 2003 including the position of Director of the Research and Statistics Department of the RBV. He joined the Government of Vanuatu public service as Director General to the Ministry of Finance and Economic Management. He was transferred on the same position to the Prime Minister’s Office in mid-2008 and held that position until his appointment to the position of Governor of the RBV.
Mr. Loi Bakani has been the Governor of the Bank of Papua New Guinea since 2008. He was appointed the Head of Economics Department in 1998 and became the Deputy Governor in 2005. 
Mr. Pereira has been Assistant Governor at the Central Bank of Samoa since 2013. Prior to that, Mr. Pereira was an independent Senior Advisor in Economics and Finance for the private sector (2011-13), an Advisor to Executive Director for Asia and Pacific Constituency at the IMF (2009-11), and Assistant Chief Executive Officer at the Ministry of Finance of Samoa (2007-09). He holds a M.Sc. in Project Planning, Appraisal and Financing from the University of Bradford in England. 
HK Yu is the Acting Deputy Secretary (International) of the Macroeconomic Group. In this role she leads Treasury’s international economic policy development and engagement. HK has extensive experience in representing Australia in various international fora. HK was General Manager, G20 Policy Division from January 2013 to November 2014. As General Manager she supported the Treasurer to shape, manage and lead the policy agenda and engagement in relation to Australia’s hosting of G20 Finance Ministers’ and Central Bank Governors’ meetings.
Hon. Tom Murdoch has been Minister of Finance and Economic Development and a member of the Parliament (representing Kuria islands) since 2011. Prior to this assignment Mr. Murdoch held several positions in the government, including Deputy Secretary in the Ministry of Environment Lands and Agricultural Development, Deputy Secretary in the Ministry of Internal and Social Affairs and Deputy Secretary in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He holds a diploma in Telecommunication Engineering from Fiji Institute of Technology and MBA from the University of the South Pacific. 
Hon. David Waiau Adeang, Minister of Finance and Sustainable Development.
Hon. Mark Brown, Minister of Financial and Economic Management.
Ms. Kilisitina Tuaimei'api, Deputy CEO for Budget and Corporate Planning Division.
Patrizia Tumbarello is the Unit Chief of the Small States Unit in the Asia and Pacific Department of the International Monetary Fund. She is the mission chief for the Solomon Islands. Her previous assignments included Australia, emerging markets (Vietnam, Algeria and Morocco) and low-income countries (Albania, Moldova), including few Pacific Islands (Kiribati, Papua New Guinea, and Samoa), program and surveillance cases.
Robert Utz, Lead Economist and Program Leader for Macroeconomics and Fiscal Management, East Asia and Pacific.
Hon. Kensley Ikosia was appointed in May 2012 as Secretary of Finance and Administration. Prior this appointment, he served as Director of the Office of Planning and Budget at the Yap State Government. He also served as the Deputy Director of the FSM Joint Compact Negotiation, negotiating with the US on its assistance package for the FSM.
Helder Lopes was appointed as Vice Minister in February 2015. Prior to that, Vice Minister Lopes served as the Resident Economic Advisor and Chief Economist in the Economic Policy Directorate in the Ministry of Finance from 2011–15. His previous roles at the Ministry of Finance included the Coordinator for the Economic Policies National Directorate, and the Head of the Macroeconomic Unit. He graduated in 2010 with a Master's degree in Agriculture Economics from Michigan State University, USA.
Renato Mele is the head of cooperation of the EU Delegation for the Pacific in Suva, Fiji. The delegation is in charge of the bilateral external cooperation programs with eleven Pacific ACP countries (Cook Islands, Kingdom of Tonga, Kiribati, the Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Samoa, the Republic of the Marshall Islands and Tuvalu) and four Overseas Countries and Territories (French Polynesia, New Caledonia, Pitcairn and Wallis and Futuna) and of the regional cooperation program (which also includes four other Pacific ACP countries). Mr. Mele has a degree in nuclear engineering and a PhD in materials engineering. 
Emma Veve is Director, Urban, Social Development, and Public Management Division as well as country director responsible for Federated States of Micronesia, Palau, and Republic of Marshall Islands, in ADB’s Pacific Department. She took up this position in July 2014 moving from the role of the Pacific Department’s Principal Economist. She was previously with ADB’s Pacific Subregional Office in Suva, Fiji. She joined ADB in 2005 following a period as Economic Adviser with the Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat in Suva, Fiji. Prior to this she held various positions in the Australian commonwealth public service, predominantly in economic research. She completed a double degree in agricultural science and economics from the University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia and holds a master’s degree in economics from the University of New England, Armidale, Australia.
Mr. Vinayak (Vinny) Nagaraj is the Principal Development Economist to the New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade. In his current role, Mr. Nagaraj is the New Zealand Government’s chief adviser on economic policy, structural reform, public financial management and financial markets in developing countries. Mr. Nagaraj supervises the delivery of New Zealand’s economic governance activities in the Pacific, including economic and PFM reform programs in the Cook Islands, Kiribati, Niue, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau and Tuvalu. He serves as New Zealand’s representative in the Steering Committee of the Pacific Financial Technical Assistance Centre (PFTAC), and in 2014 co-led the Joint Review of the Solomon Islands Core Economic Working Group. Mr. Nagaraj holds a Master’s degree in Economics from the London School of Economics, where he also spent two years as an economics research student.
As Deputy Director General of the Southeast Asia and Pacific Department of JICA, Dr. Muto develops and manages the portfolio covering the Philippines and the Pacific. Her area of expertise ranges from infrastructure financing, impact evaluation to disaster risk finance. Through her career in the Overseas Economic Cooperation Fund (OECF), Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) and JICA, many innovations from her portfolio became institution wide practices. After her BA Economics from Keio University, she completed Master of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University, and PhD Development Economics.