Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view Tables 1–2 (203 kb PDF file)
June 29, 2001
Mr. Horst Köhler
Managing Director
International Monetary Fund
Washington D.C. 20431
U.S.A.
Dear Mr. Köhler:
1. In the context of its continued reform efforts to promote economic growth
and poverty alleviation, the government of The Gambia adopted a medium-term economic and
financial program (April 1, 1998–December 31, 2001), supported under a three-year
arrangement under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF). This letter, which
supplements our letter of November 27, 2000, reviews performance under the first half of the
third annual PRGF arrangement approved by the Executive Board on December 11, 2000
(EBS/00/241; 11/28/00, cor. 1). It also outlines the government's objectives and policies for the
balance of 2001. Against this background, it notes the progress made in implementing the
program and requests waivers for the nonobservance of the end-March 2001 quantitative
performance criteria with respect to (a) net bank credit to the central government; (b) net
domestic assets of the central bank; (c) the basic primary balance of the central government; and
(d) the floor on the net official international reserves. It also requests a waiver for the
end-December 2000 structural performance criterion to establish and implement a comprehensive
accounting framework to monitor poverty-reducing expenditure, including expenditure funded
from debt relief under the enhanced Initiative for Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC
Initiative) (see paras. 7 and 8). The government intends to make the contents of this letter, and
those of the attached technical memorandum of understanding (TMU),
available to the public and authorizes you to arrange for them to be posted on the IMF website,
subsequent to Board approval.
2. The government is aware that overall performance under the third annual
PRGF-supported program has been mixed so far. Notwithstanding robust real GDP growth, with
low inflation and good progress in implementing a number of structural reforms, there were
budgetary slippages during 2000 and in the first quarter of 2001, partly related to payments to
Alimenta (a groundnut marketing company that is being compensated by the government). The
government decided to take corrective measures to address policy slippages and consolidate the
overall economic gains made through early 2001, in order to build a strong momentum for
realizing its medium-term economic and financial objectives. Indeed, significant progress has
already been made in implementing corrective measures, including structural reforms, notably
those to strengthen budget implementation.
3. In 2000, real GDP growth is estimated at 5.6 percent, slightly above the
program target. With the benefit of good rains, agricultural expansion continued and groundnut
production increased by 12.3 percent to about 138,000 metric tons; meanwhile, production
of other crops increased by 16.2 percent. The good harvest in 2000 contributed to a further
moderation in the end-of-period inflation (based on the low-income consumer price
index—CPI) to below the program target of 2 percent. The gradual recovery in imports
following the removal of the preshipment inspection (PSI) scheme in July, coupled with
slower-than-expected reexport trade as a result of the cross-border difficulties, contributed to an
increase in the external current account to 12 percent of GDP in 2000 from 11½ percent in
1999. Gross official reserves exceeded the end-2000 target as the Central Bank of The Gambia
(CBG) curtailed sales of foreign exchange into the market ahead of the end-December payment to
Alimenta. This outcome contributed to the depreciation of the dalasi by 4.8 percent in real
effective terms in 2000, continuing the recent trend toward enhanced external competitiveness of
The Gambia. However, the end-March 2001 quantitative performance criterion with respect to
the floor on the net international reserves of the CBG was not observed, as the Central Bank
attempted to address the buildup in demand for foreign exchange in the previous quarter.
4. In 2000, the overall fiscal deficit (excluding grants) was reduced to 3.6
percent of GDP (close to the program target of 3.5 percent) from 4.8 percent of GDP,
in 1999, reflecting a number of initiatives and corrective measures. The original budget for
2000 incorporated a reduction in the maximum external tariff from 20 percent to 18 percent and
in the number of tariff brackets from eight to three, both effective July 1, 2000. The budget also
provided for an average 20 percent increase in petroleum product prices, effective
January 1, 2000. In the course of the year, the government implemented revenue measures
amounting to D 45.7 million (0.8 percent of GDP), of which D 15.7 million
was covered by the further increase in diesel prices (8 percent) and an average
28 percent increase in duty-free prices of petroleum products, effective February 2000. The
remaining gap was filled by abolishing the PSI scheme, effective July 1, 2000. However, by
the end of the year, shortfalls in revenue from customs duty and sales tax on imports amounted to
D 48 million (0.9 percent of GDP); the shortfalls were mainly on petroleum products, reflecting a
delay in the further adjustment of their domestic prices.
5. On the expenditure side, the government in 2000 (a) introduced enhanced
expenditure reporting and control procedures; (b) initiated a program to eliminate cross
arrears with public enterprises; and (c) collected (through automatic deductions) the 0.4 percent
of GDP in salary advances to civil servants granted for the March 2000 Tobaski religious festival.
Nonetheless, the impact of corrective expenditure measures was partly offset by a number of
developments, including the payments to Alimenta. These developments kept the deficit above the
program target and contributed to a higher level of domestic financing. Higher domestic interest
payments (0.6 percent of GDP) resulted from a delay in the receipt of an external grant intended
to repay domestic debt. At the same time, the government paid unanticipated allowances and
transport costs for expatriate health workers, while pressures emerged from increased
maintenance costs, especially following two years of inclement weather. In addition, under the
terms of the settlement reached with Alimenta in October 2000, the government overpaid the
initial installment by about US$1 million in late December from proceeds of a European Union
(EU) structural adjustment grant—diverting that amount (with EU concurrence) from a
reduction in domestic debt.1 As a result, domestic debt
increased to 31 percent of GDP, considerably in excess of the programmed level.
6. During the first quarter of 2001, the government budget was adversely
affected by a D 64.5 million payment (1.1 percent of GDP) to three commercial banks for
nonperforming loans that had financed the 2000 groundnut crop.2 The government also made another unscheduled payment of € 2 million (US$1.6 million) to Alimenta in February that facilitated the
company's withdrawal of the property dispute from arbitration by the International Center for
Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) in March.
7. Domestic credit expansion, driven by net credit to the government,
significantly exceeded the program targets for end-December 2000 and through end-March 2001.
Private sector credit growth peaked in mid-2000 and briefly recovered toward the end of the year,
before declining through March 2001—broadly in line with trends in agricultural credit,
which experienced a longer repayment period in 2000. Attempts by the central bank to mop up
commercial banks' excess reserves through sales of treasury bills were not effective. Broad money
grew by 35 percent in 2000; however, it moderated to 14 percent for the 12-month period ended
March 2001. The treasury bill rate declined from 12.5 percent in December 1999 to 12 percent by
end-2000 but returned to the previous level during the first quarter of 2001. The quantitative
performance criteria for end-March 2001 with respect to net bank credit to the central
government, net domestic assets of the central bank, and the basic primary balance of the central
government were not observed (Appendix I, Table 1).
8. The implementation of structural measures was somewhat behind schedule; in
particular, the end-December 2000 structural performance criterion to establish and begin to
implement a comprehensive accounting framework to monitor poverty-reducing expenditure,
including such expenditure funded from debt relief under the enhanced HIPC Initiative was
delayed. In the event, implementation was achieved by end-May 2001. Of the remaining six
benchmarks, three were implemented on schedule, while the rest were implemented subsequently
or will be delayed by a few months (Appendix I, Table 2).
9. Progress on other key reforms has been encouraging. With the assistance of
the Fund budget advisor, government accounts for 199–97 were closed. Parliament
approved key pieces of legislation, and good progress has been made in implementing the poverty
reduction strategy paper (PRSP) process (see details below).
Macroeconomic and budgetary framework for the balance of 2001
10. The outlook for 2001 gives cause for optimism. Agricultural production will
probably continue to benefit from improving groundnut marketing arrangements, particularly
following the settlement with Alimenta. Moreover, with EU and International Fund for
Agricultural Development (IFAD) assistance, the government will continue to give farmers access
to better inputs and credit. The reexport trade is expected to continue recovering from the effects
of the PSI scheme and should benefit from enhanced external competitiveness as a result of lower
tariffs and the continued depreciation of the dalasi in 2000 and through May 2001. However,
tourism is unlikely to recover as fast as had been envisaged, as the world economic outlook is
now weaker than earlier projected. On this basis, real GDP growth is projected at 5.7 percent
during 2001. Measured inflation is expected to increase to about 3.5 percent, largely owing
to the continued depreciation of the dalasi and the increase in domestic petroleum product prices
(see below). As detailed in paragraph 22, the external current account deficit (excluding grants) is
projected to decline to 11¾ from 12 percent in 2000.
11. The budget for 2001, approved by parliament on December 22, 2000, did
not incorporate major revenue initiatives but focused instead on measures to improve
compliance.3 It also included measures to improve tax
administration through computerization (including full implementation of the automated system
for customs data—ASYCUDA) and improved coordination among tax departments. On the
expenditure side, the budget incorporated measures extending the reporting and control
procedures to all expenditures, including the below-the-line (BTL) accounts that had previously
operated without internal audit scrutiny.
12. The fiscal program for 2001 was revised to take account of recent
developments. As a result, the overall deficit (excluding grants) is now projected at 3.9 percent of
GDP (1 percent, if grants are included); with the incorporation of the budget funded from
HIPC Initiative debt relief (see below), the deficit will reach 5 percent of GDP. In March, the
government implemented measures to strengthen the weaker-than-envisaged customs receipts,
comprising higher gasoline prices (an increase of 9 percent) and diesel and kerosene (increases of
15 percent each), the curtailment of customs duty exemptions, and the collection of tax arrears.
Moreover, in June, the Department of State for Finance and Economic Affairs (DOSFEA)
appointed an advisor to oversee the delayed implementation of the ASYCUDA, which had
benefited from an UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) technical assistance
mission in May.4 In April, a World Bank mission visited
Banjul to appraise the Capacity-Building and Economic Management Project, a component of
which will strengthen the revenue departments, including the full implementation of ASYCUDA
II. On the expenditure side, modification of the budget entailed the incorporation of (a) an
additional expenditure of D 60 million in domestic interest payments; (b) funding of D
8.4 million for local and presidential elections expected in late 2001, and for parliamentary
elections planned for early 2002; and (c) the 2001 contingency budget funded from
US$4.4 million (D 68 million) provided by the Fund, the World Bank, and the African
Development Fund/Bank as interim debt relief under the enhanced HIPC Initiative. This budget
will have to be submitted for approval to the Task Force and the High-Level Economic
Committee—HILEC (as part of the PRSP process)5
and eventually to parliament. As agreed in the original program, the 2001 budget also
incorporates the final payment to Alimenta of US$5 million by end-July 2001. This amount is also
guaranteed (by the Standard Chartered Bank) as required under the terms of the settlement
agreement.
13. To support expenditure reforms, the government is benefiting from
technical assistance, provided by the Fund budget advisor, to reform accounting practices and
enable the comprehensive reporting and control of government expenditure, especially on the
BTL accounts. Timely information on these accounts will also allow faster reconciliation of
treasury and central bank accounts, which, in turn, will facilitate macroeconomic policy
coordination. The Accountant and Auditor General's Offices are now collaborating intensively to
complete the delayed audit of the government accounts for 1992-99, an action that should
facilitate timely auditing of public accounts in the future. The World Bank-funded
capacity-building project will also assist with (a) the computerization of the Accountant
General's office—a pivotal link in improving the management of public finances; (b) the
strengthening of the macroeconomic unit in DOSFEA; and (c), in conjunction with the United
Kingdom Department of International Development (DFID), the preparation of the public
expenditure reviews (PERs) in the State Departments of Agriculture, Education, and Health to
ensure a better linkage of sector policies to budgetary policies, starting in 2002. The PERs are, in
this context, the first stage in moving to a medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF).
14. In March 2001, as in previous years, the government granted civil service
salary advances of D 19 million (0.3 percent of GDP) for the Tobaski religious festival. These
advances will be repaid in full by end-September through automatic payroll deductions.
Furthermore, the government is implementing measures to deal firmly with the reemergence of
cross arrears between government and the public enterprises. As of end-March 2001, the
government had accumulated arrears of D 23 million (0.4 percent of GDP) to public enterprises,
while the latter had accumulated an estimated D 39 million in arrears to the government. A
program for the mutual settlement of these arrears, with quarterly targets leading to their
elimination by end-2001, is being implemented.
15. Key objectives of monetary policy during 2001 are to maintain low inflation
and strengthen external reserves. To these ends, the government will maintain prudent fiscal
policies and a tight monetary policy (while providing adequate credit to the private sector), and
promote exchange rate flexibility, consistent with a further buildup of official reserves. The
avoidance of unprogrammed increases in net credit to the government associated with payments
to Alimenta in 2000 will be an important objective for monetary policy in 2001, implying some
increase in velocity to 2.8. Accordingly, through sales of securities, the central bank will seek to
moderate the growth of broad money from an estimated 35 percent during 2000 to
8 percent by end-2001.
16. For the nine-month period ended December 2001, the government will
repay the banking system in order to accommodate an increase in private sector credit of about
23 percent for 2001. This will facilitate the expected privatization of a number of public
enterprises and crop financing during the 2001/02 season. Moreover, the resolution of the
Alimenta dispute should lead to increased private sector activity.
17. Financial sector reforms include measures to improve the auctions for
treasury and central bank bills, such as the introduction of a book-entry system, longer-maturity
treasury bills, and preparations for licensing commercial banks to introduce foreign currency
deposits by September 2001. The CBG received Fund technical assistance in April and May 2001
to assist in these tasks, respectively. The central bank is also taking various measures to
strengthen its regulatory framework and supervision of the financial sector. These include final
revisions to the Financial Institutions Bill and the Insurance Bill for their expected presentation for
parliamentary approval in July. The government's payment to the commercial banks in February
2001 for the outstanding 1999/2000 crop financing loans averted a major deterioration in the
financial position of these banks. Nonperforming loans declined to 12.6 percent of total
outstanding loans in 2000 from 16.4 percent in 1999, and provisioning for nonperforming loans
remained above 80 percent of such loans in 2000. The authorities will encourage banks to
maintain their capital adequacy ratio above the legal requirement of 8 percent.
18. In April 2000, The Gambia, together with five other countries in West
Africa,6 signed the Accra Declaration to establish a West
African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) by 2003. In 2001, the West African Monetary Institute
(WAMI) was established in Accra, Ghana, including the secondment of key senior staff from
member countries. WAMI is mandated to prepare the groundwork for the establishment of the
West African Central Bank (WACB), which will function as the central authority of the
WAMZ.
Structural and sectoral policies
19. The modernization of business-related legislation and regulation has
benefited from parliamentary approval of the Investment Act in February 2001, together with the
formal establishment of the Gambia Investment Promotion and Freezone Agency. These will
provide the legal framework and institutional support for the export processing zone that is to be
supported by the proposed World Bank Trade Gateway project. Furthermore, the Regulatory Bill
has been submitted to the cabinet, pending expected parliamentary approval later this year, which
will establish an agency to regulate utilities that are expected to be privatized in the future. Since
May 2000, the government has worked closely with the Commonwealth Secretariat with the aim
of developing a competition policy; to this end, a study has been completed that will inform the
Competition Bill, to provide an environment conducive to business activities. Finally, the EU has
assisted the government with studies for, and the drafting of, a bill, expected to be approved by
parliament by September 2001, that will, inter alia, set up a National Tourism Authority to
promote the industry, including through the classification of hotels, and help improve the quality
of service.
20. Regarding the public enterprise sector, the Privatization Act formalized the
establishment of the Gambia Divestiture Agency. The act duly recognizes the existence of a
divestiture account at the central bank, into which the government intends to deposit the proceeds
from privatization. In 2001, up to D 20 million will be transferred from the divestiture
account to pay some of the government's domestic debt. In the meantime, the government intends
to rigorously implement the terms of the memoranda of understandings (MOUs) that were
agreed upon with a number of public enterprises in 1998. Thus, the government will take the
measures necessary to discourage a further accumulation of payment arrears, and insist that all
public enterprises fully meet their tax, debt-service, and dividend obligations.
21. In agriculture, implementing reforms in groundnut marketing to replace the
transitional arrangements during the 2000/01 crop season remains a priority. These reforms
should prevent a recurrence of direct government intervention in crop financing, while efforts
have been intensified to recover funds owed by the exporters. Thus, the government intends to
continue to work with the EU and the Agri-Business Service Plan Association (ASPA),
comprising farmers and buyers, to improve the marketing of the groundnuts and it will encourage
ASPA to adhere to a schedule to publicly announce producer prices early in the planting season.
The settlement of the Alimenta dispute and the proposed privatization of its processing plants and
barges to competing and reputable firms should promote private crop financing while contributing
to better earnings by farmers. The privatization program has been set in motion by the letter of
May 11 from the President's office, authorizing the transfer of the Alimenta assets to the Gambia
Divestiture Agency; meanwhile, experts provided through EU technical assistance are evaluating
the assets for their expected offers of sale. Moreover, the proposed EU audit of the 1999/2000
operations of the trading companies will provide remedies to ensure proper internal control
measures in compliance with industry standards. The government intends to make timely
arrangements to improve seed varieties, fertilizer, and credit facilities to farmers, the latter
through the US$10 million IFAD Rural Finance and Community Initiative. Significant support for
the fishing sector is being provided by the recent completion of artisanal facilities and a cold
storage in the country.
External sector policies
22. On the basis of the economic policies detailed above, the external current
account deficit (excluding official transfers) is projected to decline to 11 ¾ percent of
GDP in 2001. The volume of total exports (including reexports) is projected to increase by about
8 percent, reflecting further expansion in groundnut production, fruit and fish exports, and
the reexport trade. It is also expected that the groundnut exports will contain a larger proportion
of high-quality nuts. Import volumes are projected to grow by about 5 percent as the
reexport trade begins to recover as a result of the removal of the PSI scheme, improved
cross-border relations, and the reduction in the external tariff in 2000. The terms of trade are
projected to improve significantly by 6.2 percent in 2001. Receipts from tourism are
projected to increase by 8.5 percent as the sector continues to recover from the sharp decline in
2000. Donor assistance is also projected to increase, contributing to gross official reserves of
SDR 80.9 million in 2001, a level equivalent to about 5.3 months of import
cover.
23. The government remains committed to a liberal trade and exchange system.
It will continue to assess the impact of the reduction in the external tariff to a maximum rate of
18 percent and the number of bands in the tariff system from ten to three in 2000, as well as
the reforms in the neighboring West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries
(maximum external tariff of 20 percent). Efforts have been intensified to improve the balance of
payments data, based on the recommendation of a Fund technical assistance mission in September
2000, as well as the full introduction of ASYCUDA II to, inter alia, better integrate customs
revenue and balance of payments data. The reduction in external tariffs, together with the pursuit
of a market-based flexible exchange rate, should benefit The Gambia's external
competitiveness.
24. Since December 2000, the Gambia has begun to benefit from assistance
under the enhanced HIPC Initiative in achieving sustainable external debt. As part of this exercise,
measures have been taken to strengthen the external debt unit at DOSFEA with better staffing and
equipment in order to improve the quality and timeliness of external debt data. Meanwhile, it is
expected that by August 2001 agreement will be reached on the debt owed to the Norwegian
export guarantee agency arising from a government-guaranteed loan to the Senegambia Beach
Hotel. Efforts are also under way to follow up with debt relief from all other creditors.
Developments in the PRSP process
25. Since the completion of the interim PRSP in December 2000, broad-based
efforts have continued to prepare the groundwork for the completion of a full PRSP. The key
steps that support this goal include (a) nationwide consultation on the poverty reduction strategy
presented in the Interim PRSP, which was conducted during March–April 2001 by
nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) (the latter expect to produce a report by end-May as an
input in the PRSP); (b) the training of facilitators for the Strategy Planning Process (SPP) to
solicit grassroots input (through a sampling process to cover a sizable proportion of the
population) in setting priorities and indicators during June-September 2001 that will be included
in the PRSP; (c) a survey of baseline service delivery based on assessment from the participatory
poverty assessment (PPA)7 and the SPP (technical
assistance is being arranged to integrate the PPA results into the government decision-making
process); (d) initiation of a household survey to provide a basis for a comprehensive consumer
price index and improve data compilation on household poverty and the link between
participatory assessment and household data; (e) the International Labor Organization's (ILO)
assistance in integrating employment issues in the PRSP; (f) the preparation of three PERs in
agriculture, education, and health; (g) preparation of a PRSP outline in May 2001; and (h)
preparation of a comprehensive agenda with a timeline to complete the PRSP on schedule by the
end of 2001. For the scheduled (about mid-2002) donor roundtable to mobilize external support
for the PRSP, the government intends to work closely with various donors in developing a
comprehensive technical assistance program to support the various reforms envisaged in the
PRSP and the UN Integrated Preventive Strategy.
Statistical issues
26. The Gambia's economic and financial statistics remain in need of
improvement, especially with regard to the major components of the balance of payments, the
national accounts and prices, public investment, the public enterprise sector, and employment.
Moreover, data on the social sectors and poverty need to be substantially improved and better
integrated with mainstream economic data. The government has benefited from the
recommendations of various recent Fund technical assistance missions to strengthen the
compilation of economic data, including (a) the upgrading of the balance of payments unit
in the central bank and the improved bank and financial sector reporting of balance of payments
and monetary data; (b) the proposed rebasing of the national income accounts to 1998 from
the prevailing 1976/77 base year, which is expected to be completed by end-June 2001;
(c) the proposed conducting of a household expenditure survey to provide a basis for the
compilation of a comprehensive price index; (d) the full implementation of ASYCUDA II
to, inter alia, improve balance of payments data compilation; and (e) participation in the
Fund's General Data Dissemination System (GDDS) and use of the framework to improve the
quality, timeliness, and transparency of data provision. The Gambia has also benefited from the
provision of recent Fund and World Bank technical assistance to strengthen the external debt
data. Several donors, including the UN Development Program (UNDP), DFID, ILO, EU, and
various NGOs, are also heavily engaged in developing critical poverty and social data that should
help to integrate sector and macroeconomic policies and planning. While these steps are likely to
yield significant improvements, the government faces much greater challenges in gathering the
broader-quality data essential for successful pursuit of an enhanced poverty reduction strategy,
and it is determined to intensify efforts in this area.
Program monitoring and review
27. To monitor policy implementation under the program, prior actions and
quantitative performance criteria for end-September 2001 and benchmarks have been established
(see Appendix I, Table 1). The prior actions entail (a) the
establishment and implementation of a comprehensive accounting framework to monitor
poverty-reducing expenditure, including such expenditure funded from debt relief under the
enhanced HIPC Initiative; and (b) submission of the contingency budget for 2001 funded
from the enhanced HIPC Initiative to parliament. The proposed benchmarks for end-June 2001
will comprise the following: (a) a ceiling on net bank credit to the government; (b) a
ceiling on net domestic assets of the central bank; (c) a floor on the basic primary balance of the
central government, defined to exclude interest payments and foreign-financed investment
spending; (d) the nonaccumulation of external payments arrears of the central government;
(e) a floor on the minimum level of net official international reserves; (f) a ceiling on
new nonconcessional external debt contracted or guaranteed by the public sector for maturities of
over 1–12 years; and (g) a zero ceiling on the outstanding stock of short-term
external debt owed or contracted by the public sector (excluding normal import-related credits).
The criterion on the nonaccumulation of external payments arrears applies on a continuous basis.
Limits on items (a)-(g) above for end-September 2001 will serve as quantitative performance
criteria. In addition, the reform measures indicated in Table 2 of
appendix I have been adopted as structural benchmarks for the second half of 2001. Furthermore,
quarterly financial indicators will be established on total government revenue and the wage bill.
The second review under the third annual arrangement will be completed no later than December
11, 2001.
28. The government believes that the policies described in this letter are
adequate to achieve the objectives of the economic and financial program during 2001 but will, if
necessary, take any further measures deemed appropriate for this purpose. During the remaining
period of the third annual PRGF arrangement, The Gambia will continue to consult with the
Managing Director on the adoption of any measures that may become appropriate, at the initiative
of the government or whenever the Managing Director requests such a consultation.
29. The government of The Gambia will provide the Fund with such
information as the Fund requests in connection with the progress made in implementing the
economic and financial policies and achieving the objectives of the program.
Yours sincerely,
/s/
Famara L. Jatta
Secretary of State for Finance
and Economic Affairs |
|
/s/
Momodou C. Bajo
Governor
Central Bank of The Gambia |
1The actual
payment amounted to US$4.56 million instead of the US$3.5 million agreed under the settlement
agreement schedule, providing also for a total payment of US$11.5 million by end-July 2001.
2This was a one-off operation following the CBG's decision
to guarantee of the commercial banks' loans to finance the groundnut crop during the 1999/2000
season, notwithstanding agreements with the European Union to avoid such a direct role in crop
financing. This direct involvement was prompted by an emergency situation in late 1999-following
the government's seizure of the Alimenta property early in the year-when the Department of
Agriculture could not provide timely crop marketing arrangements (and the Secretary of State
was relieved of his duties). The EU has agreed to provide D 12.5 million to partly offset the
government's payment to the banks but, in accordance with its agreement with the government,
intends to request an ex post audit of the operations, which have resulted in its intervention
through the Producer Price Stabilization Fund (PPSF). Some D 1.9 million is expected to
be recovered from the balance of collateral provided by the exporters, D 11.4 million from
pending groundnut exports, while D 14.4 million is under negotiation with one of the
exporters.
3The excise taxes on alcohol and tobacco were reduced
from D 25 per liter to D 15 per liter and D 80 per kilogram to D 35 per kilogram, respectively,
the payroll tax from D 30,000 to D 20,000, and the stamp duty on tenancy from 40 percent
to 20 percent.
4The UNCTAD mission was delayed by a number of
technical problems but has now helped to install the new system, which, together with the new
equipment, has made ASYCUDA I fully operational.
5The Task Force comprises sector senior civil servants,
donors, nongovernmental organizations, and representatives of civil society, while the HILEC is a
cabinet-level committee, usually chaired by the Secretary of State for Finance and Economic
Affairs.
6 The other countries are Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria,
and Sierra Leone.
7 The PPA is a three-year project (1999-2002) in which six
surveys will be taken (annual wet and dry season surveys). The fourth survey was completed by
May 2001 and the second annual report is being finalized.
The Gambia: Technical Memorandum of Understanding
May 16, 2001
I. Introduction
1. This memorandum sets out the understandings between the Gambian
authorities and staff of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding the definitions of
quantitative and structural performance criteria and benchmarks for the third annual arrangement
under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF), as well as the related reporting
requirements. A table with the latest actual data for the monetary aggregates, as well as the
preliminary estimates for March 2001 used for the derivation of the flows for the program period,
is attached (Tables 6 and 7 of the Staff Report).
II. Quantitative Performance Criteria: Definitions and
Reporting Standards
A. Net International Reserves of the Central Bank of
The Gambia
2. Definition. Net international reserves (NIR) are defined as reserve
assets less liabilities to foreign residents of maturity of one year or less and less borrowing from
the IMF. Gold holdings will be valued at U.S. dollar market prices, together with foreign currency
holdings, at the bilateral exchange rates prevailing on March 31, 2001. The NIR shall be
converted into dalasis at the exchange rate prevailing on March 31, 2001 (estimated at D 19.087
per SDR). Reserve assets are defined for this purpose as external assets readily available to, or
controlled by, the Central Bank of The Gambia (CBG). Pledged or otherwise encumbered
reserves assets, including, but not limited to, reserves assets used as collateral or guarantee for
third-party external liability, are to be excluded.
3. Adjustment clauses. The floor on the net international reserves of
the central bank will be adjusted upward (downward) by the amount of disbursed
external budgetary support (comprising non-project-related loans and grants) at the end of each
quarter in excess (in shortfall) of the programmed amounts in the budget
(Appendix I, Table 2).
4. Supporting material. Net international reserves of the central bank
will be transmitted on a weekly basis within ten days of the end of each week; the net foreign
assets of the commercial banks and external budgetary support will be transmitted on a monthly
basis within six weeks of the end of each month.
B. Net Domestic Assets of the Central
Bank
5. Definition. The net domestic assets of the central bank are defined
as the difference between reserve money (the sum of currency outside banks and all deposits of
the commercial banks, excluding deposits of the central government) and the net foreign assets of
the central bank, converted at the foreign exchange rate specified in paragraph 2. Net foreign
assets are defined as NIR plus other claims on, and liabilities to, foreign residents.
6. Adjustment clauses. The ceiling on net domestic assets of the
central bank will be adjusted downward (upward) by the amount of disbursed external
budgetary support (comprising non-project-related loans and grants) at the end of each quarter
in excess (in shortfall) of the programmed amounts in the budget (Appendix I,
Table 2).
7. Supporting material. Net domestic assets of the central bank will
be transmitted on a monthly basis within four weeks of the end of each month.
C. Net Claims on the Central Government by the
Central Bank of The Gambia
8. Definitions. The net claims on central government by the central
bank are defined as claims on the central government by the central bank less deposits of the
central government with the central bank.
9. Adjustment clauses. The ceiling on net claims on the central
government by the central bank will be adjusted downward (upward) by the
amount of disbursed external budgetary support (comprising non-project-related loans and grants)
at the end of each quarter in excess (in shortfall) of the programmed amounts
in the central government budget (Appendix I, Table 2).
10. Supporting material. Data on cumulative government revenue and
expenditure, on the net central government position with the central bank, and on treasury bills
outstanding, as well as data on external loans and grants to the government, will be transmitted on
a monthly basis within six weeks of the end of each month.
D. Basic Primary Balance of the Central
Government
11. The basic primary balance is defined as government domestic revenue (tax
and nontax) minus total expenditure and net lending, excluding interest payments and externally
financed capital expenditure.
E. External Payments Arrears
12. Definition. External payments arrears are defined as the stock of
external arrears on loans contracted or guaranteed by the public sector (as defined below in
paragraph 14), except on debts subject to rescheduling or a stock-of-debt operation.
13. Supporting material. An accounting of nonreschedulable external
arrears by creditor countries (if any), with detailed explanations, will be transmitted on a monthly
basis within four weeks of the end of each month. This accounting would include, separately,
arrears owed by the central government and other public sector entities to Paris Club creditors,
non-Paris Club creditors, and other creditors.
F. New Nonconcessional External Debt Contracted
or Guaranteed by the Public Sector
14. Definitions. In this memorandum, the public sector consists of the
central and regional governments and other public agencies, including the Central Bank of The
Gambia. This performance criterion is on the contracting or guaranteeing of external debt with
original maturity of 1–12 years by the public sector.1 Excluded from this performance criterion is debt with a grant
element of at least 35 percent. The grant element is to be calculated by using currency-specific
discount rates reported by the OECD (commercial interest reference rates): for maturities of
less than 15 years, the grant element will be calculated based on six-month averages of
commercial interest rates, and, for maturities longer than 15 years, the grant
element will be calculated based on ten-year averages.
15. Supporting material. A comprehensive record, including a
loan-by-loan accounting of all new concessional and nonconcessional debt contracted or
guaranteed by the public sector, with detailed explanations, will be transmitted on a quarterly
basis within four weeks of the end of each quarter. Nonconcessional external debt over one year
includes financial leases and other instruments giving rise to external liabilities contingent or
otherwise on concessional terms.
G. Outstanding Stock of External Public
Debt
16. This performance criterion is the outstanding stock of external debt with
original maturity of less than one year owed or contracted by the public sector.2 Excluded from this performance criterion are normal import-related
credits.
17. Supporting material. A comprehensive record of all external debt
with original maturity of less than on year owed or contracted by the public sector, with detailed
explanations, will be transmitted on a quarterly basis within four weeks of the end of each
quarter.
III. Prior Actions and Quantitative Performance Criteria
and Benchmarks
18. To monitor policy implementation, a prior action and a number of
quantitative benchmarks have been proposed over the course of the program, as well as
quantitative performance criteria and benchmarks for end-September 2001 (see Appendix I, Table 1). The prior actions entail (a) the submission to parliament of the
supplementary budget measures, including the contingency budget to be funded from interim debt
relief under the enhanced HIPC Initiative; and (b) the establishment and implementation of a
comprehensive accounting framework to monitor expenditure on poverty reduction, including
expenditure funded from enhanced HIPC Initiative debt relief. The proposed benchmarks for
end-June 2001 will comprise the following: (a) a ceiling on net bank credit to the central
government; (b) a ceiling on net domestic assets of the Central Bank of The Gambia; (c) a
floor on the basic primary balance of the central government, defined to exclude interest
payments and foreign-financed investment spending; (d) the nonaccumulation of external
payments arrears; (e) a floor on net official international reserves; (f) a ceiling on
new nonconcessional external loans contracted or guaranteed by the public sector for maturities
of 1–12 years; and (g) a zero ceiling on the outstanding stock of short-term external
public debt owed or contracted by the public sector (excluding normal import-related credits).
The criterion on the nonaccumulation of external payments arrears will be applied on a continuous
basis. Limits on items (a)–(g) above for end-September 2001 will serve as quantitative
performance criteria. In addition, the reform measures indicated in Appendix I, Table 2 have been adopted as structural performance criteria and
benchmarks for the program.
IV. Structural Performance Criteria and
Benchmarks
19. Lastly, the authorities will notify the African Department of the Fund of
developments with respect to structural performance criteria and benchmarks as soon as they
occur. The authorities will provide the following documentation, according to dates in Appendix
I, Table 2, elaborating the steps taken to (a) establish and begin
to implement a comprehensive accounting framework to monitor expenditure on poverty
reduction, including expenditure funded from enhanced HIPC Initiative debt relief; (b) extend the
mandate of the external debt unit of the Department of State for Finance and Economic Affairs
and have it start to also compile publicly guaranteed external debt, other external contingent
liabilities of the government, and domestic debt; (c) complete the full installation of the automated
system for customs data (ASYCUDA II) and use it also to generate trade data reclassified by
economic categories; (d) complete the rebasing of the national accounts to 1998; (e) establish the
regulatory framework, issue guidelines, and authorize commercial banks to establish foreign
currency deposits; and (f) introduce the book-entry system for treasury bill auctions and finalize
plans for introducing longer-term treasury bills and government bonds.
V. Other Elements of the Program
A. Program-Monitoring Committee
20. Definition. The Gambian authorities shall establish a
program-monitoring committee composed of senior officials from the Department of State for
Finance and Economic Affairs (DOSFEA), the CBG, and other relevant agencies. The committee
shall be responsible for monitoring the performance of the program, recommending policy
responses, informing the Fund regularly about the progress of the program, and transmitting the
supporting materials necessary for the evaluation of performance criteria and benchmarks. The
committee shall provide the Fund with a progress report on the program on a monthly basis
within four weeks of the end of each month, using the latest available data.
VI. Data Requirements
A. Production and Prices
21. Reporting standard. The monthly disaggregated consumer price
index will be transmitted within four weeks of the end of each month.
B. Government Accounts Data
22. Reporting standard. A consolidated budget report of the central
government comprising (a) the revenue data by each major item, including that collected by the
Commissioner of Taxes and the customs department, as well as privatization's transfers to the
budget; (b) details of the recurrent and capital expenditure of the central government; (c) details
of budget financing (domestic and external), which will be transmitted on a monthly basis within
six weeks of the end of each month; and (d) details on the government's outstanding arrears
outstanding, as of end-March 2001, including payments and other arrangements to discharge
them (these data will be transmitted on a monthly basis within six weeks of the end of each
quarter). The government's arrears amounted to D 23 million as of end-March 2001, while
public enterprises owed the government about D39 million.
C. Monetary Sector Data
23. Reporting standard. The balance sheet of the central bank and the
consolidated balance sheets of the commercial banks will be transmitted on a monthly basis within
six weeks of the end of each month. The results of the treasury bill auctions will be transmitted on
a biweekly basis within five business days. The stocks of government securities, balances in the
divestiture account, detailed information on interbank loans (terms, duration, and participating
institutions), and interest rate developments will be transmitted on a monthly basis within two
weeks of the end of each month.
D. External Sector Data
24. Reporting standard. The following standard will be adhered to:
(a) the interbank market exchange rate, as the simple average of the daily-weighted average
buying and selling rates, will be transmitted on a weekly basis within five business days of the end
of the week; (b) the results of foreign exchange auctions (on a weekly or more frequent basis) will
be transmitted on a weekly basis within five business days of the end of each week; and (c)
balance of payments data will be transmitted on a quarterly basis within six weeks of the end of
each quarter.
1This performance criterion
applies not only to debt as defined in point no. 9 of the "IMF Guidelines on Performance
Criteria with Respect to Foreign Debt" (adopted by the Executive Board of the Fund on
August 24, 2000), but also to commitments contracted or guaranteed for which value has not
been received.
2The term "debt" has the meaning set forth in
point no. 9 of the "IMF Guidelines on Performance Criteria with Respect to Foreign
Debt," adopted on August 24, 2000.
|