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Go Long or Short in Pyramids? News from the Egyptian Stock Market

Author/Editor: Billmeier, Andreas | Massa, Isabella
Authorized for Distribution: July 1, 2007
Electronic Access: Free Full Text (PDF file size is 474KB)
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.

Summary: Similar to other emerging economies, the Egyptian stock market has recently experienced a remarkable run-up but also a major downturn. This paper analyzes the stock market from two angles. First, it compares the performance of the major stock price index with its underlying fundamentals. Second, it explores the relationship between the Egyptian and other stock markets. The paper finds that (i) there is some evidence against a stable relationship between the Egyptian index and its fundamental value; and (ii) short-term correlations and long-term cointegrating relations provide conflicting signals on the value of Egyptian stocks as a means of diversification.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 07/179
Subject(s): Stock markets | Egypt | Financial integration | Stock prices
Author's keyword(s): Egypt | stock market | CASE | integration | cointegration | market capitalization
 
English  
    Published:   July 1, 2007        
    ISBN/ISSN:   1934-7073   Format:   Paper
    Stock No:   WPIEA2007179   Pages:   27
    Price:   US$18.00
       
     
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