Connect with IMF Institute
Model-Based Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting

Model-Based Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting (MPAF)

Apply online by March 16, 2025 Deadline extended

Session No.: HQ 25.05

Location: Washington, D.C., United States

Date: July 7-18, 2025 (2 weeks)

Delivery Method: In-person Training

Primary Language: English

Apply Now

Target Audience

Mid-level to senior officials responsible for monetary policy decision making and staff doing macroeconomic analysis and forecasting or operating macroeconomic models.
Back to top

Qualifications

Participants are expected to have an advanced degree in economics or equivalent experience. It is strongly recommended that applicants have completed the Monetary Policy (MP) course and the online Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting (MPAFx) course. Participants are expected to be comfortable using quantitative software such as EViews and Matlab/Octave, although specific knowledge of these is not required.
Back to top

Course Description

This course, presented by the Institute for Capacity Development, provides rigorous training on the use of simple Dynamic New Keynesian (DNK) models to conduct monetary policy analysis and forecasting. It emphasizes analysis of monetary policy responses to macroeconomic imbalances and shocks. Participants are provided with the tools necessary to develop or extend the canonical model to fit their own monetary policy framework and selected features of their country’s economy. In the in-person course, country case studies are used to reinforce participant understanding and to help them compare and assess a variety of possible experiences.
Back to top

Course Objectives

Upon completion of this course, participants should be able to: Customize a simple model of an economy that embodies the monetary policy transmission mechanism, and the shocks this economy may face.  Acquire and apply tools used in modern central banks to conduct monetary policy analysis and forecasting using the small semi-structural model.  Conduct nowcasting and near-term forecasting using estimation-based econometric techniques supported by expert judgment. Use the small semi-structural model to develop consistent medium-term quarterly projections of key macro variables e.g., output, inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate.  Identify risks in the baseline forecast and draw up medium-term projections for alternative scenarios that assume that the risks materialize.  Start building a simple model for monetary policy analysis and forecasting using their own national data when they return home.  
Back to top

Apply Now - Application deadline approaching:

IMF offers online training to government officials and the public. Click Learn more to find our current offerings.

Model-Based Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting (MPAF)

English | July 7-18, 2025 | In-person Training | Washington, D.C., United States

Apply online by March 16, 2025

Financial Soundness Indicators (FSI)

English | June 9-13, 2025 | In-person Training | Singapore, Singapore

Apply online by March 17, 2025

Monetary Policy Frameworks and Operations

English (French, Portuguese) | April 28, 2025 - May 2, 2025 | In-person Training | Ebene, Mauritius

Apply online by March 17, 2025

FX Operations and Reference Exchange Rate

English | April 21-24, 2025 | In-person Training | New Delhi, India

Apply online by March 18, 2025

Big Data and Machine Learning for Macroeconomic Statistics

English | April 7-11, 2025 | In-person Training | New Delhi, India

Apply online by March 19, 2025