Connect with IMF Institute

Macroeconometric Forecasting (MFx)

Macroeconometric Forecasting

This course, presented by the Institute for Capacity Development, is designed to reinforce the macroeconomic forecasting and modeling skills of participants and their use of modern econometric techniques. Lectures discuss the underlying theory and demonstrations show how to conduct empirical analyses using EViews. The course focuses on four aspects of empirical model building and forecasting:

  • data and model properties, such as stationarity/non-stationarity and co-integration;
  • dynamic specifications, especially the use of error correction models;
  • model evaluation, design, and simulation; and
  • forecast uncertainty and policy analysis.
Read More Topic : General Macroeconomic Analysis

    Target Audience

    All government officials are welcome to register. The course is particularly relevant for officials involved in developing forecasts that are used to design and implement macroeconomic policy. The course is offered in English.

    Back to top

    Qualifications

    Participants are expected to have a background in undergraduate statistics and basic econometrics. Access to a computer with a reliable Internet connection and a Google Chrome web browser is essential. Demonstrations and applications are conducted using EViews – a popular software for estimating and simulating forecasting models in Windows. Temporary licenses for EViews are made available for the duration of the course.

    Back to top

    Course Objectives

    Upon completion of this course, participants should be able to:

    • Forecast time series and multiple equation models using EViews.
    • Assess the statistical characteristics of time series and apply appropriate methods for forecasting.
    • Construct a macroeconometric model using ARMA, VAR, and VECM methods.
    • Use a variety of statistical techniques to evaluate the performance of a forecasting model.
    Back to top

    Upcoming Offering

    Start date End date Location Delivery Method Session No. Primary & (Interpretation) language Apply
    September 1, 2024 December 31, 2024 Course conducted online Online Training OL 24.233 English Apply online by December 17, 2024
    Back to top

    Apply Now - Application deadline approaching:

    IMF offers online training to government officials and the public. Click Learn more to find our current offerings.

    Cyber Risk Supervision (CRS)

    English | January 20-24, 2025 | In-person Training | New Delhi, India

    Apply online by November 12, 2024

    Strengthening Revenue Administration for Gender Equality

    English | December 9-11, 2024 | In-person Training | New Delhi, India

    Apply online by November 13, 2024

    Cyber Risk Supervision - Path to Operational Resilience (CRS)

    English (Arabic) | January 12-16, 2025 | In-person Training | Kuwait City, Kuwait

    Apply online by November 14, 2024

    Tax Policy and Administration: Theory and Practice (TPAT)

    English (Arabic) | January 19-23, 2025 | In-person Training | Kuwait City, Kuwait

    Apply online by November 14, 2024

    Fiscal Sustainability (FS)

    English | April 14-25, 2025 | In-person Training | Singapore, Singapore

    Apply online by November 15, 2024