Memorandum of Economic
and Financial Policies of the Government of Ghana for 2003–04
December 3, 2003
I. Introduction
1. The Ghana Poverty Reduction Strategy (GPRS), which was finalized
in February 2003, defined the government's economic objectives and policy
agenda for 2003-05. The implementation of this strategy is receiving
broad-based support from the international community. Consistent with
the goals established in the GPRS, this memorandum updates our macroeconomic
framework and structural reform agenda for the remainder of 2003, and
outlines a fiscal framework for the 2004 budget, which is currently under
preparation. Our detailed policy agenda for 2004 will be set out at the
time of the second review under the PRGF arrangement, together with our
annual progress report on implementation of the GPRS. Subject to continued
satisfactory performance under the PRGF arrangement and implementation
of other applicable conditions, we hope that Ghana will attain the completion
point under the enhanced HIPC Initiative around mid-2004.
II. Program Performance During 2003
2. Macroeconomic policy implementation during the first half of this
year was strong, and all quantitative and structural performance criteria
through end-June 2003 were observed:
- Although there were some delays in implementing the new measures
approved by Parliament as part of the 2003 budget, underlying fiscal
revenues exceeded expectations, while expenditures were kept within
budget ceilings. This contributed to a net repayment of domestic government
debt equivalent to 0.8 percent of GDP during the first half of the
year
(2½ percent of GDP better than programmed).
- Following the jump in inflation in early 2003, associated
with a 90 percent increase in petroleum prices, monthly inflation subsided
in line with program expectations. The 12-month CPI inflation rate
was 26.8 percent in September, down from a peak of 30 percent in April.
During
the first half of 2003, broad money expanded at an annual rate of only
9 percent, while reserve money contracted.
- At end-June, the Bank of Ghana's net international reserves exceeded
the program target by US$211 million, even after adjusting for larger-than-expected
donor inflows, thanks in part to a bumper cocoa crop.
3. On the structural reform agenda:
- In the face of strong public opposition, the government announced
on August 15 that it had suspended the sale of a majority interest in
Ghana Commercial Bank (GCB) to a strategic investor, to allow time to
consider other possible options.
a. The prices of domestic petroleum products, electricity, and water
remained in line with the established automatic formulas through end-June
2003, without need for adjustments. Beginning in August (July in the
case of electricity and water), the pricing formulas indicated the need
for upward adjustments in these prices, but the adjustments were temporarily
delayed, pending an examination of continuing losses by the Tema Oil
Refinery (TOR) and the public utilities.
b. The new cash management system has contributed to improved expenditure
control in 2003. Expenditures were held within budget ceilings, and the
monthly "fiscal early warning" reports—which were produced
on schedule—served their intended purpose in flagging to Cabinet
an incipient overrun in the education sector's wage bill. Technical problems,
however, were encountered in the rollout of the automated budget accounting
system (BPEMS), which contributed to continuing difficulties in producing
fully reconciled budget outturn data within eight weeks of month's end.
c. Progress was made with regard to the planned divestiture of government
stakes in a number of joint venture enterprises, with collection during
the first half year of about half of the proceeds targeted for 2003.
III. The Program for 2003-04
A. Growth and Inflation Objectives
4. The government is maintaining its objectives for real GDP growth
in 2003 (4.7 percent) and 2004 (5.0 percent). We also remain committed
to bringing 12-month CPI inflation down to 22 percent by end-2003,
and to single digits in 2004, while raising our goal for the buildup
in net international reserves at the Bank of Ghana.
B. Monetary Policy
5. To achieve the inflation objective, the Bank of Ghana intends to
keep the pace of monetary expansion within the original program targets.
This implies bringing the 12-month growth rate of broad money (excluding
foreign currency deposits) down from 44 percent at end-June 2003
to around 25 percent by end-December 2003. The intermediate
goal of 24 percent growth in reserve money (excluding banks' foreign
currency deposits) during 2003 will be adhered to in support of this
objective.
6. In order to secure a desired buildup in net international reserves
of at least US$378 million in 2003 (up from a previously targeted US$130
million), the central bank's net domestic assets, calculated at the program
exchange rate, will be reduced by not less than ¢1,857 billion
in the year to December 31, 2003. The corresponding quarterly
targets are shown in Table I.1. The Bank of Ghana will use open
market and repurchase operations, and adjustments in its prime rate as
necessary, to achieve its monetary objectives.
C. Fiscal Policy
7. The medium-term framework underlying the GPRS and the PRGF-supported
program aims at halving the domestic debt-GDP ratio by end-2005 from
its end-2002 level. To achieve this, the medium-term fiscal program envisages
zero net domestic financing in 2003, consistent with the original program,
and net domestic debt repayments of 2-2½ percent of GDP in 2004
and 2005.
8. Despite lower-than-programmed yields from some of the new revenue
measures introduced in the 2003 budget, and the expectation of a modest
overrun on the government wage bill, the outlook for this year's fiscal
program remains broadly on track:
- Improved underlying tax revenue performance, reflecting in part
intensified efforts to strengthen compliance, is expected to broadly
outweigh lower receipts from the new revenue measures and the adverse
impact on petroleum-related revenues of lower-than-expected demand for
petroleum products. Consistent with the revised revenue assumptions,
we intend in November 2003 to begin the new timber auctions that were
envisaged in the 2003 budget.
- The wage bill is projected to overshoot its target by just under
2½ percent (0.1 percent of GDP), most of which is attributable
to salaries for some 30,000 staff in the education sector who were
not covered in
the budget calculations but who were subsequently validated. The revised
nominal wage target for 2003 is ¢5,576 billion, up from ¢5,450
billion in the original program.
- Delayed adjustment of petroleum product
prices and electricity and water tariffs will require additional budget
subsidies to TOR and
the utility companies totaling ¢574 billion, while VRA requires
additional government assistance totaling ¢396 billion to clear
the company's external arrears. Of these amounts, ¢638 billion
will be paid in 2003 and the remainder in 2004.
- Expenditures on goods and services
and domestically financed capital projects are expected to be broadly
in line with the original
program, to ensure funding of the government's GPRS priorities.
Payments into the Ghana Education Trust Fund are now being made with
a one
month rather than a one quarter lag, implying an additional ¢130
billion in transfers to this fund in 2003.
- Based on a verification
of domestic payments arrears outstanding at end-2002, the government
now expects to clear more arrears
in 2003
than planned at the time of the budget. These comprise settlement of
(i) ¢240 billion in road sector arrears (¢20 billion more than
planned); (ii) ¢97 billion cedis to the District Assembly Common
Fund and the Ghana Education Trust Fund, in line with the budget assumption,
and (iii) ¢294 billion in nonroad nonstatutory fund arrears, up
from ¢100 billion planned in the budget.
- Current estimates suggest
that total poverty-related expenditures are likely to reach almost ¢4,500
billion (6.9 percent of GDP) in 2003, slightly above the program target.
9. The budget appropriation approved by Parliament in March 2003 was
based on a lower inflation assumption than the fiscal framework underlying
the program. The government therefore submitted to Parliament a request
for a supplementary appropriation that is in line with the fiscal framework
set out in this memorandum, so as to ensure that the expenditures envisaged
in the program for 2003 can be executed, and Parliament approved this
appropriation on November 5, 2003. The government will continue to monitor
budget implementation closely, and if necessary will adjust non-poverty-related
expenditures to ensure that the target of zero net domestic financing
in 2003 is not exceeded.
10. The fiscal outlook for 2004 and the medium term should allow the
government's expenditure needs, as envisaged in the GPRS, to be met in
full, while adhering to the GPRS target path for domestic debt reduction:
- The targeted ratio of revenues (excluding grants) to GDP in 2004
remains in line with the GPRS, at around 22 ½ percent. The projections
assume implementation of the NHIL in June 2004, via legislative instrument.
- The
2004 budget will incorporate a wage bill of ¢6,632 billion,
which is equivalent to 8½ percent of projected GDP. If the timing
of the 2004 salary increase for government workers is similar to that
in 2003, this would allow for an average salary increase of about 19
percent.
- Budgetary subsidies to public enterprises in 2004 will
be limited to ¢392 billion, including ¢60 billion needed
to cover the cost of preferential utility tariffs for the poorest consumers.
- Consistent with spending plans under the GPRS, domestic capital
expenditure will increase by around 0.7 percent of GDP in 2004, to
6 percent of GDP.
- The government will remain current on all transfers
to the GETF and the DACF, as well as on other expenditure commitments,
and will
pay
the ¢97 billion due under the medium-term plan for eliminating arrears
to the statutory funds.
- The 2004 budget will incorporate a further increase
in poverty related expenditure as a share of GDP.
11. On August 26, 2003, Parliament approved the legislative framework
for a new national health insurance scheme (NHIS). The scheme is intended
to provide basic health service to all Ghanaians, while replacing the "cash
and carry" system of user fees at the point of delivery. It will
be funded through premium payments to mutual health organizations (MHOs)
to be established in each district, and subsidy payments from a national
health insurance fund (NHIF) to reimburse MHOs for the cost of exemptions
granted to the poor. The NHIF, which is expected to begin operations
in July 2004, will receive funds from a National Health Insurance Levy
of 2½ percent on goods and services, and 2½ percent of workers'
salaries out of their current contribution of 17½ percent to SSNIT.
The NHIS legislation stipulates that the council administering the fund
shall annually submit to Parliament the formula for distributing subsidies
to MHOs.
12. The new scheme is projected to result in a net addition to aggregate
budgetary health sector expenditure of around ¢50 billion per year,
relative to the amounts assumed in the medium-term fiscal framework underlying
the GPRS. In elaborating the details of the scheme over the coming months,
the government will work, together with donors participating in the health
sector wide approach (SWAP), to ensure that its design will be consistent
with the program's expenditure assumptions, and will incorporate adequate
safeguards to manage the budgetary impact on a continuing basis.
13. The government stands ready during 2004 to (i) take appropriate
measures, as and when necessary, to preserve the program's revenue objective;
and (ii) curtail nonpoverty-related expenditures if needed to stay within
the program target for net domestic financing.
D. Public Expenditure Management and Tax Administration
14. An enhanced commitment control and cash management system, designed
with technical assistance from the IMF and run on a pilot basis in a
number of ministries, departments and agencies (MDAs) this year, will
be put in place in all MDAs by January 1, 2004. This system should reinforce
hard budgets constraints at the MDA level and guard against the buildup
of arrears.
15. The government will also act on the results of the recently completed
public sector census, and remove any irregular names from the payroll
by March 31, 2004. Other public expenditure management reforms expected
in 2004 include:
- alignment of the functional classification of expenditure with
GFS;
- simplification of the medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF);
- further
efforts, especially within the Multi Donor Budget Support (MDBS)
framework, to incorporate all donor project resources
and MDAs'
internally generated funds into the budget;
- improved and more timely
reconciliation of treasury and banking data to allow for the production
of accounts 8 weeks after the end of
the month;
- rollout of the budget and public expenditure management system
(BPEMS) to three further MDAs (health, education, and roads and transport);
and
- the closure, by January 1, 2004, of all overdraft accounts
at the Bank of Ghana, as well as government accounts that have been
dormant for more than one year.
16. The Large Taxpayers' Unit (LTU) will be fully operational in early
2004, administering the tax accounts of more than 350 large taxpayers
on a unified basis. This will contribute to further efficiency gains
in revenue administration which are expected to be on the order of 5
percent.
E. Public Enterprise Reform
17. Petroleum pricing over the years has resulted in an underrecovery
of costs by TOR, as a result of which, by end-2002, the refinery had
incurred debts of over ¢3.5 trillion (7 percent of GDP). The
indebtedness of TOR has imposed a heavy burden on the budget, in the
form of subsidies and interest on debt assumed by the government. This
has had adverse distributional implications, by absorbing resources that
could have been devoted to the poverty reduction priorities in the GPRS.
Furthermore, over 90 percent of TOR's current debt (i.e., excluding the
portion taken over by government) is owed to GCB, posing a systemic risk
to the banking system. Against this background, the government has decided
to accelerate the program for deregulation of the petroleum sector that
was previously approved by Cabinet. The program will:
- promote competition in petroleum product marketing, including
by providing scope for new entrants;
- allow private sector operators
to import crude oil and/or refined petroleum products on their own
account; TOR will stand
ready to refine
its own crude oil or that of other registered importers (on a fee basis),
for the domestic market or for export; and
- allow petroleum prices to
be market determined, through free competition among the oil marketing
companies (OMCs).
18. The first phase of the deregulation process will involve the liberalization
of the import of finished petroleum products by the OMCs in April 2004.
The plans for the deregulation program will be announced in the 2004
budget, and petroleum prices will be liberalized by end-July 2004. Government
has started negotiations with the OMCs on new operating arrangements
that will apply under deregulation. A National Petroleum Planning Committee
has been established with representation from the OMCs, Ministry of Energy,
Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, National Petroleum Tender
Board, and Bank of Ghana to advise on the process of deregulation. Government
will also undertake a comprehensive program of public education and awareness.
During the transition period, government will ensure that domestic petroleum
prices converge to international market levels, to avoid large adjustments
immediately after deregulation. To this end, prices will be aligned with
the automatic adjustment formula, as specified in the TMU, by January
30, 2004, and realigned by April 30, 2004.
19. The government remains committed to achieving and maintaining full
cost recovery in electricity and water pricing, as well as to improving
the efficiency of the utility companies. Accordingly:
- Effective October 1 and November 1, 2003, electricity and water tariffs
were increased in cedi terms by 6 percent and 10 percent, respectively.
These adjustments were in line with the automatic pricing formulas,
and passed through the effects of higher world prices for petroleum
products, the depreciation of the cedi, and changes in the generation
mix for producing electricity from hydro and thermal sources.
- Ghana's state energy companies have been in discussions with the
Ministry of Energy and the World Bank on ways to improve their financial
and operating performance. These will include: (i) technical improvements
to raise plant efficiency, reliability, and utilization; (ii) collection
improvements, including by restricting customer lines of credit, better
monitoring of bulk customers, and prosecuting nonpayers; and (iii)
stricter enforcement of performance targets contracted with company
managers.
- Cross debts among the entities—the Volta River Authority, the
Electricity Company of Ghana, the Ghana Water Company Limited, and
Tema Oil Refinery—and with government have obscured the true
financial picture of the companies and inhibited the development of
a viable operating plan. Accordingly, the Auditor General's Department
undertook and completed a study to determine the size of all cross
debts, and with, approval from the Ministry of Finance and Economic
Planning, these debts will be settled by end-December 2003.
- Work is under way to install prepayment meters, to help reduce nontechnical
revenue losses in the electricity and water sectors.
20. The pricing formulas for electricity and water will continue to
be administered directly by the Public Utilities Regulatory Commission
(PURC). The PURC has the mandate and independent authority to make quarterly
price adjustments according to the formulas without further approval
from government ministries, and this independence will henceforth be
strictly observed. Electricity and water tariffs will be fully aligned
with their respective automatic pricing formulas, which are specified
in the TMU, as of January 30, 2004 and April 30, 2004.
21. The government remains committed to bringing new capital and strengthened
management to GCB in order to improve the bank's efficiency and enhance
its contribution to the Ghanaian economy. Cabinet has approved in principle
a strategy that aims at: (i) raising additional resources through a flotation
of new shares in GCB on the Ghana Stock exchange; and (ii) putting out
to competitive tender a management contract for the bank, with terms
that require the managers to improve GCB's financial performance and
service delivery. We will announce further details of this plan, including
a broad timetable for implementation, in the 2004 budget statement. In
the interim, to contain the impact of TOR's finances on GCB's balance
sheet, a program ceiling (performance criterion) has been established
on net bank borrowing by TOR.
22. By the end of 2004, the government intends to complete action on
the divestiture of state holdings in joint venture companies. These and
other asset sales are expected to yield around ¢425 billion
in 2004.
F. Financial Sector and Land Reform
23. In the course of 2003-04, the government will strive to obtain Parliamentary
approval for:
- the Banking Bill, to reinforce the central bank's powers to conduct
effective supervision of the banking system;
- the Payments System Bill and the Bills and Cheques Bill, to modernize
the legal framework for the payments system; and
- the Insurance Bill, to strengthen the regulatory framework for insurance
companies operating in Ghana.
We will also submit to Parliament an Anti-Money Laundering Bill, seeking
its enactment before end-2004, and will initiate legislation in the following
areas:
- establishment of a legal framework for credit rating agencies, to
enhance the access of individuals and small businesses to credit; and
- corporate insolvency and a new Companies Code.
24. If, as envisaged, the supply of treasury bills is sharply curtailed
over the medium term, commercial banks will be looking to expand their
lending to the private sector. In this environment, while banking supervision
may need to be enhanced to ensure that banks are adequately managing
their additional balance sheet risk, the level of secondary reserve requirements
(35 percent) could become a binding constraint. The Bank of Ghana will
consider what steps may be needed in these areas, and its plan of action
will be assessed at the time of the second review under the PRGF arrangement.
25. The lack of an adequate land registry system impedes foreign investment
and limits the contribution which the financial system can make to growth.
Improvements in this area call for centralization, simplification, and
improvement in the efficiency of land titling services; timely adjudication
of the backlog of land disputes; and introduction of land auctions and
title insurance to alleviate corruption, reduce delays in land procurement,
and enable the use of land for collateral purposes. In consultation with
the World Bank, the government will draw up a concrete plan to address
land registration issues, for implementation beginning in early 2004.
26. Work is under way on the establishment of a computerized real-time
interbank market for foreign exchange. The FIRST Initiative has agreed
to provide technical assistance, under IMF auspices, to help the Bank
of Ghana complete preparations for launch during 2004.
G. External Sector Policies
27. The government will strive to ensure that all necessary actions
are fully implemented, notably in the areas of public expenditure management
and reform of the civil service, to facilitate timely donor disbursements
under the PRSC and MDBS. The government will continue negotiations aimed
at securing relief under the enhanced HIPC Initiative from non-Paris
Club creditors and completing bilateral agreements with Paris Club creditors.
28. The Bank of Ghana will continue to allow the cedi exchange rate
to be market determined, limiting interventions to smoothing short-term
fluctuations in the exchange market and ensuring achievement of the targeted
buildup of net international reserves.
29. The government reiterates its commitment not to implement the tariff
measures proposed in the 2003 budget during the period of the PRGF arrangement.
H. Good Governance and Statistical Transparency
30. During 2003-04, the government will:
- take steps to ensure full staffing of internal audit positions (a
HIPC completion point trigger);
- seek passage of the Procurement Bill, to pave the way for establishment
of a regulatory and oversight body to implement the new code (also
a HIPC completion point trigger);
- provide regular government reports to Parliament on the implementation
of the budget and GPRS, and strengthen Parliament's capacity to exercise
oversight; and
- provide adequate resources in the 2004 budget to ensure the continued
operation of the Fast Track Court, and reestablish commercial courts
with donor assistance.
31. The government notes that the Bank of Ghana has conducted and published
an external audit of its 2002 financial statements in accordance with
International Accounting Standards. In response to a full safeguards
assessment by the IMF in mid-2003, the Bank of Ghana intends to implement
the recommendations contained in the safeguards assessment report. These
include formal adoption of IAS as the Bank's accounting framework, and
review by the internal audit department of data reported to the Fund.
32. The government is committed to the production of timely and accurate
statistics in support of transparency and to allow a better assessment
of developments in the economy. In the context of work to rebase the
CPI, a number of data corrections are being made with the aim of publishing
the revised series (using 2002 weights) beginning in January 2004. Work
has been proceeding in parallel to re-base and revise the national accounts,
and the new data are expected to be published during the first half of
2004.
IV. Program Monitoring
33. Technical memorandum of understanding. The program will be
monitored using the definitions, data sources, and frequency of monitoring
set out in the accompanying TMU. The government will make available to
Fund staff all core data, appropriately reconciled and on a timely basis,
as specified in the TMU.
34. Prior actions. The government will undertake a number of
actions prior to the IMF Board meeting to consider the completion of
the first review under the PRGF arrangement, in order to ensure effective
implementation of the economic program described in this memorandum (Table I.2).
35. Performance criteria. Table I.1 shows the quantitative
performance criteria and benchmarks for end-December 2003, with quarterly
indicative benchmarks for March, June, September, and December 2004.
The end-June 2004 targets will be converted to performance criteria at
the time of the second review. Structural performance criteria and benchmarks
with corresponding dates are identified in Table I.2. In addition,
the nonaccumulation of external payment arrears (as defined in the TMU)
will constitute a continuous performance criterion, as will the standard
injunctions against imposing or intensifying restrictions on current
payments introducing or modifying multiple currency practices, concluding
bilateral payments agreements that are inconsistent with Article VIII,
or imposing or intensifying import restrictions for balance of payments
reasons. The phasing and conditions for further disbursements during
the second year of the arrangement shall be established at the time of
the second review.
36. Program review. The second review under the PRGF arrangement
will be completed by May 14, 2004. This review will focus on:
(i) implementation of the public expenditure management and control system;
(ii) the design and implementation of the energy and utility pricing
formulas; (iii) measures to strengthen the finances of key public enterprises;
and (iv) the next phase of reforms of the financial sector.
GHANA
Technical Memorandum of Understanding
1. This technical note contains definitions and adjuster mechanisms
that are intended to clarify the measurement of items in Table
I.1, Quantitative
Performance Criteria, PRGF Arrangement, 2003, attached to the Memorandum
of Economic and Financial Policies. Unless otherwise specified, all quantitative
performance criteria and benchmarks will be evaluated in terms of cumulative
flows from December 31, 2002.
Provision of Data to the Fund
2. Data with respect to all variables subject to performance criteria
and indicative benchmarks will be provided to Fund staff on a monthly
basis with a lag of no more than eight weeks (except for select data
for which the data reporting lag is explicitly specified in Table
I.3).
The authorities will transmit promptly to Fund staff any data revisions.
For variables that are relevant for assessing performance against program
objectives but are not specifically defined in this memorandum, the authorities
will consult with Fund staff as needed on appropriate measurement and
reporting.
Definitions
3. Government is defined for the purposes of this memorandum
to comprise the central government as well as all special funds (the
Education Trust Fund, the Road Fund, the District Assembly Common Fund)
and various subvented and other government agencies that are classified
as government in the Bank of Ghana (BOG) Statement of Accounts (SOA).
SSNIT and public enterprises, including Cocobod, are excluded from the
definition of government.
4. Government domestic revenue comprises all tax and non-tax
revenues of government (in domestic and foreign currency), excluding
foreign grants and divestiture receipts. Revenue will be measured on
a cash basis as gross inflows to government uncommitted treasury collections
accounts (as reported by the BOG).
5. Government domestic expenditure comprises all spending from
uncommitted accounts for Items 1-4, as captured by the accounts of the
Controller Accountant General's Department (CAGD). Reporting will be
based on the current NETS accounting system, and its associated 15-digit
chart of accounts, and will be fully reconciled with BOG bank statements
on spending (outflows) from the 42 newly created MDA Operational Accounts
(plus any residual use of existing Treasury Drawing/overdraft accounts,
with these latter accounts to be closed by end-2003). Expenditure will
also be verified by comparing it to accounts produced by the BPEMS accounting
system, until such time as the latter system becomes fully operational.
6. Within the above total, poverty-related expenditures refer
to those expenditures identified in Table 6 of the Decision Point Document
for the Enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative. Budgeted
poverty spending for these categories will be taken from each year's
final appropriations bill, and will include spending financed by government,
donors, and internally generated funds. Actual poverty-related spending
will be identified using the last three digits of the 15-digit chart
of accounts of CAGD's current NETS system, and the sub-component which
is financed by HIPC relief. These data will be supplemented with that
proportion of transfers to the District Assembly Common Fund, Ghana Educational
Trust Fund, and Road Fund which are deemed by those entities to be poverty-related.
Accordingly, actual poverty spending will exclude some donor-supported
expenditure not currently captured by CAGD (including, among others,
the pooled donor health fund).
7. Net domestic financing (NDF) of government is defined as
the change in net credit to government by the banking system (i.e., the
Bank of Ghana plus deposit money banks) plus the net change in holdings
of treasury bills and other government securities by the nonbank sector,
but excluding divestiture receipts and government liabilities assumed
in the restructuring of the domestic debts of the Tema Oil Refinery,
the Electricity Company of Ghana, the Volta River Authority, the Ghana
Water Company Limited, and/or in connection with the recapitalization
of the Bank of Ghana. Such credit will also exclude Treasury bills issued
for Open Market Operations purposes from January 1, 2003 onward (the
holdings of which are excluded from the BOG Treasury Department's Debt
Registry of central government securities, and the proceeds of which
are sterilized in deposits held as other BOG liabilities, as defined
in the Monetary Template provided to the IMF on December 3, 2003). Outstanding
net credit to the government by the Bank of Ghana is comprised of
the sum of claims on government (SOA codes 0401 and 050101-4) less government
deposits (1101 including the main HIPC receiving account, and 1202) as
defined in the Monetary Template). Outstanding net credit by deposit
money banks is comprised of DMB holdings of government securities
at cost of purchase value, as reported by the BOG Treasury Department's
Debt Registry, plus overdrafts less government deposits as reported by
DMBs in the revised BSD2 report forms (and defined in the Monetary Template,
which also contains the revised reporting format for DMBs). Nonbank
financing will be the difference between total net cash receipts
to the Treasury Main Cash Account (issues/redemptions account when it
becomes operational) from the sale/repurchase of government securities,
less the corresponding net cash value received from the BOG and DMBs
as indicated on the Debt Registry by holder at discount value. For each
test date, any adjustment by the BOG to the data reported by individual
DMBs, on account of their misclassification of government or for other
reasons, will be reported to the Fund.
8. The domestic primary balance is defined as the difference
between government domestic revenue and noninterest government expenditure
as reported by the CAGD (i.e., payment vouchers issued for expenditures
on items 1-4). It will exclude foreign-financed capital expenditure,
for which data are reported by the Aid and Debt Management Unit. The
measurement will be on a cash basis, with any positive (negative) discrepancy
between the above- and below-the-line measure of the overall balance
being added to (subtracted from) the measure of the domestic primary
balance (including unspent balances remaining in committed accounts).
9. Net domestic credit to Tema Oil Refinery (TOR) from the banking
system will be defined as total advances to TOR by deposit money banks,
less TOR's deposits with deposit money banks, and will be reported by
the Research Department of the Bank of Ghana.
10. The program exchange rate for the purposes of this memorandum
will be 8504 cedis per dollar, i.e., the simple average of the buying
and selling interbank transactions rates for December 31, 2002.
11. Reserve money is defined as the sum of currency in circulation
(BOG statement of accounts codes 901 plus 902), plus cedi denominated
currency deposits at the Bank of Ghana (excluding accounts which are
overdrawn, blocked, or owned by banks in liquidation) of the following
entities: commercial banks, other financial institutions, private sector
entities, public institutions, and public enterprises. A more detailed
listing of accounts to be included in the measure of reserve money is
contained in the Monetary Template referred to above. If aggregate reserves
fall below the legal reserve requirement of 9 percent of bank deposits
(as reported in the quarterly STCRBB), then reserve money will be adjusted
upward to the extent of any shortfall in compliance with that reserve
requirement.
12. Net foreign assets (NFA) are defined in the monetary survey
as short and long term foreign assets minus liabilities of the Bank of
Ghana which are contracted with non-residents. Short-term foreign assets
include: monetary gold (valued at the spot market rate for gold, US$/fine
ounce, London), holdings of SDRs, reserve position and HIPC trust investment
in the IMF, the HIPC umbrella SDR account (all as reported by the IMF),
foreign notes and travelers checks, foreign securities, positive balances
with correspondent banks, and other positive short-term or time deposits.
Short-term foreign liabilities include foreign currency liabilities contracted
by the Bank of Ghana at original maturities of one year or less (including
overdrafts), outstanding liabilities to the IMF, and deposits of international
institutions at the BOG. Long-term foreign assets and liabilities are
comprised of: other foreign assets (303), investments abroad (a subset
of 60201), other long-term liabilities to nonresidents (a subset of 1103),
and bilateral payment agreements (305). All values are to be converted
to U.S. dollars at actual market exchange rates prevailing at the test
date. A more detailed listing of accounts to be included in the measure
of NFA is contained in the Monetary Template referred to above.
13. Net international reserves (NIR) of the Bank of Ghana are
defined for program monitoring purposes and in the balance of payments
as short-term foreign assets of the Bank of Ghana, minus short-term external
liabilities. To the extent that short-term foreign assets are not fully
convertible external assets readily available to and controlled by the
Bank of Ghana (i.e., they are pledged or otherwise encumbered external
assets, including, but not limited to, the HIPC umbrella SDR account,
and assets used as collateral or guarantees for third party liabilities
such as the two identified encumbered accounts held abroad totaling US$9.3
million as of June 2003) these will be excluded from the definition of
NIR. Net international reserves are also defined to include net swap
transactions (receivable less payable), and exclude all positive foreign
currency deposits at the BOG held by deposit money banks, public institutions,
nonfinancial public enterprises, other financial institutions, and the
private sector. All values are to be converted to U.S. dollars at actual
market exchange rates prevailing at the test date. A more detailed listing
of accounts to be included in the measure of NIR is contained in the
Monetary Template referred to above.
14. Net domestic assets of the Bank of Ghana are defined as
the difference between reserve money and net foreign assets of the Bank
of Ghana, excluding the HIPC Umbrella SDR account, converted from U.S.
dollars to cedis at the program exchange rate.
15. The performance criterion on short-term external debt refers
to the outstanding stock of external debt with original maturity of one
year or less, including overdraft positions and debt owed or guaranteed
by the government or the Bank of Ghana.1 Data
on the Bank of Ghana's short-term external debt are those reported from
the statement of accounts template as short-term liabilities to non-resident
commercial banks (1201 plus 301 overdrafts plus Crown Agent). The limit
on short-term external debt will exclude US$5.5 million in overdrafts
with correspondent banks which are in dispute, until such time as these
assets are re-classified.
16. The performance criterion on nonconcessional medium- and long-term
external debt (Table I.1) refers to the contracting or guaranteeing
of external debt with original maturity of more than one year by the
government or Bank of Ghana.2 Medium- and
long-term debt will be reported by the Aid and Debt Management Unit
of the Ministry of Finance and (as appropriate) the Bank of Ghana,
measured in U.S. dollars at current exchange rates.
17. The stock of payment arrears in the road sector will include
any arrear on a duly certified expenditure commitment that was not paid
during a period of 90 days after the date the bill was issued. Any arrear
in foreign currency will be converted into cedi at the actual exchange
rate prevailing at the end of period date. Data on the stock of road
arrears will be reported to the IMF staff monthly (with the lag specified
in Table I.3) by the monitoring and evaluation department of the Ministry
of Roads and Highways. At end-October 2002 the stock of road arrears
was recognized to be 219.8 billion, and is expected to be paid down according
to the quarterly schedule in Table I.1, which will be an indicative benchmark
under the program.
18. External payment arrears occur when undisputed interest
or amortization payments of the government of Ghana are not made within
the terms of the debt contract, or in conformity with the terms for interim
relief provided under the enhanced HIPC Initiative and the deferral agreed
with the Paris Club on December 10, 2001. This is a continuous criterion.
19. Official external program support is defined as grants and
loans provided by foreign official entities that are received by the
budget, excluding project grants and loans, and other exceptional financing.
Amounts assumed in the program consistent with this definition are shown
in the memorandum item entitled "external program support" of Table I.1.
20. Divestiture receipts are payments received by the government
(in domestic and foreign currency) in connection with the sale of state
assets. The programmed amounts consistent with this definition are shown
in Table I.1. Divestiture receipts in foreign
exchange are those recorded as such in the Bank of Ghana's Cash Flow;
domestic receipts are the difference between total divestiture receipts
received by the budget, and receipts in foreign exchange.
21. Automatic adjustment formulas for the pricing of petroleum,
electricity and water are defined to ensure full cost recovery
at Ghana's state-owned oil refinery (TOR) and utilities by passing
on to consumers changes in the costs of exogenously determined inputs
including crude oil, exchange rates, and the electricity generation
mix. In the case of petroleum products, the formula (see Table
I.4) will be calculated by the tenth of each month, using an average
of representative petroleum product prices (fob Mediterranean, from
Platt's Oilgram) for the previous three calendar months for each of
the following products─premium gasoline, kerosene, gas oil, residual
fuel oil, and liquefied petroleum gas. The formula will then add TOR's
shipping, insurance, and related charges, to arrive at a set of ex-refinery
prices at full-cost recovery levels. Premix will be computed as a weighted
average of premium gasoline (96.67 percent) and engine oil (3.33 percent)
at full cost recovery prices. All full-cost recovery prices, and the
prices currently charged by TOR, will each be multiplied by TOR's sales
volumes for those products for the previous month, and the resulting
actual and full-cost recovery sales values summed across products.
A price adjustment will be deemed to be triggered, either upward or
downward, when the sum of actual values differs from the sum of full-cost
recovery values by more than 2.5 percent. If an adjustment is triggered,
prices will need to be raised or lowered such that the summed value
of the new prices times their volumes equals the summed full cost recovery
value. The National Petroleum Tender Board will bring the ceilings
on ex-refinery and ex-pump prices in line with the formula at a minimum
once a quarter, on or before January 30 and April 30, 2004. Maximum
ex-pump prices will be set to reflect new ex-refinery prices plus the
full pass through of all taxes, levies, and distributor margins as
indicated in Table I.4. Whether or not price changes are triggered,
NPTB will inform TOR, oil marketing companies, and the public, including
the IMF, of the results of the formula's calculations as set out in
Table I.4 on the above test dates.
22. The quarterly electricity and water tariffs will be announced publicly
at the latest by the end of the first month of each quarter, starting
January 2004, and implemented retroactively to the beginning of the month.
The electricity tariffs will be calculated according to the formula in
Table I.5, and the water tariffs will be calculated subsequently according
to the formula in Table I.6, using data from the specified sources. Projected
variables in the formulas will be calculated as follows:
(i) for the price of Nigerian Bonny Light crude oil in the coming
quarter, the futures prices on the last working day of the current
quarter will be used, as quoted on the NYMEX, for deliveries of Light
Sweet Crude in each month of the coming quarter, averaged across the
three months, plus US$0.15 for the premium of Bonny Light over Light
Sweet.
(ii) for the U.S. inflation rate in the coming quarter, the recorded
change in the U.S. consumer price index during the latest three-month
period for which data are available in International Financial Statistics
will be used.
(iii) for the U.S. dollar-cedi exchange rate in the coming quarter,
the interbank transaction rate quoted by the Bank of Ghana for the
last day of the second month in the preceding quarter will be used,
multiplied by the percentage change in that rate from the last day
of the second month in the quarter before that.
(iv) the percentage contribution of hydro power to the generation
mix will be assumed not to exceed 50 percent.
Adjusters
23. Deviations in official external program support, external debt
service payments, and divestiture receipts from the amounts programmed
in Table I.1 will trigger adjusters for domestic financing of government,
net domestic assets of the Bank of Ghana and net international reserves
as indicated below. These and other adjusters as set out below will
be measured cumulatively from the beginning of 2003.
24. Ceilings on net domestic financing (NDF) of the government and
net domestic assets (NDA) of the Bank of Ghana. Monthly differences
between projected and actual official external program support, external
debt service payments, and divestiture receipts in foreign exchange
will be converted to cedis at the actual monthly exchange rate and
cumulated to the test date. The ceilings on net domestic financing
of government and NDA will be reduced by the sum of: (i) excess official
external program support; (ii) excess divestiture receipts; and (iii)
the shortfall in external debt service payments. The adjustment to
the ceiling on the NDA of the Bank of Ghana with respect to deviations
in divestiture receipts will apply only to foreign exchange receipts.
Both ceilings will be increased by 100 percent of any cumulative
shortfall in official external program support or excess in external
debt service, but will not be adjusted for a shortfall in divestiture
receipts. The upward adjustment is capped at the equivalent of US$75
million, converted to cedis at actual exchange rates.
25. Floor on net international reserves (NIR) of the Bank of Ghana. Quarterly
differences between projected and actual official external program support,
external debt service payments, and divestiture receipts in foreign exchange
will be converted to U.S. dollars at the actual exchange rates prevailing
at the test date. The floor on NIR will be raised by the sum of: (i)
excess official external program support; (ii) excess divestiture receipts
in foreign exchange; and (iii) any shortfall in external debt service
payments. The floor will be lowered by 100 percent of any shortfall
in official external program support or excess in external debt service
payments, but will not be adjusted for any shortfall in divestiture receipts.
The downward adjustment is capped at the equivalent of US$75 million.
26. Oil price adjuster. NIR floors will be adjusted downward,
and NDA ceilings upward, when world oil prices exceed the baseline price
path assumed in the program. The floor on NIR will be reduced by the
cumulative quarterly difference (if positive) between actual oil prices
and projected prices as defined in Table I.1, multiplied by a coefficient
of 20 (a multiplier which quantifies the approximate impact that a US$1
rise in oil prices has on the value of oil imports in Ghana) on an annual
basis. For September the adjuster will be computed as the difference
(if positive) between the average actual and forecast prices during the
first quarter, times a coefficient of 20*(3/4); for December, the adjuster
will be the difference (if positive) between the half-year actual and
forecast prices, times a coefficient of 20. The adjuster at all test
dates will be capped at US$30 million. The ceiling on the NDA of the
Bank of Ghana will be raised by the same adjuster amounts as for NIR,
converted to cedis at actual exchange rates, up to a cap equivalent to
US$30 million.
Reporting of Data to the IMF
27. The Ministry of Finance, Bank of Ghana, Ministry of Roads and Highways,
and Ghana Statistical Service will provide to IMF staff the fiscal, monetary,
balance of payments, and real sector data indicated in Table
I.3, with
the reporting lags set out in that table.
28. Beginning with this technical memorandum, the aggregated balance
sheet for deposit money banks is being reported in accordance with the
revised BSD2 Report Form, as set out in the Monetary Template referred
to above. This new format, among other things, better differentiates
banks' reported foreign exchange holdings as between those held with
residents (mostly at the BOG) and those held with nonresidents abroad.
The first submissions based on the new form were for July 2003. Comparable
data from December 1998 to June 2003 have been taken from the 20R report
form to provide a comparable back series.
External Data, Debt and Debt Service, and HIPC Relief
29. To improve the transparency and accountability of external debt
management, the Minister of Finance has written to the Controller
Accountant General (CAGD) and the Governor of the Bank of Ghana setting
down the formal procedures for settlement of debt and specifying the
functions that the CAGD and the Bank of Ghana are expected to fulfill
in carrying out those procedures. In addition, the following measures
have been initiated and will be maintained:
a) All Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDA) have been informed
that the Aid and Debt Management Unit (ADMU) in the Ministry of Finance
is the only entity authorized to contract or guarantee external debt,
and all leases with a total value above US$100,000 should be submitted
to ADMU for authorization. ADMU will report to the IMF with a lag of
not more than one month on the concessionality of all new loans contracted.
b) The Minister of Finance has sent a circular to all donor desks officers
in the Minister of Finance requesting that arrangements be put in place
to ensure that the ADMU is informed of all correspondence with creditors,
including the latest information on disbursements and project financing
developments and any notices of payment due. All new loan documents should
also state clearly that the ADMU is the main initial point of contact
for settlement of all debt obligations.
c) Formal procedures have been established requesting donors and creditors
to confirm with ADMU debt payment obligations - including for government
guaranteed obligations - in advance of payment due dates.
d) Formal delegations have been put in place in the Ministry of Finance
and at the CAGD to ensure that an absence of sufficient signing authority
does not delay payment requests. In addition, a register will be kept
of the timing of formal debt payment actions. This register should be
signed by the various institutions involved in the payment of external
debt.
e) In the event that a shortage of foreign exchange results in a queuing
of debt service obligations at the Bank of Ghana, delaying payments beyond
their due dates, the Ministry of Finance is responsible for issuing any
instructions needed to revise payment priorities and for maintaining
a record of payment arrears. Formal reporting and follow-up procedures
have been established for the Bank of Ghana to confirm the transactions
to CAGD and the ADMU in the MOF on a daily basis. These reports contain
information on the transactions completed as requested, transactions
previously queued and paid and transactions added to the queue. These
reports are copied to both the governor of the Bank of Ghana and the
Minister of Finance and his senior officials, and to the IMF staff on
a monthly basis.
f) The procedures for verifying data to the Fund have been formalized,
so that a senior officer from the Bank of Ghana has been formally delegated
with the responsibility for the compilation and verification of data
on program conditionality to be reported to the Fund. Formal reconciliation
procedures to verify both the derivation of data reported to the Fund
and the Bank of Ghana internal audit procedures have been amended to
include a periodic check that procedures are followed.
g) Two HIPC accounts have been established at the BOG for the
receipt and disbursement of HIPC relief. When each debt service payment
falls due, the Government of Ghana (or the BOG for IMF repurchases) will
transfer to the HIPC account that proportion of the amount due which,
under the terms of the HIPC Initiative, does not have to be paid to the
creditor. For debt owed by public enterprises under the HIPC Initiative,
the Government of Ghana will transfer to the HIPC account the debt-relieved
portion of the debt service payment if the enterprise fails to do so
on the due date. ADMU will issue, in advance of the due date, a request
for payment to the CAGD indicating the portions due to the creditor and
the HIPC account. ADMU will prepare a monthly report indicating for the
coming month (i) the total debt service due by creditor, (ii) the amount
of HIPC relief on each transaction, as well as (iii) the debt service
paid and the transfers to the HIPC account by creditor for the previous
month. This report will be provided within 2 weeks of end-month to the
CAGD and to the IMF.
1(A) The
term "debt" has the meaning set forth in point No. 9 of the Guidelines
on Performance Criteria with Respect to Foreign Debt (Decision No. 12274-(00/85)
August 24, 2000). This includes overdrafts on accounts with correspondent
banks. (B) Excluded from this performance criterion are normal import-related
credits, pre-export financing credits of public enterprises, cocoa loans
collateralized by cocoa contracts, and individual leases with a value of
less than US$100,000. Also excluded are obligations that may be established
at the conclusion of negotiations with a foreign shareholder in Ghana Telecom
relating to a US$50 million payment made by the shareholder to the Government
of Ghana in 2000, and a loan (not exceeding US$60 million) that may be
contracted to securitize future reimbursements from the United Nations
in connection with Ghana's participation in UN peacekeeping operations.
2(A) This performance criterion applies not only
to debt as defined in point No. 9 of the Guidelines on Performance Criteria
with Respect to Foreign Debt (Decision No. 12274-(00/85) August 24, 2000) but
also to commitments contracted or guaranteed for which value has not been received.
(B) Excluded from this performance criterion are: individual leases with a
value of less than US$100,000; debts with a grant element equivalent to 35
percent or more, calculated using currency-specific discount rates based on
OECD commercial interest reference rates; a loan (not exceeding US$60 million)
that may be contracted to securitize future reimbursements from the United
Nations in connection with Ghana's participation in UN peacekeeping operations;
and loans or purchases from the IMF. The grant element of each loan will be
assessed only with regard to (i) the interest rate and repayment schedule of
the loan and (ii) any grants or other concessional loans provided by a foreign
official entity in connection with the loan in question. Loans provided by
a private entity will not be considered concessional unless accompanied by
a grant or grant element provided by a foreign official entity equal to at
least 35 percent of the combined loan. |